IBD/Tipp: O-47%, M-42% (M +2)

Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/19 | Tipp Online

[tatown]

Obama-46.6% (-0.6%)

McCain-41.5% (+1.7%)

Undecided-11.9% (-1.1%)

[tatown]

Well, this is +2.3% improvement for McCain since yesterday. Good news!

[ari-freedom]

so many undecided?

[Harry Wurzbach]

Reality Poll:

McCain 52%
Obama 47%

[tatown]

*Ping*

[FlingWingFlyer]

These damn “polls” are all over the place. I think some pollsters are trying to resist the Obamanoid Tingle but are having a difficult time at it.

[IndianPrincessOK]

Fantastic news!!!

[southernerwithanattitude]

With 12% undecided you would think they would wind up voteing McCain because lord knows they have had the “chosen one” forced down their throuts for over a year.

[Chet 99]

Oh sweet, the birds are chirping and signing outside again!

This is sick. I was literally prepared to vomit all over my keyboard if TIPP had kept going in the wrong direction... Wow. Need a break !

p.s. This poll still has insane internals - McCain leading 18-24 by double digits.

[Norman Bates]

41.5% and I’m supposed to get excited over that? But regardless - it’s baloney that McCain is that low.

[fantom]

The networks want that O cash. They have to keep it close so they can get their cut of O’s 1/2 billion budget. Think of the money being spent , at best O has a 4 or 5 pt lead. O over polls and is not a good closer. This is hardly over .

[Chet 99]

so many undecided?

Yes. Most polls push "undecideds" to make a choice. They keep asking the question until a choice is given. There are still a lot of soft 'persuadable' voters who could change their minds.

[bcatwilly]

ALL of these polls have some VERY strange internals this election cycle if you ask me. Maybe that is always the case, but I do wonder about accurate sample data collection by all of the pollsters for various reasons known and unknown this time.

For example:

• The first 3 days of this tracking poll had Obama with a 2-1 advantage among those 18-24, yet over the last few days up to today McCain now is up 52%-42% among that youngest age group. That sure doesn't seem to make any sense.
• And they have Obama getting 87% of Democrats, yet McCain only at 82% with Republicans (losing 10% of them to Obama). Again, sure doesn't seem at all what I expect on election day.

[Steely Tom]

I think they’re releasing two or three polls a day.

By the weekend before the election, they’ll be releasing two or three poll per hour. Every one will show Obama solidly ahead.

[Norman Bates]

Watch Gallup and Rasmussen tomorrow. I just hope Powell didn’t hand Zero the Presidency.

[ScaniaBoy]

There is something very weird with this poll. Look at the Age groups. The 18-24 group started out as you have been told to expect them with a huge Obama lead: Three days in a row with Obama polling 65% or more. But then on Day 4 suddenly this gruop swings around and is positive for McCain, and last three days McCain polls morre than 50% in this group. What gives?

[Chet 99]

You want the trend.... You want Obama under 50%. The history from the contested primaries shows that Obama generally stood at his final number, while Hillary got all the undecideds (the bitter clingers, ya know)

[narses]

Obama Says A Baby Is A Punishment

Obama: “If they make a mistake, I don’t want them punished with a baby.”

[ground_fog]

If I remeber correctly, this poll was very close in 04 but horribly off in 2000 fwiw

[narses]

Per Joe (the plugs) Biden, they be racist scum!

[jwalsh07]

Obama can’t close the deal and Biden is ranting about racism. I think they’re afraid of Palin turning out voters bigtime in swing states which is why Powell attacked her today.