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US Global Dominance 'Set To Wane'
BBC ^ | 21 November 2008 | BBC

Posted on 11/20/2008 11:12:41 PM PST by Doofer

US economic, military and political dominance is likely to decline over the next two decades, according to American intelligence agencies. US clout will weaken as China and India grow more powerful, the National Intelligence Council (NIC) predicts in its latest report on global trends. The US dollar will no longer be the world's major currency and food and water scarcities will fuel conflict. The NIC report comes as President-elect Barack Obama prepares to take office. It will make sombre reading for Mr Obama, says the BBC's Jonathan Beale in Washington, as it paints a bleak picture of the future of US influence and power. "The next 20 years of transition to a new system are fraught with risks," says Global Trends 2025, the latest of the reports that the NIC prepares every four years in time for the next presidential term. Nuclear weapons use The NIC's 2004 study painted a rosier picture of America's global position, with US dominance expected to continue. But the latest report says that rising economies such as China, India and Brazil will offer the US more competition at the top of a multipolar international system. A world with more power centres will be less stable than one with one or two superpowers, it says, offering more potential for conflict. Global warming will have had a greater impact by 2025, triggering food and water scarcities that could fuel conflict around the globe. And the use of nuclear weapons will grow increasingly likely, says the report, as rogue states and terrorist groups gain greater access to such weapons. But the NIC does give some scope for leaders to take action to prevent such scenarios.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.bbc.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: economic; military; political
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To: Dallas59

I forgot 1949.


21 posted on 11/21/2008 12:18:28 AM PST by Dallas59 (Not My President)
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To: Dallas59
LOL!

We've been gone so many times, we've come around and are back again!

22 posted on 11/21/2008 12:20:22 AM PST by Darkwolf377 (1-22-13)
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To: jrolfedrev
It’s all in the Bible China and India, Russia, Iran, Germany, and revive Roman Empire while US is not mentioned.

Dang. Because America was still unknown at the time Revelations was written.

23 posted on 11/21/2008 12:21:24 AM PST by SolidWood (Sarah Palin - Everything that is Sweetness and Light! WE STAND WITH HER!)
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To: Darkwolf377
Just what I was thinking.

Let's see. We have a civil economy worth $43 trillion that earns us what? 12 trillion a year?

We have a reservior in the middle of the country (don't remember the name) that has like 20 quadrillion gallons of water in it.

We have 12 carrier battle groups, hundreds of stealth fighters, dozens to hundreds of subs.

| We're the worlds major food producer.

We're the only ones who have landed a man on the moon and returned him safely to the Earth - a dozen times.

But we're going to lose all of this and the world is going to catch up just like *snap* that.

yeah, never heard this song and dance before.

Course, the never quite get around to explaining HOW we're going to lose this dominance, just that it's gonna *POOF* happen.

24 posted on 11/21/2008 12:29:49 AM PST by ConservativeCompendium.net (We need to amend the US Constitution. We the People --> We the Politicians.)
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To: Doofer

It’s because of OBAMA.


25 posted on 11/21/2008 12:36:43 AM PST by FFranco
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To: Sandreckoner

Well, I’m no intelligence officer, but if I was, I wouldn’t write about my current strengths. I’d write a report detailing future disasters, and what the fed gov must spend money on now to avoid them, and, in the process, keep myself employed as a valuable prognosticator.


26 posted on 11/21/2008 12:40:20 AM PST by TimSkalaBim
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To: ConservativeCompendium.net
The weirdest thing about these predictions, IMHO, is that they're always based on some figure like China's GDP or something, and yet DECADES of towering US GDP means nothing due to a disastrous quarter. (Yes, I'm oversimplifying, but I'm talking about the writers of these pieces choosing one "apocalyptic" figure and using that as their entire "factual" basis for these silly predictions.)

The same folks who denounce the US for being some capitalist beast always point to the rise of countries which would NEVER allow 1/100th of the freedom, the liberty, and the acceptance of those outside the mainstream--as if NOW making a nice pile of money is all that matters when guaging a nation's rise and fall.

One word: Japan. Remember back when Japan was about to own us all, own all our property, and we were talking about "well, we're ok because they can't vote," as if that was all that was protecting us from becoming Japanese servants?

These articles are written for a political reason, period. Anyone who tells you statisticians and scientists and analysts are objective intellectuals with no political agenda to promote is an utter fool.

27 posted on 11/21/2008 1:29:05 AM PST by Darkwolf377 (1-22-13)
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To: Doofer
Global warming will have had a greater impact by 2025, triggering food and water scarcities that could fuel conflict around the globe.

Bwahahahahahaha! Stop! You're killing me.

By 2025, global warming will not be an issue.

28 posted on 11/21/2008 2:26:15 AM PST by Roy Tucker ("You can avoid reality, but you cannot avoid the consequences of avoiding reality."--Ayn Rand)
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To: jrolfedrev

Hate to break it to you, but neither China, India, Russia, Iran nor Germany are mentioned in the Bible. For that matter, the “Israel” mentioned in coming age has a temple bigger than the entire city of Jerusalem and a Jerusalem bigger than the entire land of Palestine......, of course that could not mean it is “figurative” now, could it?

Dispensationalists are such amusing people sometimes.


29 posted on 11/21/2008 2:37:41 AM PST by slnk_rules (http://mises.org)
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To: ConservativeCompendium.net
The very worst thing for the rest of the world is if we do an "Atlas Shrugged" on them.

If we pull back, the restof the world will rapidly sink into complete anarchy and human misery.

30 posted on 11/21/2008 3:38:19 AM PST by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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To: Bob J

Indeed they are. However US dominance will inevitably decline - it is the way of things. America will follow Britain and Egypt and Assyria and so on....I just think these folk are wrong about the time scale. I give America an extra 50 years barring unforeseen technological developments akin to he advent of the atomic bomb which of course, you can never rule out....

” The frog is almost five hundred million years old. Could you really say with much certainly that America, with all its strength and prosperity, with its fighting man that is second to none, and with its standard of living that is the highest in the world, will last as long as. . .the frog?”

Catch-22 Joseph Heller


31 posted on 11/21/2008 4:05:23 AM PST by Androcles (All your typos are belong to us)
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To: Doofer

We will take care of this starting in 2010.

LLS


32 posted on 11/21/2008 4:30:17 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (GOD, Country, Family... except when it comes to dims! I am an UMA-unity my a$$)
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To: Doofer

As Quisling America-bashers in the United States cheer the slow demise of the world’s first, and only significant, experiment in self-government.

Said one New York Times reporter, when reached for comment, “It’s about time that the proles learned that we members of the intellectual elite owe allegiance to no nation, no borders, but, rather, to fuzzy thinkers everywhere. Once socialism has actually been tried in the proper manner somewhere, the world will see that the Soviet experiment wasn’t such a bad idea, after all.”

He was shortly afterward deported to the gulag and shot, his last words being, “Long live the revolution!”

In a related story, all newspapers have been shut down and all universities closed, while anyone with more than a high school education is being forcibly repatriated to the countryside to harvest rice - said to be in short supply due to farmers’ reluctance to labor for no wages and no profits.


33 posted on 11/21/2008 5:01:40 AM PST by Jack Hammer (here)
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To: Jack Hammer

We need to massively ramp up our military machine and take out anybody that even looks funny, either that or it’s game over ...


34 posted on 11/21/2008 5:07:48 AM PST by Scythian
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To: Doofer

Only if Obama, pelosi, and reid help.


35 posted on 11/21/2008 6:04:16 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: MoochPooch

And they probably have the same view of American society and culture and government.


36 posted on 11/21/2008 9:51:39 AM PST by swarthyguy ( Bush Promised us Osama, but instead we're getting Obama)
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