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Big Early Vote Leads for McCain in Florida
Political Machine ^ | Oct 31, 2008 | Mark Impomeni

Posted on 11/03/2008 2:16:32 AM PST by tallyhoe

Democrats are touting early leads in turnout for early voting in Florida. But a new poll that counts actual votes cast in the early balloting gives Sen. John McCain a four point lead among those who have already voted in the Sunshine State. The Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll of early voters shows McCain ahead 49-45%.Democrats outnumber Republicans by 54-30% in the party identification of early voters, according to figures released by the Democratic Party of Florida. Those numbers are not showing up in the voting this far.

More good news for McCain can be found in the the absentee vote tally. Republican registrants lead Democrats by a huge margin, 50-30%, in the over 1.2 million absentee ballots returned this far. Florida has a large active duty military population, many of whom vote by absentee ballot from stations overseas. That typically gives Republican candidates a large vote advantage in state wide elections.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.aol.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: earlyvoting; fl2008; mccain; obama
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To: 6SJ7

Some of you trolls lurking here and debbie downers can poo poo this, but if this holds its a disaster for Obama. Period. I don’t beleive in polls at all but......this is a poll of immutable votes and that I am down with. Florida could be an early call for McCain. Looks like MASSIVE crossover of Dems for McCain


41 posted on 11/03/2008 4:05:03 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: pburgh01
Some of you trolls lurking here and debbie downers can poo poo this, but if this holds its a disaster for Obama. Period. I don’t beleive in polls at all but......this is a poll of immutable votes and that I am down with. Florida could be an early call for McCain. Looks like MASSIVE crossover of Dems for McCain

How does anyone know what the real votes are? They aren't counting the votes early.

As much as I'd like to believe these "numbers" but to call them immutable is a stretch.

42 posted on 11/03/2008 4:11:50 AM PST by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages - In Honor of Standing Wolf)
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To: jersey117

It’s an old interview, but for crying out loud that quote alone should cost Hussein the election!

Simply unbelieveable. The traitor refuses to put his hand over his heart for fear of offending anyone in foreign lands by showing allegiance to America—the country he purports to be a citizen of, and to which he aspires the office of Commander-in-Chief...


43 posted on 11/03/2008 4:14:56 AM PST by VigilantAmerican (We will not waver, we will not tire; we will not falter, we will not fail)
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To: tallyhoe

“This is good news! Dems voted 54% to 30 republican in early voting!!!!”

I think this shows how “reliable” the polls have been. Dems are going big for McCain. Bradley Effect++++!

GET OUT THE VOTE!

McCain/Palin ‘08!


44 posted on 11/03/2008 4:17:40 AM PST by PreciousLiberty
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Comment #45 Removed by Moderator

To: fortunate sun
Admit their own failure?

"The race shifted at the last minute. Our final polls (published on Wednesday) were actually right on the mark. We totally nailed this one."

46 posted on 11/03/2008 4:18:52 AM PST by Onelifetogive (Is it too early to open a female wing on Mt. Rushmore?)
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To: pburgh01
I don’t beleive in polls at all but......this is a poll of immutable votes and that I am down with. Florida could be an early call for McCain. Looks like MASSIVE crossover of Dems for McCain

The cool part is this represents hard numbers of what people *really* think; and you're correct, it points toward a massive crossover to Mac.

I remember reading elsewhere that polls now routinely encounter 80% non-response rates. This fits the spiral of silence theory that many people are now intimidated to speak freely because of their perception of being the minority opinion (the opinion of the MSM). When the MSM screams "racist" at every disagreement to their holy view, people begin to clam up.

47 posted on 11/03/2008 4:20:21 AM PST by 6SJ7 (Welcome PUMAs!)
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To: Principled

The major story behind a McCain win will be the number of Dems not voting for Obama.


48 posted on 11/03/2008 4:22:07 AM PST by kabar
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To: jersey117

Obama on Meet the Press was asked about placing his hand over his heart during the National Anthem and he replied that he didn’t want to appear to be “taking sides” because some people around the world find our flag to be a symbol of oppression. I caught the tail end of his rant and then the guy was””

I didn’t watch MTP yesterday, but this sounds exactly like an answer Nobama would spout.


49 posted on 11/03/2008 4:29:15 AM PST by ridesthemiles
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To: tallyhoe
The dems have found a particular interesting forumla: Pick a candidate so foul, unAmerican, rotten to the core, that anything pubs put out on the guy (The Øne) sounds outrageous to undecideds, that they cannot believe it, and makes it easy for dems to cry "Slime!".

Another factor is that pubs, being able to see what's behind the guy's (The Øne) curtain, become totally ENERGIZED, even for a candidate they were not really enthused for a few months ago. This is because we are fighting now for our Country, and what the rest of our lives and our children's lives will be like. Long past the issues of Pro-Life, balanced -budget... we now are in a do-or-die situation. We must fight this battle today so that we still have the opportunity to fight our dearest issues tomorrow.

No matter who wins tomorrow though, we have our work cut out for us, as there will always be a struggle against liberalism. If its McCain, we need to keep him inline and not succumb to pelousi/reed. I hope and prey its not The Øne, but he won't be able to put his master's plans in place overnite, and thus we will need to slow him down to fight another day to reclaim and fix the damage.

50 posted on 11/03/2008 4:29:18 AM PST by C210N (The television has mounted the most serious assault on Republicanism since Das Kapital.)
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To: Auntie Toots

With all the early voting, I have been worried that some of the vote counting would occur—and “poll workers” would leak results VERY early.

I don’t like the early voting for a number of reasons.


51 posted on 11/03/2008 4:31:19 AM PST by ridesthemiles
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To: VigilantAmerican; jersey117

Snope says that supposed statement by BO is a false claim.


52 posted on 11/03/2008 4:31:26 AM PST by babyfreep
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To: Take2
McCain is soooooooooo winning OH. SEE post 64 http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2122092/posts?page=64#64
53 posted on 11/03/2008 4:33:14 AM PST by Total Package (TOLEDO, OHIO THE MRSA INFECTION IN THE STATE and the death of freedom)
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To: babyfreep

snopes is no better than politico.

LLS


54 posted on 11/03/2008 4:35:01 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (GOD, Country, Family... except when it comes to dims!)
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To: milford421

Well, he would have at least two big reason not to vote for B. Hussin Obama: socialism and anti-israelism of his party. Why he is not for McCain?!


55 posted on 11/03/2008 4:36:41 AM PST by tomymind
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To: Take2

??? It would be nice if people like you drank some coffee or otherwise paid some kind of attention to what is being discussed before posting:

The article you posted (in reply to the one that is the subject of discussion) is about likely voting polls, while the article in question is about those who’ve already voted.

Besdies, a quote from the article YOU posted is as follows: “But McCain is slightly ahead in Florida among early-voting respondents, 49% to 45%.”

Your own flippant scoffing at our joy winds up confirming the reason for our earnestly cautious celebration.


56 posted on 11/03/2008 4:38:00 AM PST by VigilantAmerican (We will not waver, we will not tire; we will not falter, we will not fail)
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To: livius
Cuban Hispanics, of course. They seem to recognize communism when the see it. I'm not at all confident that Hispanics of Mexican origin are so intelligent. If that statement appears racist, so be it. But Cubans, from my experience, love our country. The other group, act like it's a mexican welfare department.
57 posted on 11/03/2008 4:39:49 AM PST by bitterohiogunclinger (Never argue with an idiot, they always wear you down and beat you with experience)
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To: babyfreep

Snopes is wrong.


58 posted on 11/03/2008 4:40:59 AM PST by VigilantAmerican (We will not waver, we will not tire; we will not falter, we will not fail)
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To: napscoordinator
I will stand in line until HELL freezes over to cast my vote.....
59 posted on 11/03/2008 4:41:45 AM PST by rightwingextremist1776
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To: VigilantAmerican

You’re absolute;y right. I humbly stand corrected.


60 posted on 11/03/2008 4:43:52 AM PST by Take2
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