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Economist’s Best Case Scenario For 2009: Michigan To Lose 90,000 Jobs
ClickonDetroit ^ | December 4, 2008

Posted on 12/05/2008 5:35:44 AM PST by ShadowDancer

Economist’s Best Case Scenario For 2009: Michigan To Lose 90,000 Jobs

POSTED: 11:00 pm EST December 4, 2008
UPDATED: 11:15 pm EST December 4, 2008

DETROIT -- A top economist has painful predictions for Michigan’s immediate future.

Comerica Bank Chief Economist Dana Johnson believes, based on plans auto CEOs presented the Senate Thursday, the state will lose 90,000 jobs if the government offers bridge loans.

Should two Detroit automakers go bankrupt that estimate jumps to 250,000 jobs lost.

“Some serious consolidation has to be done to make these companies viable under their own plans. This is not outside critics, this is what they themselves say they need to do,” Johnson said.

He also predicts Michigan will endure its sixth straight recession in a row with state resources being stretched to the limit to accommodate massive unemployment.

However, it’s not all doom and gloom.

“I'm not endlessly pessimistic about Michigan by any means. Not too far, in Pittsburgh they lost most of their steel industry. It took them quite a while to recover but ultimately, they did. We'll adjust, we'll bounce back,” Johnson said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; US: Michigan
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1 posted on 12/05/2008 5:35:44 AM PST by ShadowDancer
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To: ShadowDancer

Sounds like Granholm may want to raise taxes again.


2 posted on 12/05/2008 5:37:21 AM PST by johniegrad
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To: ShadowDancer
Wonder if Jeff Daniels is still pitching Michigan as a great state for biz?

Unfortunately, the whole US will look like Michigan when the libs run it into the ground.

Maybe Obama can put on a few pounds and play the hip hop mayor when the movie about Kwame Kilpatrick comes out.

3 posted on 12/05/2008 5:40:03 AM PST by libs_kma (F.U.B.O.)
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To: johniegrad
Sounds like Granholm may want to raise taxes again.

That would be the smart thing to do in the face of a crashing economy.

4 posted on 12/05/2008 5:40:17 AM PST by Hardastarboard (Why do I find the Toyota "Saved by Zero" ads so ironic?)
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To: ShadowDancer

Well, you Michigan residents just keep electing left-wing loons like Carl Levin and Debbie Stabenow to office. That’ll fix everything right up. Yeah, that’s the ticket all right....


5 posted on 12/05/2008 5:40:38 AM PST by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Rempublicam)
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To: Cincinatus

That line is so freaking old and tired.


6 posted on 12/05/2008 5:41:16 AM PST by ShadowDancer ( Losers always look for excuses. Winners never quit.)
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To: ShadowDancer

And yet so true.

Michigan - soon to be the Single State Of Anarchy.


7 posted on 12/05/2008 5:42:34 AM PST by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: ShadowDancer

Yeah. Probably because it’s true.


8 posted on 12/05/2008 5:42:40 AM PST by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Rempublicam)
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To: ShadowDancer

And the @%%h&les keep voting RAT!!! Motto, you reap what you sow.


9 posted on 12/05/2008 5:44:18 AM PST by kenmcg (cOMMBYAH)
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To: Hardastarboard
That would be the smart thing to do in the face of a crashing economy.

Nothing she would do would surprise me.

10 posted on 12/05/2008 5:44:42 AM PST by johniegrad
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To: Cincinatus

Yeah, it would be true if every single person in Michigan voted liberal. The blanket condemnation does nothing to make your sentence an argument. It just makes it asinine.


11 posted on 12/05/2008 5:45:46 AM PST by ShadowDancer ( Losers always look for excuses. Winners never quit.)
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To: ShadowDancer
Nobody has chained you to the pace.

Riddle me this, Batman. Why are jobs and people migrating southward from depressed, rust-belt states run by liberal Democrats down to high-tech, conservative, southern states, run by Republicans?

You have 30 seconds....

12 posted on 12/05/2008 5:49:08 AM PST by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Rempublicam)
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To: Cincinatus
Nobody has chained you to the pace.

I'll assume you meant place.

And this is the other 'argument' I love. Take a major loss on your home and move to a 'southern' state with young children in tow~hopefully you will find a job at some point, oh, and a house, but good luck because you'll still owe on the mortgage from your first one assuming you can even sell it. I have an idea. How about we all pack up and move down there where we can live off your tax dollars!

13 posted on 12/05/2008 5:52:44 AM PST by ShadowDancer ( Losers always look for excuses. Winners never quit.)
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To: ShadowDancer

(I wrote this a number of years ago when things were NOT going well with the economy. Trust me: They WILL get ugly once again as man — or certain men — cannot resist playing God. We continue to violate the universal, immutable laws of economics at our great peril.)

Despite the apparent economic strength of the American economy, history proves that EVERY house of cards eventually comes down. And the higher the card house, the harder the fall when it finally comes. And when it does, the more freedoms we will voluntarily surrender to “restore order.” It was the Founders’ concern about this historically valid problem which prompted their attempt — now ignored — to keep American “money” sound and honest.) Dick Bachert 1998

***************
UPDATE:
A fiat money system of the sort we are now painfully watching collapse creates a FALSE world of FALSE feelings of well-being and elevated lifestyles. During the expansion phase of such a system, those living under it spend or borrow more than they should, have more children than they can afford, nationally, come to believe they can afford to allow a score of millions of illegals to come here for educations, welfare payments, medical care, etc. They reject the immutable and universal economic realities and embrace what my old friend, the late Tupper Saussy, called “the IDEASPHERE.”

Now that the inevitable economic catastrophe is upon us, how much fun is it to watch the idiots in congress who triggered this thing scramble for cover by blaming everyone else? Not much!

The only folks who feel good now are the Hank Paulsons of the world who are in the process of conducting what may prove to be one of the largest raids on the REAL wealth of this nation – our labor and real property – ever witnessed.

“Liberty lies in the hearts of men and women; if it dies there, no constitution, no law, no court can save it.” — Judge Learned Hand, 1944

DB 10/2008

* * * * * * * *

The Forgotten History of Money
This is the fascinating story of the efforts by certain of the Founding Fathers to prevent the economic distress we find all about us today. It is also a sad story on the basis that modern, “sophisticated” Americans have abandoned the corrective institutional mechanism that remains in place to this day. As you read it, think about a world with many fewer S&L, banking and political scandals and economic problems now considered the norm.

“Blood running in the streets. Mobs of rioters and demonstrators threatening banks and legislatures. Looting of shop and home. Strikes and unemployment. Trade and distribution paralyzed. Shortages of food. Bankruptcies everywhere. Court dockets overloaded. Kidnappings for heavy ransom. Sexual perversion, drunkenness, lawlessness rampant. The wheels of government are clogged, and we are descending into the vale of confusion and darkness. No day was ever more clouded than the present. We are fast verging on anarchy and confusion. (George Washington in a 1786 letter to James Madison, describing the effects of fiat paper money inflation then ravaging America in the pre Constitutional period.)

“The annihilation (of the paper money) was so complete that barber shops were papered in jest with the bills; and sailors, on returning from cruises, being paid off in bundles of this worthless money, had suits made of it, and with characteristic lightheartedness, turned their loss into frolic by parading through the streets in decayed finery which in its better days had passed for thousands of dollars.” (Contemporary writer, Breck, 1786)

“Paper money polluted the equity of our laws, turned them into engines of oppression, corrupted the justice of our public administration, destroyed the fortunes of thousands who had confidence in it, enervated the trade and husbandry, and the manufactures of our country, and went far to destroy the morality of out people.” (Peletiah Webster, 1786)

At the drafting of the U.S.Constitution, there were many “Friends of Paper Money” present. On August 16, 1787, when the discussion arose on Article 1, Section 8, the proposed wording was this: “The Legislature of the United States shall have the power to...coin money...and emit bills of credit of the United States.”

A hot argument ensued on the power to emit bills of credit, which is another way of saying “printing paper money”.

Here are the actual words James Madison wrote describing the debate in his diary: “Mr.G.Morris moved to strike out *and emit bills of credit.* If the United States had credit, such bills would be unnecessary; if they had not, unjust and useless.

MADISON: Will it not be sufficient to prohibit the making them a tender? This will remove the temptation to emit them with unjust views. And promissory notes in that shape may in some emergencies be best.
MORRIS: Striking out the words will leave room still for notes of a responsible minister which will do the good without the mischief. The monied interest will oppose the plan of the Government, if paper emissions be not prohibited.
COL.MASON: Though he had a mortal hatred to paper money, yet as he could not foresee all emergencies, we was unwilling to tie the hands of the Legislature [Legislature = Congress].
MR.MERCER:(A friend to paper money) It was impolitic...to excite the opposition of all those who were friends to paper money.
MR. ELSEWORTH thought this was a favorable moment to shut and bar the door against paper money. The mischiefs of the various experiments which had been made, were now fresh in the public mind and had excited the disgust of all the respectable part of America. By withholding the power from the new Government, more friends of influence would be gained to it than by almost anything else...Give the Government credit, and other will offer. The power may do harm, never good.
MR.WILSON: It will have a most salutary influence on the credit of the United States to remove the possibility of paper money. This expedient can never succeed whilst its mischiefs are remembered, and as long as it can be resorted to, it will be a bar to other resources.
MR.READ thought the words, if not struck out, would be as alarming as the mark of the Beast in Revelation.
MR.LANGDON had rather reject the whole plan than retain the three words *and emit bills*”.

The motion for striking out carried.

Historian George Bancroft later wrote: “James Madison left his testimony that *the pretext for a paper currency, and particularly for making the bills a tender, either for public or private debts, was cut off.* This is the interpretation of the clause, made at the time of its adoption by all the statesmen of that age, not open to dispute because too clear for argument, and never disputed so long as any one man who took part in framing the constitution remained alive.”

(Bancroft – founder of the U.S.Naval Academy at Annapolis among other accomplishments – wrote a book on this very subject entitled “A Plea for the Constitution of the United States: Wounded in the House of Its Guardians.” During WWII, FDR – a serious friend of paper money – ostensibly to supply the war effort, ordered the printing plates for many historical books smelted. Bancroft’s book was among them. A photocopy of one of the remaining originals can be found here

http://books.google.com/books?hl=en&id=bE7PP1ePQwgC&dq=Constitution+wounded+in+the+house+of+its+guardians&printsec=frontcover&source=web&ots=iiJ1_2B_IA&sig=ByRM-kVMIDAs4S5OttEqkCXGm8s#PPA4,M1 )

ROGER SHERMAN(1721 1793)should be a name familiar to every American. As familiar as Washington, Madison, Jefferson and Adams. He is the only man to have signed all 4 documents surrounding the formation of the United States of America: The Continental Association of 1774, The Declaration of Independence, The Articles of Confederation and The United States Constitution. He was a Judge of the Superior Court in New Haven, Connecticut, serving that office with distinction from 1766 until 1788. He served as Treasurer of Yale University from 1765 to 1776. He was renouned for his high intelligence and unswerving honesty and was described by John Adams “as honest as an angel and as
firm in the cause of American independence as Mount Atlas.” He served in the U.S.Senate from 1791 until his death in 1793.

Why is Roger Sherman*s name unfamiliar? HE WAS AN ENEMY OF PAPER MONEY!! In 1751, Roger Sherman and his brother William sued James Battle for paying a debt to their shop in New Milford, Connecticut, in depreciating paper currency. Over a period of 15 months, Battle had charged “divers wares and merchandizes” amounting to 129 pounds of what
Sherman assumed were pounds of Connecticut “Old Tenor”, a stable currency whose value were well preserved by taxation taking it out of circulation. But Battle assumed the debt was denominated in pounds of ever depreciating Rhode Island currency, tendered in same, and the Shermans took a beating in the payment and sued for recovery of loss by depreciation. The Shermans lost when Battle argued that he was merely following the accepted custom of the day. In 1752, Sherman wrote his book “A Caveat Against Injustice or An Inquiry into the Evils of a Fluctuating Medium of Exchange” indicting UNBACKED PAPER MONEY.

It was this experience that Sherman brought to the Constitutional Convention and prompted him to rise on August 28,1787 and propose new, more restrictive wording to Article 1,Section 10. The standing version under consideration was worded this way: “No state shall coin money; nor grant letters of marque and reprisal; nor enter into any Treaty, alliance, or confederation; nor grant any title of Nobility.” (From Madison’s Notes of the Convention) “Judge Sherman and Mr. Wilson moved to insert the words *coin money* the words *nor emit bills of credit, nor make any thing but gold and silver coin a tender in payment of debts* making these prohibitions absolute, instead of making the measures allowable with the consent of the Legislature of the U.S. Mr. Sherman thought this a FAVORABLE CRISIS FOR CRUSHING PAPER MONEY. If the consent of the Legislature could authorize emissions of it, the friends of paper money would make every exertion to get into the Legislature in order to license it.” Mr. Sherman*s and Mr. Wilson*s motion was quickly agreed to and became the supreme law of the land.

Some additional quotations to ponder:

“All the perplexities, confusion and distress in America arise not from defects in the constitution or confederation, nor from a want of honor or virtue so much as from downright ignorance of the nature of coin, credit and circulation” (John Adams in a letter to Thomas Jefferson, 1787)

“I deny the power of the general government to making paper money, or anything else, a legal tender.” (Thomas Jefferson)

“You have been doubtless been informed, from time to time, of the happy progress of our affairs. The principal difficulties seem in great measure to have been surmounted. Our revenues have been considerably
more productive than it was imagined they would be. I mention this to show the spirit of enterprise that prevails.” (George Washington in a letter to the Marquis de LaFayette, June 3, 1790 AFTER the United States Constitution prohibited unbacked paper money at Article 1, Section 10)

“Since the federal constitution has removed all danger of our having a paper tender, our trade is advanced fifty percent. Our monied people can trust their cash abroad, and have brought their coin into circulation.” (December 16, 1789 edition of The Pennsylvania
Gazette)

“Our country, my dear sir, is fast progressing in its political importance and social happiness.” (George Washington in a letter to the Marquis de LaFayette, March 19, 1791)

“The United States enjoys a sense of prosperity and tranquility under the new government that could hardly have been hoped for.” (George Washington in a letter to Catherine Macaulay Graham, July 19,1791)

“Tranquility reigns among the people with that disposition towards the general government which is likely to preserve it. Our public credit stands on that high ground which three years ago would have been
considered as a species of madness to have foretold.” (George Washington in a letter to David Humphreys, July 20, 1791)

“It is apparent from the whole context of the Constitution as well as the times which gave birth to it, that it was the purpose of the Convention to establish a currency consisting of the precious metals.
These were adopted by a permanent rule excluding the use of a perishable medium of exchange, such as certain agricultural commodities recognized by the statutes of some States as tender for debts, or the still more pernicious expedient of PAPER CURRENCY.” (Andrew Jackson, 8th Annual Message to Congress, December 5, 1836)

DESPITE WHAT YOU WERE TAUGHT IN SCHOOL, THE HISTORICAL RECORD IS CRYSTAL CLEAR: AMERICA WAS TO HAVE BEEN SPARED THE DESTRUCTIVE EFFECTS OF AN UNBACKED PAPER MONEY SYSTEM. MOST OF THE PROBLEMS WE FACE TODAY CAN BE TRACED TO WHAT ANDREW JACKSON CALLED “THE PERNICIOUS EXPEDIENT OF PAPER MONEY”.

HISTORY TEACHES THAT AN “ARTIFICIAL” MONEY CREATES AN “ARTIFICIAL” WORLD WHERE THE PRICE FOR SOME ITEM...EVEN OUR MOST POPULAR WELFARE “PROGRAM”...CAN BE DEFERRED TO FUTURE GENERATIONS (OUR $11 TRILLION
NATIONAL DEBT) OR PAID WITH A “MONEY” CREATED OUT OF THIN AIR WHICH ROBS THE VALUE FROM THE MONEY WE MIGHT BE UNFORTUNATE ENOUGH TO HAVE IN OUR POCKETS AT THAT MOMENT (INFLATION). AND ONE THING YOU MUST REMEMBER ABOUT INFLATION IS THAT IT IS NOT AN “EQUAL OPPORTUNITY” DESTROYER: THOSE FIRST IN LINE TO GET THEIR HANDS ON THE NEW MONEY ROLLING OFF THE PRESSES (THE MODERN FRIENDS OF PAPER MONEY) HAVE A CHANCE TO SPEND IT BEFORE IT LOSES ITS VALUE. THE LITTLE PEOPLE (THAT’S US, FOLKS!) FARTHEST DOWN THE LINE ARE THE ONES WHO FEEL THE FULLEST EFFECTS OF THIS DESTRUCTIVE PROCESS.


14 posted on 12/05/2008 5:54:23 AM PST by Dick Bachert
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To: ShadowDancer
Smart people in economically troubled states should decide to vote Republican.
Smart people who find themselves in an economically troubled state that is relentlessly controlled by Democrats, should move to other states.

My conclusion is that the number of smart people currently residing in Michigan is vanishingly small.

15 posted on 12/05/2008 5:55:22 AM PST by ClearCase_guy
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To: ShadowDancer
Yes, I did mean place. Thank you for the correction.

I don't know what you want from us. You're "trapped" by circumstance in a mortgaged house that you can't unload, you can't or won't make an effort to get out from under it and move to another part of the country which doesn't suffer from Michigan's maladies, yet you post this article here for comment.

What comment do you expect? Most of the rust-belt's problems are self-inflicted. Years of Democrat corruption, obnoxious unionism, and refusal to re-tool for the 21st century economy are taking their toll.

Hundreds of people have done exactly what you claim to be so impossible. Guess they didn't get your memo on it.

16 posted on 12/05/2008 5:59:17 AM PST by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Rempublicam)
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To: ShadowDancer

I think you might want to change your Tag line, the only thing you’re going to win in Michigan is Two Lions tickets.


17 posted on 12/05/2008 6:03:59 AM PST by Rappini ("Pro deo et Patria.)
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To: ShadowDancer

Like I said, you'll be "blown away" by how great things are in Michigan in five years.
18 posted on 12/05/2008 6:18:03 AM PST by Recovering_Democrat
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To: Hardastarboard; ShadowDancer

...but only because high taxes are so attractive to new business.


19 posted on 12/05/2008 6:21:36 AM PST by Mr. Lucky
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To: ShadowDancer
Its official: my voluntary separation was accepted. I chose this route rather than someone else deciding my fate next week. Its a killer package that takes of me through Sept, including healthcare. Nonetheless, its going to be so hard not working. That said, my employer will be making cuts next week, just more added to the Michigan job loses.

If any of you need a creative, results-driven, outside-the-box thinker, let me know!

20 posted on 12/05/2008 6:24:28 AM PST by rintense
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