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Sarah Palin saved GOP from landslide defeat
The Hill ^ | November 11, 2008 | Dick Morris

Posted on 11/12/2008 6:31:58 AM PST by reaganaut1

As Richard Nixon wrote, “history is written by liberals,” but the story of the 2008 campaign is too important to cede to them the analysis of what happened. A close analysis of the returns indicates several key realities:

a) Sarah Palin made a vast difference in McCain’s favor. Compared to 2004, McCain lost 11 points among white men, according to the Fox News exit poll, but only four points among white women. Obama’s underperformance among white women, evident throughout the fall, may be chalked up, in large part, to the influence of Sarah Palin. She provided a rallying point for women who saw their political agenda in terms larger than abortion. She addressed the question of what it is like to be a working mother in today’s economy and society and resonated with tens of millions of white women who have not responded to the more traditional, and liberal, advocates for their gender.

b) Turnout did not increase substantially. Despite predictions (by me and others) of a vastly greater voter turnout, it didn’t happen. About 127 million people voted in 2008, compared to 122 million in 2004. By contrast, turnout rose by almost 20 million between 2000 and 2004. The emphasis on early voting and the heavy participation in primaries indicated the likelihood of a huge increase in turnout, but, on Election Day, the turnout was modest.

c) The black vote made a huge difference; but young people did not. Obama, as expected, generated a big increase in African-American voter turnout. Fox News’s exit polls estimate that blacks constituted 13 percent of the turnout in 2008, compared with 11 percent in 2004 and 10 percent in 2000. But voters under 30 years of age were still the same 11 percent of the vote that they were in 2004.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; bho2008; dickmorris; landslide; mccain; sarahpalin
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To: SmokingJoe; steve-b

Don’t worry about steve-b, he is a crank who has been dumping on Governor Palion since she was nominated, often posting half a dozen or more anti-Palin threads per day.


61 posted on 11/12/2008 7:25:55 AM PST by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.)
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To: steve-b
You're comparing Bush to McCain, and projecting Sarah as the one to blame. The base never liked McCain, but thousands showed up at every rally to see Sarah.
62 posted on 11/12/2008 7:26:29 AM PST by Beagle8U (FreeRepublic -- One stop shopping ....... Its the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
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To: Moconservative
"The fear on the left was against Governor Palin not John McCain."

Yep. Big time. They savaged her in an offensive and unbelievable manner. It only made her stronger and I do hope she pays them back in spades...

63 posted on 11/12/2008 7:29:43 AM PST by eureka! (Hey mushy middle: Who is Barrack 0bama? Wait until you learn the answer. It's not pretty.)
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To: MayflowerMadam

well the upside is that affirmative action is now dead.

” Yeah the man is keeping me down”
“Ahem, Obama would be the man that is keeping you down then”


64 posted on 11/12/2008 7:32:07 AM PST by Walkingfeather
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To: steve-b

When you talk landslide you talk mondale reagan.


65 posted on 11/12/2008 7:33:43 AM PST by Walkingfeather
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To: Moose4; anniegetyourgun

Minority and women candidates are the prime targets of the left:

Michael Steele - his identity stolen by Chuck Schummer staffers in the MD Senate race. Materials found in credit check were used in anti-Steele advertising

Michelle Bachmann - $2m from Pelosi after Chrissy Matthews baited her into talking about Congress and Obama being un-American in the final 2 weeks of the campaign.

Alan Keyes - limited to NO media coverage for years and denying the majority of black people from knowing his existence.

The last three months with Sarah Palin.

They target Republican women and minorities with nuclear media hate to maintain the myth that only fat white men can be Republican or conservative.


66 posted on 11/12/2008 7:40:53 AM PST by AmericanGirlRising (HOPE is not a strategy just like CHANGE is not a destination.)
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To: steve-b
The GOP did suffer a landslide defeat!

No, a landslide defeat is McGovern against Nixon: McGovern carried Massachusetts. That's it -- one state out of 50.

67 posted on 11/12/2008 7:42:14 AM PST by maryz
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To: Allegra

The girls in our family have had to deal with “those sorts” our whole lives ;-). I have fewer female friends than male, but my closest female friends are all very pretty, just like yours are!


68 posted on 11/12/2008 7:46:52 AM PST by wazoo1031
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To: TomGuy

“Well, his O-ness has been president-elect for a week and the DOW has dropped again today. So far, it is down about 1,000 points since the election.”

I try to be fair even to left-wing radicals. The stock market has been dropping like a rock under Bush, too.


69 posted on 11/12/2008 7:50:03 AM PST by reaganaut1
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To: reaganaut1

I have family members who wouldn’t have voted for McCain had it not been for Palin. I also have reports from a family member who (very courageously) continues to wear the Palin button about being constantly stopped and told the same thing. Allowing the liberals to choose our liberal Presidential candidate, which is what happened, was poison to conservatives and they did what they said they’d do...they sat this one out. Hopefully the lesson has been learned, but unless every one of us becomes active and vocal at the county level we will get the same thing next time. Find out where your county GOP meets, go and demand changes such as no early primaries. Push for voter ID, push for shorter early voting times, try to close the loopholes that allow vote stealing. And most important of all, support conservative candidates and let the party know we don’t want moderates.


70 posted on 11/12/2008 7:53:16 AM PST by pepperdog (The world has gone crazy.)
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To: reaganaut1

Dickie is right, at least in my case. If there had been two RINOs and zero conservatives on the ticket, I would have voted third party or just skipped the Presidential race altogether. I’d never have voted for Buckwheat & Biden, but I wouldn’t have voted RINO either. I don’t vote for liberals of either party.

But Sarah got my vote, and she was the only reason I pulled the R lever in that race.

And Tricky Dick was damn right too: some say that the winners write the history books, but at least in recent years it has been the losers (liberals).


71 posted on 11/12/2008 7:55:54 AM PST by PermaRag
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To: reaganaut1
If you read the entire article you can see why the Dems will never allow real immigration reform. 67% of the Hispanic vote went to Obama, and he's savvy enough to appoint more Hispanics than anyone before has so that percentage will probably become even more lopsided in the next election. I believe that the Hispanic vote bloc will soon become even more important to the democrats than the black bloc is now. The combination of Black, Hispanic, Asian, and Jewish vote blocs is the future of US politics as the traditionally conservative white/Anglo vote bloc is very near to becoming the minority, if we're not already there, and those formerly minority blocs all lean hard to the left. Add those blocs to the considerable number of white liberals, and the future of liberty and constitutional government in the US looks much more precarious than I have ever seen it at any time in my 71 years.

The US I see on the horizon of time is a far, far cry from the US that I grew up in. Yeah some things in the new version of America are an improvement, the elimination of racial segregation being the foremost example, but IMHO there are many more negatives than positives overall. It's enough to make me glad that I won't be around to see the ultimate result of this "diversity" that the liberals celebrate, but it also makes me sad to know that my kids and grandkids will be here to see the new America and to live under it's politically correct laws that would horrify and disgust the authors of the Constitution.

72 posted on 11/12/2008 7:57:25 AM PST by epow (If B. Hussein Obama is not AntiChrist he's the perfect stand-in until the real thing shows up.)
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To: reaganaut1

Toe sucker is such a brown noising joke.


73 posted on 11/12/2008 8:01:06 AM PST by org.whodat ( "the Whipped Dog Party" , what was formally the republicans.)
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To: reaganaut1

The market is (and has been) dropping like a rock for obvious reasons.

Before the election:

1. Market manipulators & moneychangers trying desperately to get O’Bongo elected. Any bad economic news is spun (and will continue to be, even after Bush is long gone) by the media against Bush & the Republicans. Even when, as in the “mortgage crisis”, the problem is 100% the fault of the Rats and their policies.

After the election:

1. Manipulation to lower expectations for the incoming O’Bongo regime. “It will take years to recover from the damage Bush and the Republicans did to the economy”. That will be the Rat talking point for months or years to come. And the morons will continue to believe whatever the media tells them.

2. To impoverish more people, as whatever paper wealth they had in the market (401Ks, pension plans, etc.) evaporates into nothingness. More impoverished people means more poor suckers dependent on the Gubmint to help them out, which means more Rat voters.


74 posted on 11/12/2008 8:03:03 AM PST by PermaRag
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To: cdga5for4
Let me tell you a little sad story about this election. I know of two men who are great defenders of the 2nd Amendment. That said I must also say they are extremely racist and sexist. I always wondered which was their top most hate and this election surfaced it. They chose to vote for Obama and vote AGAINST Palin. Hard to believe I know, but that is the truth. Now they are busily trying to warp their minds into the correct configuration to convince those around them that they are not total idiots...without much hope I must say. I have total disgust for both of them. They are said to be highly educated and supposedly highly intelligent. But I had a clue when I heard (second hand) how terribly they spoke of Condeleeza Rice as she evidently embodies everything they hate. They are disgusting individuals and I suspect there are more of them than we'd like to admit. I hope they stay with the Dems as that is where they belong, they should be very comfortable there.
75 posted on 11/12/2008 8:04:03 AM PST by pepperdog (The world has gone crazy.)
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To: Moconservative

“Who was more important on the ticket? Look at who was attacked more on the campaign. The fear on the left was against Governor Palin not John McCain.”

The fear was also on the side of the Republicans to include McNut:

RUSH... “It’s worse than I thought. There are moderate Republicans who want nothing to do with a conservative who can fire up people.” (Meaning Sarah Palin.)

(skip)

“Why destroy Sarah Palin right now? The only reason I see is to make sure she doesn’t rise again as a force for conservatism in the Republican Party.”


76 posted on 11/12/2008 8:05:09 AM PST by GatĂșn(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)
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To: reaganaut1
Sarah has earned the GOP nod in 2012 if she wants it. She's the only thing which cut the losses by nominating Mr. Reach-across-the-aisle.

She may opt to chose to run for VP again, but I really don't know who would head the ticket. Fred Thompson is too old. Bobby Jindal is great, but really doesn't have much more experience and even less name recognition. Huckabee is just southern fried McCain without the experience. Romney has the economic competence, looks and experience, but I also think he would be a better VP to hone up his conservative bonafides before he could be fully trusted. Newt Gingrich is a great strategist, but would be seen as a step backward into the Clinton years.

So, all-in-all, I really don't see a better candidate out there than Sarah Palin.

77 posted on 11/12/2008 8:05:24 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Are there any men left in Washington? Or, are there only cowards? Ahmad Shah Massoud)
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To: reaganaut1

bump for later


78 posted on 11/12/2008 8:06:58 AM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: RegulatorCountry
I just wonder about vote fraud, and by that I don’t mean just inflated numbers on the Dem side. I wonder about Republican votes being “lost,” or otherwise not counted.

Witness what's happening in Minnesota. Coleman is having the election ripped away from under him. Welcome Senator Stuart Smiley...

79 posted on 11/12/2008 8:15:45 AM PST by COBOL2Java (Obama: Satan's Counterfeit Christ)
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To: SmokingJoe
McCain sank after his notorious vote for that $700 billion bailout vote, and his speech blaming the Republican appointed Chairman of the SEC instead of blaming the Dims and Barney Frank the real culprits). He never recovered. No one can save a guy that is determined to lose like McCain was.

There is so much truth in your words, SJ, that they bear repeating.

More than once I got the feeling that McCain wanted to throw this election. He wanted everyone to stand up and fight for America--except him.

We knew this about him before, but tried to drag Yosemite Sam kicking and screaming across the finish line in spite of himself, to save the country from Obama.

Now, 20 years to the day when the great Ronald Reagn left office, a radical Marxist thug from Chicago will be inaugurated, and will usher in all of the ideals Reagan fought against his whole life and defeated.

That's why the GOP is now dead to me. They not only screwed up the opportunity we gave them when they were given all three levers of the government, they did not even fight for America to save it from the clutches of Obama.

80 posted on 11/12/2008 8:20:05 AM PST by exit82 (It's all Obama's fault. And Biden is still a moron. They are both above their paygrade.)
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