[bahblahbah]

I don’t see why that can’t be right...

[impeachedrapist]

Because there's no recent historical precedent for such a blatant favoring of the Dems. In 2004 it was DEAD EVEN at 37% apiece. In 2006 it was Dems +3, in 2000 I think it was Dems +4.

+7 is patently absurd. It's based on thousands and thousands of fraudulent ACORN registrations.

I expect turnout this year to be within a point either way. And that scares Obama and the media to death.

[notes2005]

D +7. Sure, we're going to see the biggest election-to-election swing in partisanship IN US HISTORY.

Doesn't matter that the registration data don't suggest that's going to happen.

Also Rasmussen concluded D +7 off of a survey of ADULTS.

[parksstp]

Okay I did a little number crunching and this should be somewhat encouraging (I hope).

A more reasonable result will probably be:

Dem: 38
Rep: 36
IND: 26

Assuming 130 Million People vote in the upcoming election:
and according to the most recent modules (and not taking into consideration 3rd Party candidates.

GOP
McCain gets 89% of 36% of the vote or 41,652,000 votes
Obama gets 11% of 36% of the vote or 5,148,000 votes

DEM
McCain gets 17% of 38% of the vote or 8,398,000 votes
Obama gets 83% of the 38% of the vote or 41,002,000 votes

IND
McCain gets 45% of the 26% of the vote or 15,210,000 votes
Obama gets 55% of the 26% of the vote or 18,590,000

Total Votes McCain: 65,260,000
Total Votes Obama: 64,740,000

PUMA’s Deliver McCain the popular vote!

[TitansAFC]

-—” don’t see why that can’t be right...”-—

Because the biggest turnout gap was 4%, and it has been even or only slightly Dem for many elections now. This suggests a turnout gap favoring Democrats twice the size of any turnout gap in our lifetimes - ever.

That requires both a radical increase in the number of people who identify themselves as Democrats coming out to vote, AND a radial decrease in the number of Republicans coming out to vote.

In 2006 - a year when the GOP got swept and suffered massive losses - the gap margin was +3% Democrats. If the turnout in 2008 is +7.2% Democrats, the race will be called one hour after the polls close on the East coast, the Democrats will pick up 130+ seats in the House and all of the Senate seats in contest, and will win landslide victories in state Houses, Senates, Governorships, and down the ballot. They will have the White House, and will have large Supermajorities in the Senate and House so big that it would take two elections just to bring them down to a simple majority. They will literally have uncontested, totalitarian power over nearly every state, and clearly have it at the national level.

The gaps being used in these polls are getting INSANE.

[Onerom99]

Well it hasn’t been more than Dem +4 for 40 years.

[SaintDismas]

http://www.zombietime.com/lefts_big_blunder/