Posted on 10/23/2008 5:56:27 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
A new AP poll showing John McCain down by one point was indeed good news.
A quick read of its likely voter internals provides stunning news:
Obamas base support is not there
Hiding down at the very end of the article was a stunning piece of bad news for Barack Obama: Democrat base support is just eight of 10 and the Republican base support for McCain is 90%. Neither candidate can win with just 80% of his base support. The even split found among Independents clearly adds to Obamas troubles if these numbers hold.
The Joe the Plumber factor
McCain has closed the gap with Joe and Jane the Plumber.
He now trails by just 4 points with likely voters making under $50,000. A month ago was down 26 points.
McCain has surged among rural voters and now has an 18-point advantage, up from 4.
He doubled his advantage among whites who havent finished college and now leads by 20 points.
McCain has gone from plus 10 to plus 20 among Whites who have not finished college. Among White college graduates he is even.
McCain now leads White women by 7 points and White men by 22 points. This is very good for McCain because Obamas White male vote might still be in the upper 30s. Since Al Gore and John Kerry got 36%, it is very unlikely that his support among White males will do anything but fall just as Kerrys did in the last two weeks in 2004.
Improving even on a strength, McCain is now up 24 points with married Whites, and trails by just 8 points among unmarried Whites.
Last months survey gave Obama a 15 point advantage on handling the economy and the financial crisis. That advantage on both fronts is down to 6 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at Collinsreport.net ...
A possible reality check for Obama?....Just a warning...ACORN is being mobilized if needed to steal the election with massive voter fraud.
How much of that “surge” was from the pollers abandoning efforts to scam the numbers, realizing their numbers need to closer match reality as the election approaches?
At this point, anybody who is still really undecided is not going to make the effort to show up on election day. I'm thinking a good number of "undecideds" are McCain voters who don't want to reveal who they are for to strangers.
If I may ask, what State is your hair stylist in? I hope it’s a battleground State.
Their motives are clear, they are afraid their fellow Obama supporters are going to think it's in the bag and not vote come election day. They want to make sure this doesn't happen by making it sound like it is going to be "too close to call"(whether it is or not)
The main thing is to ignore all this polling/talking head crap and get out and vote, more importantly, drag your friends(especially the ones demoralized with all the talking heads saying it's over)with you.
Personally I'm not voting for McCain, nor the spineless GOP(with the exception of my Rep. Candice Miller who voted NO twice on the bailout)...I'm voting for Palin, but even more so, I am voting against the MSM, the "destroy from within" 60's hippies and their false messiah Obama.
Good News! Thanks for posting.
Good News! Thanks for posting.
Thanks for signing up to tell us that. I looked at that question, and it looked badly worded. When you look at the actual religion breakdown (protestant, catholic, jewish, mormon, other) - with 22% of “other” respondents saying they are Christian.
Agreed. But that doesn’t answer why evangelicals are overrepresented in the poll.
With what happened to Joe the Plumber and Sarah Pallin, can you blame them?
I did.
I did.
I did.
I DID! ...yeah
What’s the author’s take on why:
1) Most of the other polls are showing a very different results
2) Our people, such as Carl Rove, “don’t have any good news” about the race even after this poll came out
The communists plan to win by vote fraud. It’s what they do.
I read somewhere else from a Poll Junkie that the “UNDECIDEDS” are Older White People who Voted for Bush in 2004, Doesn’t sound like Obama’s crowd does it??
McCain is in good shape
There is no way evangelicals are 44% of the voters.
They were 23% last time. I think all the polls are screwy. We will be shocked by what happens election day. Too many people don’t respond. Remember Kerry was leading last time. How did that go?
LOL!
McCain has always been the come back kid.
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