Posted on 10/23/2008 9:54:04 AM PDT by zaker99
PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup finds 13% of registered voters saying they will vote for president for the first time in 2008. That matches the figure Gallup found in its final 2004 pre-election poll.
The current data are based on interviews with more than 2,700 registered voters as part of Oct. 17-19 Gallup Poll Daily tracking. Gallup asked these voters a question it had asked in its 2004 election polling: whether this would be the first time they had voted in a presidential election, or whether they had voted for president before. Despite much discussion of the possibility of large numbers of new voters in 2008, the percentage of "first time" voters in Gallup polling this election cycle is no higher than it was at approximately the same time in 2004.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Gallup was unable to speak to any of the newly-registered imaginary or deceased Democrat voters.
The portion of new real voters remains the same.
I hate to skew this, but the push has been to register the know-nothing college students and minorities, and many of said group are conceivable full-time cell-phone users who may not even own a land-line...and I believe those are the numbers used for polling.
Rush is talking about this presently on his radio program.
We saw this before in 2004 as well. When turnout among people that don’t normally turns out rises, so does turnout among traditional voting groups, often by an even greater amount.
Obama only benefits from the fact that the small portion of new voters heavily favor him by a 2 to 1 margin. Unlike in 2004 where republican registration was even with democratic registration.
However it’s going to be a tough race still. Everyone batten down the hatches and put on your seatbelts. Its going to be a bumpy one.
I am probably going to be moving to Chicago full-time by next Spring...I’m doing it while I can.
Hmmm. Very interesting.
So let me get this straight.
No new increase in real first time voters.
We will just have a major rise in the numbers of other people who will vote for them in their absense.
No new increase in real first time voters.
We will just have a major rise in the numbers of other people who will vote for them in their absence.
This number seems low because the acutal question was “Is this the first time you will be voting on ELECTION DAY?”
I’m sure plenty of those election day first-timers have already voted 3-4 times this year by absentee ballot.
Greater Chicago really is a wonderful place to live. Crook County is of course communist, but DuPage is heavily GOP.
National recruiters say the second hardest thing they have to do is convince people to move to Chicago. They hardest thing they have to do is convince them to leave.
I’m not sure why this would cause them to change their weightings?
Are the pollster giving the dems a heavier weighting because of the assumption that there would be a large increase of first time voters for obama? Can you provide some link so I can educate myself? thank you.
Thank you, this does deserve it’s own thread.
Chicago would be 50 million in size if it wasn’t for the Winters.
We have an apt 1150 N Lake Shore Dr. Great location, close to Lincoln Park, tons of stuff always going on.
Taxes are super high though...more than 10% in sales tax alone!
The fictional voters can't turn out on account of their being fictional.
I think the powers behind ACORN know that the fictional voters can't vote, but the registration numbers can be used to gin up a couple dozen "disinfranchised" voter riots around the country and drag the thing into the courts.
Fictional voter intimidation charges and electronic mischief myths will further muddy the water. It's the strategy of the left for all elections they lose, starting in 2000 and continuing forever.
I think we hear this every four years.
New young voters just do not vote in high numbers like the left tells us they will.
We pay 7% in DuPage. You have a 3% commie-pinko surtax. ;-)
I’m in Naperville-Aurora area, ride Metra to downtown, 40min one way, so not bad at all.
One of the most important things in life is to always know where the nearest Giordano’s is.
But if the same polling methodology was used in 2004 there probably wouldn't be much difference.
That’s our favorite pizza...Pizzeria Uno/Due are good too. we love Carmine’s and Boston Blackie’s for burgers.
The best restaurants are in Chicago.
perhaps some of the most important polling data we’ve seen so far this election cycle. if this data is true, all of the polling assumptions being used are going to blow up in the pollsters’ faces!
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