-—” don’t see why that can’t be right...”-—
Because the biggest turnout gap was 4%, and it has been even or only slightly Dem for many elections now. This suggests a turnout gap favoring Democrats twice the size of any turnout gap in our lifetimes - ever.
That requires both a radical increase in the number of people who identify themselves as Democrats coming out to vote, AND a radial decrease in the number of Republicans coming out to vote.
In 2006 - a year when the GOP got swept and suffered massive losses - the gap margin was +3% Democrats. If the turnout in 2008 is +7.2% Democrats, the race will be called one hour after the polls close on the East coast, the Democrats will pick up 130+ seats in the House and all of the Senate seats in contest, and will win landslide victories in state Houses, Senates, Governorships, and down the ballot. They will have the White House, and will have large Supermajorities in the Senate and House so big that it would take two elections just to bring them down to a simple majority. They will literally have uncontested, totalitarian power over nearly every state, and clearly have it at the national level.
The gaps being used in these polls are getting INSANE.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus