[No Dems 2004]

Well, it's good news for McCain in Missouri and Georgia (these are very similar poll numbers in Georgia that President Bush had shortly before the 2000 election).

However, they're not good numbers in Iowa. But being up a point in Missouri this close before the election is very good news for John McCain.

[AHerald]

Iowa Obama 51, McCain 40

Iowa, we hardly knew ye.

[Savage Beast]

Pray that the Silent will come forth and elect the War Hero. I think they will.

[MDformerDem]

Dukakis won in Iowa. ‘Nuff said.

[olrtex]

More and more it looks like Colorado and Nevada decide this election. Of the states that went for Bush in 2004, it looks like Iowa and New Mexico will go for Obama. That means all other states must stay in the Republican column. Of course, this emphasis on Colorado and Nevada assumes North Carolina and Virginia are less in play than some polls indicate (it is just really hard to see those states going Democratic—and if they do, it is impossible to see how the Republicans win).

Maybe Pennsylvania really is in play, as the McCain forces seem to think. I sure hope so, and a win there would give some breathing room elsewhere. But for my money, the race turns on Colorado and Nevada. If you live in those states, please vote and please urge your Republican friends and family to vote.

[Thickman]

I thin M-D is among the most credible polls this year except it too will miss the “Bradley Effect” which is about 5%. Therefore, McPalin is comfortably ahead in MO and GA and not quite within striking distance in IOwelfareWA.

I suspect Mac is okay in most of Bush’s ‘04 red states with the exception of NM, CO and NV. He need CO to win because NM does not look good. If he take NV but not CO or NM, he needs NH as well.

If he can shake the world and take PA, it’s over.

[OhioisRed76]

To everyone concerned about the national polls. Look at the bellweather states such as OH and MO. We have had polls this week having Mccain leading in both. No way is Obama up by more than 4 but still loosing MO and OH. these states almost never deviate from the national popular vote Bush got 50.73 of the national popular vote in 04 he got 50.81% of the vote in Ohio THIS RACE IS A DEAD HEAT! BUCK UP AS RUSH WOULD TELL US!!!!

[iceshaving]

Missouri looks about right. I think his lead might be a little larger in Georgia.

[montag813]

11 points down in IA and Mac’s campaigning there? Why?

[Chet 99]

Good news ping.

History suggests that most of the “undecided” voters in GA and MO will break for McCain.

This is Mason-Dixon, so there’s more reason to trust their numbers.

The bad news is further confirmation that IA should have been written off. McCain skipped the state caucuses and is also in opposition to ethanol subsidies.

[Norman Bates]

The McCain List.

Good news overall. McCain edges ahead in Missouri, the Nation's bellweather, and is comfortably ahead in Georgia.

[HereInTheHeartland]

“Iowa Obama 51, McCain 40 “

We had 10,000 of us yesterday to see Palin. I don’t believe the numbers. Kerry was way ahead in the polls here in 2004 and Bush won.

[Clintonfatigued]

ping

[yazoo]

All these poll numbers prove one thing: We have no idea, based on polling, who is going to win this election. I have a difficult time accepting that most people will vote for Obama. It defies logic.