Analysts Eye Possible Exit Poll Overstatement Of Obama Support

Sinchew.com ^ | October 24, 2008 | Sinchew

[HalfFull]

“McCain needs to get ahead of the groove and make sure people know not to trust pollsters and media on election day and just get out and vote and wait for the results.”

Agree. Hope there is enough $$ for him to do so.

[scooby321]

I had already voted in Destin Florida in the Panhandle

I was at dinner when the TV ( NBC) called Florida when people were still in line from the central time zone.

Reports are that many Bush supporters hearing this left the polling places.

[Dawn531]

I’ve got a good idea...don’t do exit polling. What purpose does it really serve other than to give the networks/MSM something to flap their jaws about.

[sunmars]

exactly, which is why they wont fall for it again.

[MuttTheHoople]

I predict that, after November 4, 2008, the "Wilder Effect" and the "Bradley Effect" will henceforth be known as "The Obama Effect". Though he was leading in a bunch of primaries, he won very few (instead winning key Caucuses where his people could intimidate others into voting for The Lord High Obamamessiah). I remember in New Hampshire, exit polling showed Obama ahead by 10, while Hillary won by 18.

The polling against Republicans seemed to be correct in 2006, but I say there'll be some HUGE surprises come November 4, 2008. At all the polling internals, McCain has more support among Republicans (usually around 90-10) than Obama has among Democrats (generally 80-20). The last two elections, registered Republicans and registered Democrats voted 50-50.

Don't forget...B. Hussein has antagonized small business owners, Hillary supporters, pro-life CAtholics (oh hell, ALL pro-lifers), while only firing up black voters (11% of the population).

Since B. Hussein doesn't have a legitimate 3rd party candidate to siphon votes from McCain.

I dislike that the MSM pretty much nominated our Presidential candidate...the only thing that saved the GOP was that talk radio nominated the Democrat Presidential candidate. McCain definitely isn't perfect, but I'd rather have an imperfect Moderate-Conservative who loves his country and wants what's best for us, rather than a stuttering, babbling idiot (when there's no teleprompters around) who's the tool of '60's radicals and 3rd World Marxists, and whose love for America is suspect.

[HalfFull]

“exactly, which is why they wont fall for it again.”

Of course we are all assuming that the average voter has an attention span of at least 4 years.

[CatOwner]

Wow, 60%? That certainly would explain a lot of skewed results in the polls. Add that to the biases of the TV and print media outlets and you have the makings of Obama-mania.

[HalfFull]

” Don’t forget...B. Hussein has antagonized small business owners, Hillary supporters, pro-life CAtholics (oh hell, ALL pro-lifers), while only firing up black voters (11% of the population).

Since B. Hussein doesn’t have a legitimate 3rd party candidate to siphon votes from McCain. “

You make a good case. So much is on the line this year that nothing should be taken for granted. We conservatives need to vote in record numbers, even if we have to crawl to the polls.

[GOPsterinMA]

How about this as a call to action:

If any FReepers are asked anything by any exit poller(s): here is your retort:

“I voted for my Messiah Obama. Thanks to my ACORN registrations, I’m going to the next presinct to vote for my Messiah Obama again.”

[RockinRight]

I think McCain can win but I'm far more pessimistic than some here - I put McCain's chances at ~25% of winning as of today.

That said...I'd love nothing more than to see an almost-in-tears Obama, giving a concession speech at his big brouhaha "victory party" in Chicago on election night.

Heck, that would be more satisfying I think than the victory itself!

[MikeFrancesa.com]

I don’t want to look at the exit polls, but nothing will be able to stop me from checking Drudge and this website obsessively on Election Day.

If the exit polls show a 5 point or less lead for Obama in the battleground, I will feel nervous, but McCain will be in the game. If Ohio, Florida, and Virginia show a McCain lead, Obama will be toast.

[Allegra]

If any FReepers are asked anything by any exit poller(s): here is your retort:

“I voted for my Messiah Obama. Thanks to my ACORN registrations, I’m going to the next presinct to vote for my Messiah Obama again.”

ROFL!! BTTT

[RockinRight]

I can picture it now...Obama, “uuhing” and “aahing” his way through an impromptu concession speech, unprepared (since he was so convinced of a win he never prepared one), a look of shock and disbelief in his eyes, thousands of partygoers jumping off buildings...

[MikeFrancesa.com]

I think Hillary won New Hampshire by 2 points not 18.

[MikeFrancesa.com]

I just want to see the Michelle Obama reaction shot, she is hardly able to smile when Obama is up in the polls, no way she will be able to contain the fury, then watch two months later when she comes out in an article railing against racism in America.

[Allegra]

"...that might lead to some overstatement of the Obama vote," said Herb Weisberg, a professor of political science at Ohio State University.

You mean kind of like the "landslide" the exit pollsters had lined up for Kerry by the afternoon of Election Day 2004? Like that?

[RockinRight]

Hillary Rodham Clinton 112,404 39.1%
Barack Obama 104,815 36.5%

[SatinDoll]

Most of the polls I’ve seen so far have the undecided voters running at about 10-11%. The numbers for McCain may come in much higher than the MSM have anticipated when McCain does surpass Obama in the home stretch.

[LibLieSlayer]

McCain/PALIN will win this... I am truly convinced after studying all the data we have. We will win.

LLS

[MuttTheHoople]

The point was, Obama was supposedly winning BIG there. My dream scenario is seeing McCain win 40 States, including Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, while seeing Obama’s victory torch rally in Grant Park degenerate into a car-burning party.