I’m starting to understand all the panic in Camp Obama that I’ve been seeing here in the various articles today.
it’s a good thing there’s a free press in the rest of the world
No... it's Obama sinking.
Where are the post debate poll numbers?? Did I miss them? Or did they go MIA?
Spread the Wealth or Spread the Socialism does not sell!
They have Registered voters and Likely voters, so I think the pollsters need to add a poll for fraudulent voters.
It’s one way at least the media can keep BO’s poll numbers up!
Gallup has two polls. The traditional one uses past voting records and the enthusiasm questions to determine who is and who is not going to vote.
The other poll just asks people if they are going to vote. The problem with just asking is nearly all persons asked say they are going to vote. But we know that in all previous elections somewhere between 50 percent and 80 percent of eligible voters vote. So the one that just asks has to be wrong. It greatly favors Obama. You have to ask yourself why would Gallup release a poll that favors Obama and that they know is wrong.
On the other hand the enthusiasm question does not consider that for the first time in our history lots of conservatives are going to vote for McCain, not because they are enthused about McCain but because they fear Obama. I have not seen any poll that asks if voters are voting for a candidate or are voting to keep the other candidate out of office.
If you canvas even a few people you will find a significant number that will tell you they are not too hot on McCain but really fear Obama. The polls list these people as non voters.
For that reason I think the polls are way off. Look for the pollsters to discover... after the election that lots of McCain voters were in effect voting against Obama. That is why they are saying that only 29 percent of this years voters will be Republicans while between 39 and 41 percent will be Democrats.
That has not happened. Even in 2006 it was 38 democrats 35 Republicans.
Note that evem using the 39 to 29 turn out numbers McCain is only behind by 2 to 4 points. The media may be in for a big surprise.
I believe that McCain would win in a landslide except for all the fraud.
Rasmussen Reports also shows that Obama has slipped recently, with his lead now at 50% to 46%.
I just got done taping a plunger to the back of my car. I’ll see how many honks I get on the road this weekend.
Morris told an interesting story about polls on Hannity yesterday. He said that in 1992 ( he was one of Toon’s principal advisors) that 2 weeks before the election, Toon was +7. Bush 41 had been reluctant to hammer on tax and spend theme having famously reneged on “read my lips,” but gave the go ahead to do so, and he and Quayle, in Morris’ words “mostly Quayle,” hit on the theme every day. By the Friday before the election, Morris says, Bush was +4. Then Lawrence Walsh released report stating that he would indict Cap Weinberger on Iran-Contra ( I remember watching Dan Rather in astonishment as he brought Anthony Lewis, the leftist NYT op-ed columnist onto the show for the first 5 minutes to discuss the report). Morris says that Toon has told him in private that that won the election for him. Morris point was that McCain Palin need to concentrate their message on the tax and spend theme exclusively between now and the election.
This is nothing . . . people are just finally getting the courage to tell pollsters that they’re voting for McCain. Before the Joe The Plumber episode, voters who planned to vote for McCain were afraid to admit it. Now that they see Joe being brave, they’re becoming brave, too.
I think I'd better go over and meet them this weekend!