Whether this is due to being more accurate than the other state polls or whether it’s the result of McCain regaining lost ground, it’s cause to cheer. I’m thinking it’s a little bit of both.
Which means McCain is up 5 to 10 points. One reason is poll weight skewing. The other is the Bradley effect or the “I won’t answer polls” effect.
I have had several calls from pollsters. I refuse to answer because (a) it is none of their business and (b) if Obama does get in, I don’t want a record of my voting against him because his brownshirts might retaliate. No, I won’t restrict my rights out of fear, but I also will not put myself at jeopardy just to help out pollster who I basically don’t like.
We seem to be seeing a stabilization of the polls as the financial crisis recedes.
I believe the financial crisis mainly hurt Mccain among the elderly who are disproportionately invested in the stock market compared to the rest of the population and where mcCain found his strongest support before.
Now that volatility is down and it seems that markets are recovering at a normal pace with the worst is over, this should allow McCain to retake some ground.
I am still astounded by his silence on blaming this mess on the democrats. For some reason, Obama who helped cause this mess through acorn and unconditional support for fannie mae and freddie mac comes out the better for it. It pisses me off.
Man, I hate VA.
2 weeks to go and I'm guessing Powell was the last trump card — pulled earlier than they would've liked for fear of McCain's momentum over the weekend.
Time left. Plenty of time left.
Gotta love the AP. A one point lead for McCain is “about even”, whereas a one point lead for Obama is “ahead”.
John McCain 45 percent, Barack Obama 44 percent.
Governor Blunt and Bill O’Pilley tout the state as a bellwether. I think not, it is now more GOP than the nation at large.
Ohio and Nevada are your best bellwether bets this year.