Posted on 10/27/2008 10:27:53 PM PDT by pissant
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama has a 4-point national lead over Republican John McCain as they head into the final week of the presidential campaign, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Tuesday.
Obama leads McCain by 49 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in the three-day national tracking poll, a slight dip from his 5-point advantage on Monday. The telephone poll has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
Not seeing the big lead in early voting for Obama that he needs either. At least as far as what I have seen.
[When you see a poll that says McCain is down by 10 points in a battleground state like Virginia ask yourself how that jibes with a national poll that says hes down by 4 points.]
Good question. Since we know Obama is a God in populous states like NY and Ca, something has to give if overall he only has a 4 percent lead.
Zogby Predicts Kerry Will Win
http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2004/10/29/83336.shtml
The national polls are always ahead of state polls. So, if McCain can sustain momentum, expect the state polls to narrow.
Rasmussen came out with a poll today that says that McCain is only trailing Obama by 4 points in Virginia.
it'll happen... nothing is over at this point...
We had all better pray hard and drag everyone you know to the polls.
It will not be another 4 years at the minimum
IT WILL BE THREE APPOINTMENTS TO THE USSC WITH A TERM FOR LIFE !!!!
Who knows. Zogby claims that he is polling 400 people a day. The margin of error on a sample size this small is a whopping 4.9 percent -- meaning literally that whatever numbers for Obama or McCain he comes up with, they could be off by as much as 5 points in either direction (and ditto for undecideds as well).
Zogby's top line numbers are not crazy (although they look suspiciously like Gallup's top line numbers for its "traditional" LV model). But I simply don't trust his methodology.
Sarah is now being Sarah, and ignoring the former Bush handlers (I hear).
So I give her the credit for this:
IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Fifteen
Posted Monday, October 27, 2008
After seesawing between 3.2 and 3.9 points over the weekend, Obamas lead slipped to 2.8 Monday. Battleground also has Obama up 3, and other polls have tightened, including Rasmussen, Zogby and Gallup to 5. Some polls show swings in independents, but IBD/TIPP has them in a stable, 5-point range.
excerpt http://ibdeditorials.com/PollsMain.aspx
Karl On Quinn & Rose Morning show Just Said That R Internals Have McCain ahead Nationally 50 to 41 Barr 2% & Nader 1%
Pa. R Internals Have McCain ahead 51 to 38
Minnesota R Internals McCain Just Went ahead 45 to 44
A 20% dip from his 5-point advantage on Monday
I think there will be further elections, but they will be shams. Indeed, this election is perilously close to being a sham, because of the media’s shameless raw manipulation of public opinion. Add in the Fairness Doctrine and other abominations, and there’s not much left to the electoral process. The power-hungry elites will have won. Obama must be stopped now, or the nation plunges down a slippery slope from which, save the mercy and grace of God, there is no return.
Whoever that “Karl” was also has a bridge he would like to sell to you.
I heard that, where did he get those numbers?
I don’t know how these polls can be all over the place. With us so far behind in everyone other poll, how could the internals be showing us this?
I mean, if we’re winning in Minnesota, we’re winning in: VA, OH, FL, NC, NH, MA(parts), NV, CO, PA, and probably NM.
If we’re winning in MN, then we’re winning this thing handily!
Stand back!.....Rightward bound Express Train.....comin' through!
Those are week-old polls. That was when Zog was saying it was 11 points nationally. So subtract 7 from Obama onll those stale state polls you're reading.
Again, without the weighting numbers,
these poll numbers are meaningless.
I tend to adjust the numbers according to the overweighting of Dems. There just aren’t 7% more Dems that are going to vote. If they have more, it’s more like 3%.
“Karl On Quinn & Rose Morning show Just Said That R Internals Have McCain ahead Nationally 50 to 41 Barr 2% & Nader 1%
Pa. R Internals Have McCain ahead 51 to 38
Minnesota R Internals McCain Just Went ahead 45 to 44”
How come Karl seems so pessimistic, or so I heard.
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