Posted on 10/29/2008 6:27:18 AM PDT by HK Ball
The last three days have shown the strongest shift toward McCain since August ...
Thanks. I’m hoping, praying, and working hard!
The say the most important “value” of polls isn’t the numbers, it’s the TRENDS. The trend is real for McCain and he is going to close the gap further until election day.
And today there is a two point move to Mac at Rasmussen.
I’m thinking that McCain’s drop in the polls after the market meltdown was partially due to the base, not just undecideds. I was so frustrated by that bailout,and McCain’s support of it, that had I been polled around that time, I might not have given McCain a positive response. But anger fades, practical reality returns, and here we are. I wonder if that wasn’t happening more broadly. It wasn’t just the market collapse that upset people. It was the stupid bailout. By now we’ve all pretty much accepted it.
Right.
It can't be repeated enough times that poll numbers are only a snapshot. They're not a prediction. They're not a mathematical model of the election's final outcome. They are not a magic formula predicting an immutable future. Polls can no more predict the outcome of an election than can the mathematical models that the hedge funds used to try to create "sure thing" investments for the stupid billy goat bank managers who shoveled their depositors accounts into them. Now where are they?
The MSM is putting out two or three new polls every day, trying to convince Republicans and The Right that it's over. They're trying to depress us, to keep us home, to make us give up. It's all BS!
Next election, it will be two or three new polls an hour! And every single one of them will say that Sarah doesn't have a chance!
It all depends which precinct you are at or which liberal telephone exchange you call. The only polls that count are the ones next Tuesday.
nothing more than the media trying to be a bit more honest..... nothing in the REAL landscape has changed much.... the pollsters now must cover the a**es.....
FEAR - that's my word instead of "practical reality". The truth is that I was not thrilled with George W. Bush 8 years ago, and I didn't think Gore would be terrible (just goofy and inept). Four years ago, it was pretty much the same. I thought Kerry was a little behind on the learning curve for Commander in Chief, but politically he was no worse than a lot of liberals that our country has survived. Going back in time, I saw Clinton as a moderate (just a guess because I also saw him as a compulsive liar and a sleaze), and we haven't had an exceptionally terrible democrat since McGovern.
This year is completely and totally different. Besides being at best permanently incompetent to serve as C-in-C of our military at a time when that skill set matters, Obama is fundamentally anti-American. In the history of our country, I don't think we have faced a greater threat than this internal danger. Even a loss to Hitler might not have been as bad because we could have regained our independence, recovered from the horror that Hitler would have imposed, and restored the Constitution and our freedom. Obama sincerely wants to crush the Constitution, and it looks like at best just under half of the voters are going to give him the go ahead to do just that. I don't believe it will be possible to recover, and I'm not sure how ugly it will get for Jews and for Christians over time (half of my relatives are in each category, with a lone athiest Obama voter as the black sheep of the family) if Obama wins.
If Obama wins, then January 20, 2009, will go down in history as the critical date in the decline and fall of the United States of America. I have no idea where freedom will rise again or how long we will have to wait before our values make a comeback, but I do remember studying the Dark Ages in history classes and fallen countries don't seem to recover quickly if at all. Rather than voting out of hope or a calculus that one set of matches on the issues is more important than the other set, I have not bothered to see whether Obama claims to agree with me on any particular issues. McCain would be a pretty good C-inC, perhaps even great, and that matters. Palin is the best candidate and the best human being to step forward since 1980. Those facts would be enough to decide my vote, but I've pretty much ignored them. I've decided to work against Obama and to vote against Obama for one simple reason - FEAR.
bmflr
The graphic designer who picked those colors should be shot.
Some of those “recent” polls are early September.
I think they are Halloween colors...........
“recent” is relative, if it’s the last one you had....
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