The polling against Republicans seemed to be correct in 2006, but I say there'll be some HUGE surprises come November 4, 2008. At all the polling internals, McCain has more support among Republicans (usually around 90-10) than Obama has among Democrats (generally 80-20). The last two elections, registered Republicans and registered Democrats voted 50-50.
Don't forget...B. Hussein has antagonized small business owners, Hillary supporters, pro-life CAtholics (oh hell, ALL pro-lifers), while only firing up black voters (11% of the population).
Since B. Hussein doesn't have a legitimate 3rd party candidate to siphon votes from McCain.
I dislike that the MSM pretty much nominated our Presidential candidate...the only thing that saved the GOP was that talk radio nominated the Democrat Presidential candidate. McCain definitely isn't perfect, but I'd rather have an imperfect Moderate-Conservative who loves his country and wants what's best for us, rather than a stuttering, babbling idiot (when there's no teleprompters around) who's the tool of '60's radicals and 3rd World Marxists, and whose love for America is suspect.
I think Hillary won New Hampshire by 2 points not 18.
If you listen to some of Obama's earlier interviews, he doesn't stutter when he's on his real, favorite subject; The White Devil. He stutters when he's trying to construct some hallucinaton or other for the general electorate.
Nader and McKinney could siphon enough votes from Obama in some states to make it difficult for him to win them!