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Five things that keep Democrats up at night
The Toronto Star ^ | November 2, 2008 | Tim Harper

Posted on 11/02/2008 2:46:41 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

WASHINGTON–An extra hour on the clock? Just another hour for Democrats to toss and turn.

On this, their most nervous of weekends – with thoughts of Fat Ladies not yet singing, Yogi Berra proclaiming: "It ain't over till it's over" and Dewey beating Truman – they received another fright yesterday from Barack Obama's aunt living illegally in Boston.

Here are five things that come at Obama supporters in the night:

• Auntie Zeituni: The Obama campaign said yesterday it would return $260 in campaign donations from Zeituni Onyango, his Kenyan-born aunt who is living illegally in this country.

Obama said he had no idea the woman he refers affectionately to as "Auntie Zeituni" in his memoir had been ordered out of the country four years ago by an immigration judge but said he believed all U.S. laws should be followed.

She lives in public housing in Boston and attended Obama's swearing-in as a U.S. senator in 2004 and, according to Obama, last talked to him about two years ago.

The campaign said such revelations about the half-sister of Obama's late father should be viewed suspiciously when they're leaked less than 72 hours before voting day. Not quite a November surprise but certainly an unwelcome November distraction.

• Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida: All are still in the Obama column, but all are tightening in the final days.

"It's time for a reality check," Pennsylvania Democratic Governor Ed Rendell said Friday. "We've got our work cut out for us."

His state looks solidly behind Obama, but what's with this NBC/Mason Dixon poll suddenly showing his lead at only four points, within the margin of error?

RealClearPolitics, which collects and averages major polls, shows McCain has whittled six points off Obama's once 14-point lead in Pennsylvania in three weeks.

That's 68 electoral votes in those three states. If everything goes south this weekend. ... Want to sleep better? John McCain's home state in Arizona is now in the toss-up category, according to RealClearPolitics.

• Investor's Business Daily poll: It has become the Republican equivalent of comfort food, the most accurate poll in 2004 has consistently put the national race closer than most other polls do.

Yesterday, it had Obama up only 4.5 points nationally, but with 8.7 per cent still saying they were unsure. And while Democrats are worrying, what about this nugget in yesterday's Hotline Diageo tracking poll putting McCain and Obama tied among independent voters? A week ago, Obama led by five points.

Maybe running mate Joe Biden will make you feel better.

"I felt awful good about this time in the (John) Kerry campaign and I felt good in the(Al) Gore campaign and so, so, this, that old joke, you know, it ain't over till it's over," Biden said.

Never mind.

• Where is the youth vote? There is evidence that in the midst of record early voting, the one missing component is the youth vote, those who have turned out in the tens of thousands to cheer Obama at rallies.

In Florida, where 3.4 million people have already voted, an Orlando Sentinel study found only 15 per cent of them were under age 35.

Then there is the legendary Republican Get Out the Vote effort. But this year, some of the GOTV money has been poured into final weekend advertising and it is hard to believe a legendary Obama ground game would not deliver.

Right, kids?

• The Bradley Effect: This phenomenon – named after black candidate Tom Bradley, who unexpectedly lost to the 1982 California gubernatorial election to the white Republican challenger, George Deukmejian, may be myth or at least outdated.

There is no reputable polling data available in 2008 that indicates voters are telling pollsters they will vote for Obama while actually planning to vote for McCain.

More often than not, Obama outperformed his polling numbers in the primaries.

But it would be naïve to discount race in places like Pennsylvania and Ohio, states where Hillary Clinton easily beat Obama in the primaries, and it is more likely that many people who tell pollsters they are undecided have really decided to vote for McCain.

That means there could be 6 per cent of Americans listed as "undecided" who are actually McCain backers hiding their intentions.

But an expected record black vote for Obama will overwhelm any latent racist effect.

Won't it?


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Florida; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2008; 20082008polls; 2008polls; auntiezeituni; bradleyeffect; democrats; election; elections; ibd; mccain; obama; onyango; polls; youthvote
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Hahahaha!
1 posted on 11/02/2008 2:46:41 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
If Obama has the election wrapped up, we wouldn't be seeing the GOP vote suppression propaganda campaign intensify and be hearing pleas from liberals for him not to concede!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

2 posted on 11/02/2008 2:50:26 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Here’s Number Six:

Trinity United Church...formerly led by the allegedly reverend Jeremiah Wright. Ads are airing now to reacquaint battleground states with this vile, racist, America-hating anti-semite.

By the way, a few minutes ago, after thanking Bruce Springsteen for his singing, Obama thanked others...including one of the “smartest men I know”, Reverend Otis Moss.

Current ‘leader’ at Trinity.

Now it’s raining on Obama...maybe Someone is sending a message.


3 posted on 11/02/2008 2:52:21 PM PST by LostInBayport (John McCain is the Luckiest Man Alive...mere mortals such as we can only wonder why...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
monsters under the bed by loveandasandwich.

Monsters Under The Dem's Bed!

4 posted on 11/02/2008 2:52:25 PM PST by SandRat (Duty, Honor, Country! What else needs said?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
But an expected record black vote for Obama will overwhelm any latent racist effect.

Oh, now I understand. The "expected record black vote for Obama" is a blatant racist effect.

5 posted on 11/02/2008 2:54:58 PM PST by Peelod (McCain/Palin ~~~ 100% lawyer-free)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

6 posted on 11/02/2008 2:55:07 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (You MUST see this website: http://www.neverfindout.org/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I can't imagine what the liberals might be afraid of:

Everyone is militia!
YouTube October 29, 2008

7 posted on 11/02/2008 2:55:45 PM PST by meadsjn (Socialists promote neighbors selling out their neighbors; Free Traitors promote just the opposite.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"In Florida, where 3.4 million people have already voted, an Orlando Sentinel study found only 15 per cent of them were under age 35."

That sounds pretty high for death's waiting room.

8 posted on 11/02/2008 2:56:41 PM PST by Past Your Eyes (You knew the job was dangerous when you took it.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hanoi Jane is sobbing her eyes out because John McCain has beaten her AGAIN and Susan Sarandon is already packing up her shoes to move to Italy. Those wacky ‘RATS crack me up.


9 posted on 11/02/2008 2:57:01 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (I'm voting for McCain/Palin so I can look my grandchildren in the eyes when I tell them I'm sorry.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Where is the youth vote?

Sex, drugs, socializing, worrying about what to wear tomorrow, is he / she going to call me?, sex, my next job, hot band this weekend in town, sex.... Sorry, no time to vote.

10 posted on 11/02/2008 3:01:47 PM PST by gotribe (obama just sucks - your wealth away)
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To: LostInBayport
thanking Bruce Springsteen for his singing,

Oh that is what you call what he does?? I thought he was imitating Yak mating sounds!! :-)

11 posted on 11/02/2008 3:36:27 PM PST by EagleandLiberty (I rather get my Tax advice from Joe the Plumber then my plumbing advice from Obama)
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To: LostInBayport

Less than 36 hours!!! The clock is ticking...one final push to save the U.S.A.!

The challenge:

Between NOW and election day, convince at least two Obama/Undecided voters to vote for McCain. (family, neighbors, friends, people waiting in the check-out line) Further, convince these two people (or two others) to take up the same challenge. (Like a chain letter)

So you have converted people in the past? Good, but we need more!

Many Obama supporters are mindlessly supporting him, with no real reason, this means it is VERY easy to get them to switch over. Even if you fail, other Obama/undecideds may be in the room and hear valid arguments and question their faith in the One.

Don’t kick yourself a week from now saying “I could’ve done more....”

Do your part...your country depends on it!


12 posted on 11/02/2008 3:38:39 PM PST by tj21807
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To: Past Your Eyes

Contrary to popular belief, Florida has less older voters then Pennsylvania.


13 posted on 11/02/2008 3:52:02 PM PST by EagleandLiberty (I rather get my Tax advice from Joe the Plumber then my plumbing advice from Obama)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Out of all five of these reasons for Dem’s to worry, I’d say Bradley should be at the top of their list. It is the great unknown in this election...... the so-called elephant in the room if you will.


14 posted on 11/02/2008 4:05:40 PM PST by ForbesFan
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To: gotribe; 2ndDivisionVet
Where is the youth vote?

Where I live, I'm right in the midst of zombie-ville. Yet, the young (18-25 yr. old) seem more receptive to hearing and considering the actual truth behind where 0bama is really coming from.

The boomers? BRAIN DEAD. They argue each and every little point, clinging to whatever minutia they can to base their wobbly (no pun intended?) beliefs upon.

Facts don't matter. They are so deep into the spin cycle their thinking is thoroughly scrambled. Talking to them is like talking to a brick wall.

One can easily enough tear down most of their points of reasoning, but they'll just bring up some other BS, over, and over, and over. For hours. I've never seen anything like it. The commies in the educational systems, and the dhimmocrat party enablers in the media have done their filthy jobs well. Much of the populace has been brainwashed, and are blind to what going along wholeheartedly with dhimmocrat party agendas would actually mean. Sort of like coal miners voting for Zero-man when, if Zero gets his way, coal mining for electrical power plant operations would soon go the way of the dodo bird.

Hey everybody! Vote to lose your job! It's good for the environment! Global Warming Climate Change is all America's fault! Let's We HAVE to "do something" about it so we can all feel smug and justified, since "doing something" about it will only harm those people unlike us, like you know, the typical working stiff. Wait -- we ARE the working stiffs.

[momentarily, certain facts almost begin to set in, but they have a cure]

Run in circles scream and shout! Fox News! Rush Limbaugh! Karl Rove! George (the EVIL!) Bush!!! Damn them damn them damn them!!!

Zombies. With Bush Derangement Syndrome. It's what passes for mainstream thought, here on the Left Coast.

15 posted on 11/02/2008 4:07:00 PM PST by 7MMmag (...goin' to dee-cee soon....gonna be a pitch-fork tycoon...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Five things that keep Democrats up at night

Let me guess

  1. dreaming of the day when George Bush and Dick Cheney will be arrested for war crimes, with extraordinary rendition to the Hague
  2. hoping that the 'fairness doctrine' will soon shut off all voices of opposition on the airwaves
  3. praying for thirty days of mandated employer-paid maternity/paternity leave for all workers every year, whether or not the employee has a new child
  4. longing for forced workplace unionization without taking into account the desire of the employees or the messiness of secret ballots; and,
  5. aching for 'gay and lesbian lifestyle training' to be incorporated into all K-12 education, homeschooling to be outlawed, and transgendered bathrooms to be required in all public schools

Did I get it right?

16 posted on 11/02/2008 4:18:12 PM PST by Zeppo (Every mighty mild... seventies child... Beats me (Metric - Combat Baby))
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To: gotribe

Ahhhh, the good old days.....;0)

Sex, drugs, socializing, worrying about what to wear tomorrow, is he / she going to call me?, sex, my next job, hot band this weekend in town, sex.... Sorry, no time to vote.


17 posted on 11/02/2008 4:18:42 PM PST by proudtobeanamerican1 (Bag em and tag em!)
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To: EagleandLiberty

They must be well hidden.


18 posted on 11/02/2008 4:32:42 PM PST by Past Your Eyes (You knew the job was dangerous when you took it.)
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To: gotribe
Well Omigod..... you know, like voting and democracy is soooooyesterday."
19 posted on 11/02/2008 4:52:42 PM PST by Emperor Palpatine ("Everything is proceeding as I have foreseen.)
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To: Past Your Eyes

They aren’t hidden!! Where I live is a new community of 1200 new single family homes, across the street is a new 2500 home community, 3v miles down the street is a 3400 home community being built. about 4 miles from that is a new 3500 home ACTIVE ADULT COMMUNITY (Adults only 45 and above), the only one for OLDER ADULTS.


20 posted on 11/02/2008 4:57:18 PM PST by EagleandLiberty (I rather get my Tax advice from Joe the Plumber then my plumbing advice from Obama)
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