[Chet 99]

-7% Dem sample advantage.

-McCain is improving on the internal questions, including enthusiasm

-This is now a daily tracking poll

[bahblahbah]

ABC news is full of it...

[tomymind]

I wonder how many votes will come by mail from military abroad. They could be of very help to win in Co, Va and Nv.

[savedbygrace]

This poll is an outlier. Throw it out.

[Harry Wurzbach]

"Party Time

Much of Obama's advantage lies in greater-than-usual participation by Democrats; they outnumber Republicans by 7 percentage points among likely voters in this poll, as they have consistently this season. In 2004, by contrast, Democrats and Republicans turned out in equal numbers.

Obama's lead depends in large part on a larger-than-usual differential between Democrats and Republicans.

Not only are there more Democrats, Obama's doing a bit better in his own party; 91 percent of Democrats support him, compared with McCain's support among Republicans, 84 percent. Republicans are more often reliable party voters, but 12 percent of them now favor Obama, better than John Kerry or Al Gore's share of Republicans (6 and 8 percent, respectively), and about matching Bill Clinton's in 1996 (13 percent).

Swing-voting independents, meanwhile, divide very closely, 48-47 percent, as do married women, another potential swing group. "


What crap. Yeah, if you give the Dems +7 in party ID and then assume that McCain will not get 16% of the GOP vote while Obama will get all but 9% of the Dem vote then Obama will have a 9 point lead. Man, can they be any more blatant?

[jimmur281974]

ABC You can shove it. Your Polls, Your Staff and Your Network are all GARBAGE. EOM

[Harry Wurzbach]

Plus, does this poll offer an accurate depiction of the electorate? I think it matters a great deal if rural voters are underrepresented while suburban/urban ones are overrepresented.

[NoGrayZone]

AllBarackChannel poll??? Why on earth would you post that crap here?? We’re trying to inspire, not encourage the slitting of wrists!! Think before you post next time!!!