Posted on 10/25/2008 1:45:54 PM PDT by notes2005
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process (see methodology).
During the final two months of the election season, we are updating these targets on a weekly basis to stay current with the public mood. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. The intensity of a campaign season may cause subtle changes in the partisan landscape as Election Day draws near.
The targets are not set arbitrarily. Rather, they are established based upon survey interviews with a separate sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding six weeks. A total of 500 nightly interviews are conducted for a total of 21,000 interviews over the six week period.
This weeks adjustment once again shows a trend moving slowly in the Democratic direction. There is a three-tenths-of-a-percentage-point increase in the number of Democrats and a two-tenths-of-a-point decline in the number of Republicans.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
As I just got done sayin' to Tatown....dynamic weighting by party is a crock and Rasmussen should know better.
Bwahahahahahaha!
The green county is Tompkins County --- home of Ithaca --- Berkley of the East.
There is noway Dems are going to turnout 7+ more than Republicans. That would be historical....ain’t gonna happen.
But we are excited about our candidate -- Sarah, so the analysis that we are not as excited as dems is bs.
“But we are excited about our candidate — Sarah, so the analysis that we are not as excited as dems is bs.”
Ultimately people vote for the top of the ticket. I think their is no question that they are more excited about the One than anyone is about McCain. They also have eight years of pent-up Bush hatred getting them very excited.
Rasmussen better be right or very wealthy. Because if he gets this wrong by 50% he’ll be out of business.
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