Posted on 10/22/2008 5:17:23 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
As has been the case in just about every presidential election cycle in recent memory, the polls are showing the Democratic candidate pulling away in October.
In just three elections of the last ten has this trend held up.
Why this is true is hard to say.
What is true is there are no credible reports of the major voting blocks: White women, White men, Catholics or Evangelical Christians moving to support Barack Obama in numbers he will need.
Of these groups the most immovable for Obama will be White males who will be 43% of the electorate.
For a variety of reasons no Democrat has won White males since 1964. The percentage of White males backing Democrats for president fell to 36% in 2004. As things stand, Obama does not appear headed to get even that much backing.
How low can this column sink for Obama ?
A just completed poll of America’s Military might provide a clue as to what the White male numbers could be this year.
The Military Times asked 4300 of its readers whom they supported. John McCain leads 68/23.
Admittedly this survey was of a conservative universe. Yet given the White male make up of the military ( 65%) and its exact match with the population in general, the gap from 36% to 23% suggests White males might be finding Obama especially hard to support.
Our military is 62/38 male. John McCain is leading among military females with 53%.
A September AP-Yahoo poll of only White Democrats suggests Obama’s White male support is not growing. AP-Yahoo said one third of White Democrats and 40% of all White Americans hold negative opinions of Blacks. Or was it of Obama himself? Can anyone say for sure that these folks will change their mind by November 4th?
(Excerpt) Read more at Collinsreport.net ...
Lynn Swann.
I hear you. Personally, I’m doing what I can to prepare for the coming riots.
I think this year the undecideds are actually a bit more than 10 percent, and I also suspect that Obama’s support is not very deep. [Note: think “reverse 2000.”]
But right about now would be a good time to start running those ads. :)
Everytime I get someone on the phone that is a hunter, they are all about voting for McCain. NRA needs to get some ads moving because they can make a difference in IA, MN, WI, and MI IMHO.
Just noticed that my neighbor’s McCain sign is gone...
It’s amazing that all the way out here in the middle of the countryside, McCain sign thiefs are sneaking around...
bttt
Why would any white person vote for the skinny little black racist Muslim kid?
Last I heard the NRA had about $40 million set aside for ads in the battleground states. I imagine that's well underway.
Did you see today's Yahoo/AP hit piece on Palin? She's a liability to McCain. Polls say so!! :-D
You know Sarah Palin’s two Iowa events on the 25th? They’re being followed by a McCain Iowa event on the 26th. :-) Life is good.
I remember back when people thought we were nuts about Iowa — do we hear crickets chirping now? :)
We must hide in the shadows. Work surreptitiously. Harbor weaklings among us.
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