Based on these numbers, McCain has handily won Georgia.
In 2004:
691,616 black female RV 527,677 AV 76%
464,090 black male RV, 306,654 AV 66%
1,544,536 white female RV, 1,253,961 AV 81%
1,372,786 white male RV, 1,090,671 AV 79%
So even assuming an 100% black female and black male turnout, and assign every black voter to Obama, Obama can only garner net gain of 410,000 black female and
2008 1,000,000 black female RV (442,843 early voters)
2008 719,000 black male RV (262,360 early voters)
2008 1,908,000 white female RV (677,667 early voters)
2008 1,703,150 white male RV (542,449 early voters)
Bush carried Georgia by 600,000 votes. So even assuming that every black female and every black male will vote (not likely) and every black female and male will vote for Obama (not that wild of an assumption because of black racism) Obama only picks up 427,000 black females, and 250,000 black males.
Bush won the state by 600,000.
Tellingly, in 2004, there were 1,372,000 evil white men voters. Guess what? In 2008, there are 1,703,000. I fancy that quite a few will be pulling the ticket for McCain/Palin.
This is why Obama pulled out of Georgia, and why he will lose in NC.
This is what I've been hearing. People who haven't voted in 30 years are coming out in droves to vote against Obama.