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Professor: Residual Votes in the 2008 Minnesota Senate Race likely favor Franken over Coleman
dartmouth.edu ^ | 11-15-08 | Michael C. Herron

Posted on 11/17/2008 7:42:34 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative

The 2008 United States Senate race in Minnesota is one of the closest electoral contests in recent history: as of this writing, out of over 2.9 million ballots cast only 206 votes separate incumbent Republican Senator Norm Coleman and his Democratic challenger, Al Franken. The Minnesota Senate race is slated to be recounted starting on November 19, 2008, and a key issue in the recount will be the approximately 34 thousand residual votes associated with it.

A Senate residual vote is, roughly speaking, the product of a ballot that lacks a recorded Senate vote, and in the Minnesota Senate race there is no doubt that the number of residual votes dwarfs the margin that separates Coleman from Franken. We show using a combination of precinct voting returns from the 2006 and 2008 General Elections that patterns in Senate race residual votes are consistent with, one, the presence of a large number of Democratic-leaning voters, in particular African-American voters, who appear to have deliberately skipped voting in the Coleman-Franken Senate contest and, two, the presence of a smaller number of Democraticleaning voters who almost certainly intended to cast a vote in the Senate race but for some reason did not do so. Ultimately, the anticipated recount may clarify the relative proportions of intentional versus unintentional residual votes. At present, though, the data available suggest that the recount will uncover many of the former and that, of the latter, a majority will likely prove to be supportive of Franken.

(Excerpt) Read more at dartmouth.edu ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections; US: Minnesota
KEYWORDS: electionussenate; howtostealanelection; votefraud
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1 posted on 11/17/2008 7:42:34 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Why?


2 posted on 11/17/2008 7:45:17 PM PST by LiteKeeper (Beware the secularization of America; the Islamization of Eurabia)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Am I to understand that non-votes are to be considered votes for Franken?


3 posted on 11/17/2008 7:47:04 PM PST by Hoodat (For the weapons of our warfare are mighty in God for pulling down strongholds.)
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To: LiteKeeper

Because the Senate needs Franken. What’s a circus without a clown?


4 posted on 11/17/2008 7:48:55 PM PST by milemark (You're all just jealous because the voices speak only to me.)
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To: Hoodat

Roughly speaking.


5 posted on 11/17/2008 7:49:03 PM PST by cornelis
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To: GraniteStateConservative

This is the same BS they tried in Florida in 2000. If the ballot shows votes for other Democrats, they just count it as a vpote for the Democrat candidate even if the ballot wasn’t so marked. Utter nonsense, except in the Alice-in-Wonderland world of Democrat controlled politics.


6 posted on 11/17/2008 7:49:14 PM PST by Mad_Tom_Rackham ("The land of the Free...Because of the Brave")
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To: LiteKeeper
Why?

The professor assumes Democratic voters are too stupid to fill a out a ballot correctly. Are you arguing?

7 posted on 11/17/2008 7:49:20 PM PST by Minn (Here is a realistic picture of the prophet: ----> ([: {()
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Maybe a lot of blacks were voting for the first time in order to vote for Obama, and they really didn’t care about the other races. But, just like in Florida in 2000, the libs will see stuff that isn’t there. And they have a friendly (Soros-picked) Secretary of State in Minnesota who, I’m sure, will be able to psychically infer what the voters meant to do. This doesn’t look like it will end well.


8 posted on 11/17/2008 7:49:26 PM PST by TruthShallSetYouFree (Abortion is to family planning what bankruptcy is to financial planning.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

I was just going through some old video tapes. Fast forwarding through to see what was on it something caught my attention. I paused the tape, rewound it and played it back.

There was Al Franken talking to a tub of Parkay Butter (which was talking back to him). He also conversed with a baked potato (which also talked back to him).

This man may soon be a United States Senator.

I understand that both the tub of Parkay Butter and the baked potato were registered to vote in Ohio and Minnesota.


9 posted on 11/17/2008 7:49:33 PM PST by LostInBayport (The press and the Barackolytes view you as a miracle worker...so turn the economy into wine, Barry.)
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To: LiteKeeper

This is nothing more than the same old bullshit from Florida in 2000. People did not vote for Al Franken - specifically, this paper states that blacks did not vote for Al Franken. How they know that is not something I understand because I’m pretty damn sure there isn’t a checkbox for “race” or “ethnicity” on the ballot.

The paper is simply making the case that because a particular voter voted for Obama and did not vote for the Senate race, their votes should be cast for Franken. Never mind that Franken’s a flaming idiot and Coleman’s a RINO (the most logical reason for a no vote). No, they want to mysteriously determine the voter’s intention from a nondescript ballot.


10 posted on 11/17/2008 7:49:41 PM PST by flintsilver7
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To: GraniteStateConservative

They have went from having the dead vote, to simply inventing votes. So much easier I guess.


11 posted on 11/17/2008 7:50:26 PM PST by KoRn
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To: Hoodat

Hey, it’s easier that hauling boxes of newly discovered ballots out of car trunks.


12 posted on 11/17/2008 7:51:06 PM PST by milemark (You're all just jealous because the voices speak only to me.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

i can’t get a feel for what this report is saying, but I AM getting bad vibes.

will minnesota count over votes and undervotes during the recount ? I.E. in re: to under-votes, divine the intent of the voter ? If a a voter voted for Obama but left the senate race blank, will that vote be given to Franken ?


13 posted on 11/17/2008 7:51:43 PM PST by stylin19a ( Real Men don't declare unplayable lies)
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To: stylin19a

As illegal as it sounds, this paper is definitely suggesting that no-votes on the Senate ticket who voted for Obama should be cast for Franken.


14 posted on 11/17/2008 7:52:30 PM PST by flintsilver7
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To: flintsilver7

Had I known I could claim the no votes for a political office, I may have run myself.


15 posted on 11/17/2008 7:55:47 PM PST by nufsed
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To: nufsed

It’s amazing that it’s 2008 and we’re still having this discussion. If they voted for any other candidate and didn’t vote for the Senate race then DON’T THINK ABOUT IT.

Watch - before you know it, somebody is going to sue the convenience store because they MEANT to buy the winning lottery ticket, but instead just bought coffee instead.


16 posted on 11/17/2008 7:58:00 PM PST by flintsilver7
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Hello Asylum? This is the lunatics. We are in charge. The only rule is; there are no rules. We get to win no matter what and you get to deal with.

Those of you with moral’s and standards, you will be on the inside, because we will do what ever it takes to gain power and rule. In the land of morals, we without them will win. You with them are suckers.

Ah to be blessed with no conscience, I coulda been a contenda!!

Gunner


17 posted on 11/17/2008 8:03:57 PM PST by weps4ret (The media is not Main Stream.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Read pages 29 and 30 of the report. The authors conclude that more “unintentional residual votes” are likely from people who intended to vote for Franken because people that can’t do simple cognitive tasks are the type of people likely to support him. Hard to disagree. What should be argued is that if you’re to dumb to fill in a little oval, your opinion shouldn’t count, and no party hack should be allowed to divine your intent.


18 posted on 11/17/2008 8:05:02 PM PST by Minn (Here is a realistic picture of the prophet: ----> ([: {()
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To: GraniteStateConservative

People in MN may not be as smart as they think they are!


19 posted on 11/17/2008 8:06:08 PM PST by Theodore R. (The most frightening words in the English language: The American people!)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Residual??? Is that the PC term for fraudulent?


20 posted on 11/17/2008 8:07:28 PM PST by yazoo
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