Early Voting Statistics as of 11/03/08
Number of ballots voted in person: 1,778,317
Number of mail-in ballots returned:
242,522 Total Number of ballots cast: 2,020,839
Turn out Demographics:
Black Female 442,843
Black Male 262,360
White Female 677,667
White Male 542,449
Asian Female 6,889
Asia Male 5,128
Hispanic Female 8,625
Hispanic Male 6,289
Native American Female 160
Native American Male 137
Other 68,292 Total 2,020,839
Top 5 Counties in turn out:
1. Dekalb: 178,140
2. Fulton: 168,443
3. Cobb: 144,015
4. Gwinnett: 107,938
5. Henry: 69,064
What a pity that we have to define people by RACE ... .
Anyway, I can read it better when listed like this.
So what PARTY Is winning?
Wake from your long sleep oh media weary Georgian conservatives!! VOTE VOTE VOTE!!!!
DeKalb is heavily liberal and much of Fulton is except for the northern tip, and, of course, they are the most populated counties. Cobb, Gwinnett and Henry are conservative. Hopefully, a ton of absentee ballots are received today and tomorrow. I’m a little surprised there aren’t more.
Don’t sweat it:
GA will EASILY fall for McCain/Palin.
DeKalb is heavily liberal and much of Fulton is except for the northern tip, and, of course, they are the most populated counties. Cobb, Gwinnett and Henry are conservative. Hopefully, a ton of absentee ballots are received today and tomorrow. I’m a little surprised there aren’t more.
DeKalb is heavily liberal and much of Fulton is except for the northern tip, and, of course, they are the most populated counties. Cobb, Gwinnett and Henry are conservative. Hopefully, a ton of absentee ballots are received today and tomorrow. I’m a little surprised there aren’t more.
What the statistics do not mention, and I wonder if this is the case in other states too, is that the “early voting” precincts, up until last Monday (in Fulton and Dekalb anyway) were all located in heavily black areas, such as College Park. It wasn’t very convenient or tempting to make the trip into unfamiliar territory to vote early!
When the Pubbie areas also opened up early voting precincts last week, the lines were sometimes eight hours long (parking lots so full that people were parking on grass, many, many cars w/McPalin stickers on them), haven’t heard of any less than 2.5 hours in the Pubbie areas. I decided to chance waiting to vote in my own precinct tomorrow.
Based on these numbers, McCain has handily won Georgia.
In 2004:
691,616 black female RV 527,677 AV 76%
464,090 black male RV, 306,654 AV 66%
1,544,536 white female RV, 1,253,961 AV 81%
1,372,786 white male RV, 1,090,671 AV 79%
So even assuming an 100% black female and black male turnout, and assign every black voter to Obama, Obama can only garner net gain of 410,000 black female and
2008 1,000,000 black female RV (442,843 early voters)
2008 719,000 black male RV (262,360 early voters)
2008 1,908,000 white female RV (677,667 early voters)
2008 1,703,150 white male RV (542,449 early voters)
Bush carried Georgia by 600,000 votes. So even assuming that every black female and every black male will vote (not likely) and every black female and male will vote for Obama (not that wild of an assumption because of black racism) Obama only picks up 427,000 black females, and 250,000 black males.
Bush won the state by 600,000.
Tellingly, in 2004, there were 1,372,000 evil white men voters. Guess what? In 2008, there are 1,703,000. I fancy that quite a few will be pulling the ticket for McCain/Palin.
This is why Obama pulled out of Georgia, and why he will lose in NC.