I got some Micro Polling from Pennsylvania.....

[Bushite]

These were conducted Oct. 23,24,25

Bucks County: O: 49 M: 43 2004 Results: K: 51 B: 48

Allegheny: O: 52 M: 42 2004 Results: K: 57 B: 42

Erie: O: 50 M: 43 2004 Results: K: 54 B: 45

York: M: 57 O: 39 2004 Results: B: 63 K: 35

Montgomery: O: 51 M: 39 2004 Results: K: 55 B: 44

[Ravi]

They are good. Obama is doing worse than Kerry in these Kerry counties. With lots of undecideds to boot.

[lonestar]

I might add--

BO's supporters don't have sense to get in out of the rain---but we already knew that!

[Arizona Carolyn]

and we were within 100,000 in 2004.. if I recall didn’t PA disenfranchise the military and go out and personally sign people in the jails to get Kerry’s number???

[Frantzie]

I hope the PUMAs come out strong. This is their only way to get back at being mugged and robbed by ACORN and Obama.

I may not agree with their politics but what happened to them was an outrage. Obama is dangerous.

[JrsyJack]

Kerry beat Bush in Phila Cty by 80-20 margin. That was with the full endorsement of the Dem machine and the unions. That may not happen this year as union support for Obama is lukewarm. The machine bosses were Hillary supporters. Union members work for a living and would not appreciate being sold out to a tax and spend Marxist.

[Harry Wurzbach]

Because mainstream Democrats find Obama unacceptable. Not all Democrats are moonbats.

Talk a look at the internals of a state like Oklahoma where McCain is winning 41% of the Democrat vote, Obama is just unacceptable to mainstream America.

Exactly. And this week we have news about Obama's radical views bubbling up while McCain is beating Obama over the head about his tax plan which is based on 'spreading the wealth.' As much as the media wants to accuse McCain of using code words, I think most Americans know what "spread the wealth" means, especially when it's uttered by a liberal Northern Democrat.

[JrsyJack]

26 posts and we haven’t yet established where these polling #’s come from?

Doesn't matter...all the polls are wrong and of no real predictive value at this point. Just show up and vote next Tuesday; Wednesday if you're a Democrat.

[JrsyJack]

Unless Philly can produce a 105% turnout PA is heading McCain-Palin

And your point is?

[mdmathis6]

There are a large amount of undecideds in 3 of those counties!

[romanesq]

Philly may get a 105.1% turnout and that could be problematic.

[Frantzie]

Good points. I wonder if Obama has written off FL and OH? I think he will lose in FL. OH should go Repub unless ACORN steals it.

[Domestic Church]

Lancaster County is largely conservative Republican. Obama will get some votes in Lancaster city.

[Bushite]

ahhh..hold your horses..don’t know about Ohio, but Barry is here (Fla.) in full force and he is going to inflict us with Bubba this week.

I will say this. here in Florida, we seem to have gotten our crap together and kept lefties out of office. Voted for W. twice...kept Jeb in office..elected Crist..(well, we are not perfect).

But I am worried about Virginia and Colorado.

It is UP TO YOU GUYS in those states. I THINK we got this covered here. (Fla.)

[Antoninus]

Not good. M trailing Bush everywhere.

But Obama is trailing Kerry in a lot of places as well. And there are still lots of undecideds out there.

Philadelphia will be interesting. Anything less than 80-20 for Obama could spell serious trouble for him statewide.

[Antoninus]

Don’t forget, PA would have one of the biggest numbers of PUMAs who are deliberately saying they will vote for Zer-O.

PA was also a late primary state and thus part of Operation Chaos.

[Antoninus]

Can someone explain to me why Hillary supporters will supposedly let their resentment move them across party lines while our McCain resentment doesn't do the same to us?

If you were really pro-life, you'd already know the answer to that question...

[truthfreedom]

It’s hard to determine where exactly the votes are coming from when you look county-wide statistics. I’m sure more detailed analysis by ward, precinct, township etc would be helpful.

But definitely, yes, McCain will win Lancaster County and I would assume that he would do stronger outside Lancaster City.

Bush got 70,000 more votes in Lancaster County than Kerry in 2004. That’s the most in the state.

I’m guessing that McCain is hoping to exceed that 70k number. Me too, but Lancaster wasn’t particularly bad for Obama in the primaries, and Ron Paul got 22% in Lancaster in the primaries.

[ntnychik]

Hillary’s hanging out in central NY campaigning for down ticket guys. Gov. Rendell (PA) is a Hillary loyalist. My hope is he can depress phony votes in Phila., such as bussed in folks from Trenton, NJ. Hopefully he can influence fair counting, too.

Any idea how many PUMAs we’re talking about?

Sarah just shoehorned in a rally in Erie for Thursday afternoon. Large venue—Bayfront Convention Center. I sent for my e-tkt. today. Anyone know how quick their response time is?

[PhiKapMom]

I have to go check an email for PA — they had it the other day — it is a tremendous amount in PA is all I remember — enough to give PA to McCain handily. NY PUMAs and Dems for McCain and Clintons for McCain were all have been in PA campaigning for McCain recently.

[fortheDeclaration]

Can someone explain to me why Hillary supporters will supposedly let their resentment move them across party lines while our McCain resentment doesn't do the same to us?

What McCain resentment are you talking about?