Posted on 10/31/2008 2:48:25 PM PDT by flattorney
10.31.08: Barack Obama leads John McCain by 4 points, 45% to 41%, in a poll just released by the Florida Chamber of Commerce. This response shows considerable movement in Florida's electorate since the last Florida Chamber poll, conducted October 1st, in which the McCain ticket lead Obama by 3 points, 45% to 42%. Pollsters for the powerful business group contacted 601 likely voters from Oct. 26-27 and the poll has a margin of error of 4 percentage points. The poll also shows 9 percent of Floridians are undecided -- a total that's a bit higher than most other surveys -- while 3 percent intend to vote for one of the other candidates outside of the two major parties. Another 2 percent refused to answer. The Florida Chamber of Commerce is a strongly pro-business group, and its periodic polls often reflect a more conservative reading of the Florida electorate.
“With only 5 days left until Election Day, and the massive amount of dollars and hard campaigning in Florida by both campaigns, it is rather astounding that nine percent of Florida’s voters still remain undecided,” said Marian Johnson, Vice President of Political Strategy for the Florida Chamber of Commerce. “The I-4 Corridor, from Tampa Bay through Central Florida, including Orlando, has become a major focus of both campaigns. We anticipate an enormous last-minute push to get out the vote, especially in this area of the state with such a large number of undecided voters.”
Florida COC Polling Results:
Florida Chamber(R) 10/26 - 10/27 601|LV|4.0 McCain 41 Obama 45 - Obama +4
Florida Chamber(R) 09/30 - 10/01 619|RV|4.0 McCain 45 Obama 42 - McCain +3
10.30.08: Latest Florida Polls, RCP Average, Obama +3.5 down from +4.2 recent peak
10.31.08: Florida Early Voting & Absentee Ballots Total Votes: 3,360,088
D 45.6%; R 38.2%: O 16.2% | In-person: 58.5%; Absentee: 41.5% | % to Total 2004 Vote: 44%
EV: D 53.8%; R 30.0%, O 16.2%. | AB: D 35.5%; R 49.8%; O 14.88%
11,247,634 Florida registered voters; D: 4,722,076(42.0%); R: 4,064,301(36.1%); O: 2,461,257(21.9%)
TAB
Polls are driving me insane!!!!
lie
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
600 Sample size is too low...Wonder what the sample size was earlier in the month when McCain was ahead??
Early voting is heavy and with Amendment #2 on the Ballot I think we will have a record turnout in Florida.
At least in SW Florida IMHO it's McCain/Palin Country.
Broward-Dade will be the most susceptible to Obama/Biden and the most likely to have voter fraud.
JMHO.
McCain is going to kick OBama’s ass in Florida.
So whatever to your poll.
Why is the Florida Chamber of Commerce conducting polls?
Tied in Naples and Ft. Myers? Yeah right. This poll is BS.
The thing about Tampa is Obama had a rally there and drew about 2,000.
Sarah had a rally around the same tim in Clearwater (across the bay) and pulled over 20,000. The city and police begged people not to come because they could not handle it.
Mac’s doing better in West Palm Beach than Tampa/St Pete area? I have a hard time believing that.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
“Why is the Florida Chamber of Commerce conducting polls?”
And what is there track record?
Dade should split 50/50 and the Cuban-Americans will make sure there is not rampant Dem fraud. In Broward we still have a Repub sheriff who is a good guy and hopefully his dept is able to make sure fraud is kept at a minimum.
That is what they are intended to do.
Neither the military (and their families) nor Cuban immigrants will vote for the Socialist Obama.
Remember how they told us how bad things were in 2006, and convinced Americans to vote for change?
Don't let them do it again. Vote!
Polls are just not be be believed. Just maybe one can find a poll that is close on the evening of Nov. 3rd. But the results of the only poll that counts will be known before midnight on Nov.4th when McCain/Palin win the White House!
Agreed. The sample size is too small and that is probably what explains the big swings between the poll periods. We can also expect a big Bradley effect in Florida.
I wonder how taxing the crap out of people with disposable income will affect Fla’s tourist industry?
Hmmmm?
I just hope we don’t have to wait and wait. It is already so stressful.
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