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CO: Massive Democrat Early Voting Effort Nets Only 0.8% Edge in Turnout!
The Campaign Spot - National Review Online ^ | 11-4-08 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 11/04/2008 11:29:09 AM PST by TitansAFC

Republicans Kept Pace in Colorado's Early Voting

These results from early voting in Colorado are fascinating.

Out of 1,704,280 "early votes" cast, over 50% of registered voters, the percentage breakdown was:

Dem 33.44% (569,875) Rep 32.64% (556,241) Ind. 24.71% (421,124)

The print edition of this story shows a graphic with the following information:

Voting by absentee ballot:

Total 1,339,065

Rep. 441,841 Dem. 441,203 Ind. 311,196

Voting by early voting:

Total 365,215

Dem. 128,672 Rep. 114,400

If I remember correctly, Republicans traditionally have an advantage in early voting in Colorado, so this isn't unalloyed good news. But I generally concur with the Colorado reader who noticed this that "Republicans held their own in both types of early voting in Colorado despite the unprecedented effort by Democrats to get a jump; only 8/10s of 1 percent difference... which casts doubt on the higher Democrat party ID in recent polls."

The Oct. 30 Marist poll, for example, had Obama leading early voters, 59 to 41. Now, perhaps there are a lot of Obamacans in this state, or perhaps the independents overwhelmingly preferred Obama. But then again, maybe not.

It's possible that most of the voters who show up today are Democrats, and it's possible that the independents prefer Obama. But judging from the party breakdown of early voting, the Democrats have not yet generated any signficant Party ID advantage among the state's electorate as a whole.


TOPICS: Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; mccain; obama; palin
Bottom Line: Remember how the Democrats told their folks they needed a 6-8% edge in CO early voting to offset the Election Day GOTV for the GOP?

Not Nearly Enough!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

McCain/Palin looking VERY GOOD right now in Colorado!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

1 posted on 11/04/2008 11:29:11 AM PST by TitansAFC
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To: Norman Bates; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; ...
The McCain List.

Good News From Colorado!!!!!!!!!!!!

2 posted on 11/04/2008 11:30:26 AM PST by TitansAFC (In 2008, please vote GOP and show us that you love your country more than you hate John McCain)
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To: TitansAFC

I made multiple posts over the weekend pointing out this. This is indisputable proof that the stupid party ID models from the pollsters have been peddling are totally bogus.


3 posted on 11/04/2008 11:34:09 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

...for Colorado.


4 posted on 11/04/2008 11:34:50 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: TitansAFC

Also, don’t forget the PUMA factor - just because Dems are voting doesn’t necessarily mean that they’re voting for Obama.


5 posted on 11/04/2008 11:40:27 AM PST by Bob
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To: TitansAFC
Dem 33.44% (569,875) Rep 32.64% (556,241) Ind. 24.71% (421,124)

And what weightings were Zogby, Gallup, Battleground, and the rest using for their polling data? LOL!

6 posted on 11/04/2008 11:40:27 AM PST by Yo-Yo
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To: ChuxsterS; RepoGirl

bump


7 posted on 11/04/2008 11:41:07 AM PST by Big Guy and Rusty 99 (If Benito Mussolini was IL DUCE, Barack Obama is ILL DOUCHE!)
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To: TitansAFC

Puma! Puma! Puma!


8 posted on 11/04/2008 11:42:42 AM PST by rfp1234 (Phodopus campbelli: household ruler since July 2007.)
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To: TitansAFC

Excellent.

All the news I get with REAL DATA encourages me — and it’s always opposite of the the MSM/Polling guesswork & propaganda.


9 posted on 11/04/2008 11:43:08 AM PST by Uncledave (Zombie Reagan '08)
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To: TitansAFC

c’mon colorado!


10 posted on 11/04/2008 11:46:21 AM PST by iceshaving
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To: iceshaving

just to show how even these numbers can be skewed, albeit unintentionally. i am a registered democratic in colorado (to vote for dick lamm in the primary in 1990). i have never changed my affiliation so i am one of those early voting democratics but i NEVER voted for a democratic in a national election.

btw calling it the democrat party and them democratics really annoys them. of course, calling them fascsists really confusses them because, to them, communism isn’t fascism.


11 posted on 11/04/2008 12:03:31 PM PST by bravo whiskey (green is the new mean)
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To: TitansAFC
Good news if the actual votes correspond to the party breakdown of early voters. We're constantly told that it should be even better than that, since the PUMAs will vote R (as if not a single R will vote D). Hope it works out for McCain in the end, but...

Early voting is just step one of voter fraud. Vote early, then vote many times via absentee ballot, then show up at the polls (early and often) and vote yet again.

Some states may have rules in place to stop those sorts of shenanigans (but who enforces the rules, eh?), but only if Colorado can clamp down on Massive Democrat Vote Fraud do we have a realistic chance there.

There certainly was massive vote fraud in Boulder back in 2004 (and Denver too, surely) and nothing was done about that. Bush won the state anyway, but the fraud machine is in top gear for 2008.

12 posted on 11/04/2008 12:05:10 PM PST by PermaRag
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To: TitansAFC

I voted a little while ago in Loveland Colorado. Now mind you it is a conservative very red area. I rarely have to look at Obama signs. I took a snack, my sony so I could listen to Rush while I waited and a copy of the proposed ballot.

I went into the voting place, walked up showed my ID, two poll watchers and about 8 voters were present. I was in and out in 10 minutes.

I doesn’t take long - I always vote No on the Judges because no one should get a free pass. Luckily they had all of the Right to work stuff in one area and the union stuff in another area.

Most everyone has voted already.


13 posted on 11/04/2008 12:36:12 PM PST by ODDITHER
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To: Bob
Also, don’t forget the PUMA factor

Or the "Chaos" factor.

We re-registered Dem this spring, so we could vote against Obama twice.

we didn't have to worry about local races, and it was obvious by the time we vote in June that Hillary was not going to be the winning.

Now we were getting polled as Dems, and lied like rugs.

14 posted on 11/04/2008 1:56:59 PM PST by ApplegateRanch (The Great Obamanation of Desolation, attempting to sit in the Oval Office, where he ought not..)
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