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To: pissant

Replay from 2004:

Charlie Cook: ‘Looks good for Kerry’

In his weekly e-mail column Off to the Races, NATIONAL JOURNAL political scientist Charlie Cook looks at a stable race with a very few volatile voters available to be won by the eventual victory.

This is certainly not to predict that Bush is going to lose, that this race is over or that other events and developments will not have an enormous impact on this race. The point is that this race has settled into a place that is not at all good for an incumbent, is remarkably stable, and one that is terrifying many Republican lawmakers, operatives and activists. But in a typically Republican fashion, they are too polite and disciplined to talk about it much publicly.

In a funny way, if this race were bouncing around, it would probably be a better sign for President Bush. It would suggest that there was some volatility to the race and that public attitudes had not yet hardened, and were thus still an eminently fixable situation. The dynamics of a presidential race usually do not change much between July and Election Day. This year, however, the race is much more stable than usual, which is ominous for an incumbent under these circumstances. The bottom line is that this presidential race is not over, but the outlook is not so great for the players in the red jerseys.

http://www.rightsided.org/index.php/2004/07/charlie-cook-looks-good-for-kerrybloggerblogger/


2 posted on 10/21/2008 8:51:58 AM PDT by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: pissant
Good catch.
4 posted on 10/21/2008 8:52:51 AM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Be bold. Be brave. You're an American.)
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To: pissant

You are always right on top of things!


5 posted on 10/21/2008 8:52:57 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: pissant
I remember the day Kerry conceded he cried.
7 posted on 10/21/2008 8:54:10 AM PDT by Perdogg (Raila Amollo Odinga - community organizer)
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To: pissant

Funny, the pollsters are trying to be “first” and the race at best is a toss up, Cook and the room temp IQ mo-ron on M(essiah)SNBC said the race was over two weeks ago.

For me, now the American People will have to look at the Communist, and then McCain and ask themselves some hard questions.

The race is just beginning to become interesting, the B$ has stopped and people are voting.


9 posted on 10/21/2008 8:55:11 AM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: pissant

I was at a conference in D.C. right before the 1994 election. Charlie Cook was the guest speaker and told the gathering that the Democrats would hold on to both House and Senate and might even gain a few seats. Sorry, Charlie, but you should have kept your mouth shut then and you really should now. The guy has no credibility.


10 posted on 10/21/2008 8:56:25 AM PDT by Russ (Repeal the 17th amendment)
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To: pissant

LOL! There’s a lot of that going around...the same pollsters and pundits who predicted Gore and Kerry blow-outs are sure Obama- some of them even think it’s a landslide...


22 posted on 10/21/2008 9:08:14 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: pissant
Good job!!!

ROTFLMAO!!!

28 posted on 10/21/2008 9:27:12 AM PDT by Tribune7 (Obama wants to put the same crowd that ran Fannie Mae in charge of health care)
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To: pissant
called the race for Obama this morning

and

Replay from 2004: Charlie Cook: ‘Looks good for Kerry’

I was just wondering what stellar predictions Cook had in 04. Thanks for the link and the research! Not so much 'predicting' as trying to 'steer' voters to their side.

36 posted on 10/21/2008 10:41:23 AM PDT by fortunecookie
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