Posted on 10/17/2008 12:29:27 PM PDT by Zakeet
On Thursday's ABC World News, anchor Charles Gibson's lead-off story was on the presidential campaign:
"Two weeks, five days to go, home stretch. Barack Obama and John McCain began today laying out their closing strategies. And while Obama continues to hold a double-digit lead in most national polls, it is the results in individual states that are all important."
The emphasis on Obama's supposedly huge, possibly insurmountable lead is used by some in the mainstream media to suggest the inevitability of a Democratic win. But you have to wonder, at least in this instance, what polls ABC News is examining. Obama enjoys a lead in most opinion surveys, but it's not as large as Gibson claimed.
Thursday's Gallup Daily poll showed a 49% to 43% Obama lead over McCain.
Rasmussen had it at 50% to 46%.
At Zogby, it was 49% to 43%.
The IBD /TIPP tracking poll showed the race at 45% to 42%
The RealClearPolitics poll average, which incorporates findings of 13 national polls, showed a 49.5 to 42.7 Obama lead.
Prospects for the McCain-Palin are not quite as bleak as some in the mainstream media would like. But that doesn't mean they'll stop trying.
Now up to 22 reasons ...
I believe McPalin will win handily. Here are the reasons I have collected visiting FR way too much.
1) “Polls” that show Obama ahead tell a different story when internals are studied. Please see http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/10/14/an-eeyore-free-zone
Here’s a history lesson of ACTUAL RESULTS:
1980: Reagan 50.75%, Carter 41%, (+9.75 Reagan) Reagan won 45 states.
1984: Regan 58.77%, Mondale 40.56% (+18.21 Regan) Reagan won 49 states.
1988: Bush 53.37%, Dukakis 45.65% (+7.72 Bush) Bush won 42 states.
1992: Clinton 43.01%, Bush 37.45%, Perot 18.91% (+5.66% Clinton) Clinton won 30 states.
1996: Clinton 49.23%, Dole 40.72%, Perot 8.40% (+8.49% Clinton) Clinton won 31 states.
2000: Bush 47.87%, Gore 48.38% (Gore +0.49%) Bush won 30 states.
2004: Bush 50.73%, Kerry 48.27% (Bush +2.46%) Bush won 31 states.
NO WAY is Obama up 14 points!
2) Hillary and Bill are not acting like they want Obama to win, since she wants to run again in 2012, despite what she alludes to.
3) “Hussein” being Obama’s middle name is still news to most people.
4) A picture of Obama dressed as a Muslim (there are at least three) is still worth 1000 words (3000 in this case). Man your email station! Post bills!
5) The PUMAs who know the hows and whys of Hillary getting cheated, will vote Palin, and will pull others. Check out http://www.hillaryclintonforum.net/discussion/showthread.php?t=33711&page=3 and http://democrats-against-obama.org
6) “Bitter ... [Gun Clingers]”, will vote McCain
7) The Palins ARE America and the conservative base. America and the conservative base will vote accordingly. According to http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2106836/posts parts of the country that were not fired up about the election, are working for Palin. She draws THOUSANDS at every campaign stop.
8) The NRA has “8 figures” of ads to unload in “swing” states
9) At one point, Obama was only 5 points up in New York! New York!
10) The Democrats were talking about Democratic consultants freaking out over Obama mis-managing his campaign before they settled into poll alteration.
11) The Enemedia is already spreading the meme that if Obama loses, it “is racism”. They see the tea leaves ...
12) The Media was calling the election for Kerry ELECTION MORNING in 2004, and Carter and Reagan polled evenly on election day! SOMEONE is trying to buffalo us with these polls! For more on the history of polls leaning Democrat, please see http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2106669/posts
13) McCain has only started to play the Ayers and ACORN cards. McCain has not yet played the Jeremiah Wright, Tony Rezko, Odinga, ... more at http://www.barackbook.com
14) Plenty of long-time Democratic voters are unimpressed with Obama, and will not vote for him. Two midwestern transplants have volunteered to me that they know lifelong Democrats who WILL NOT vote for Obama. The 1st hand accounts here on Free Republic about lack of enthusiasm for Obama relative to Kerry similarly bodes poorly for Obama.
15) Obama has only 60% of the Jewish vote last I checked, compared to the 75% Kerry got.
16) The Christian base that re-elected Bush in 2004, knows Sarah is more than a Sunday Christian, and is praying for her.
17) McCain opened 50 offices in California. It’s in play! It should be the bluest of the blue, and it is not.
18) Google “Bradley Effect”. Obama is getting poll votes he’ll never get on election day. PUMAs have also agreed to lie to pollsters about supporting Obama, and are encouraging others to do so.
19) Operation Chaos resulted in an overlarge quantity of Democrat registrations that will never ever vote Democratic.
20) Obama’s “spread the wealth” line to Joe the Plumber will cost him undecideds not ready to etch the current class structure in stone.
21) The Enemedia overstating Obama’s popularity will cut two ways. The lazy, and the youth, (core Democrat constituencies) will not brave traffic and lines to vote on election day, since they were lied to by the KGBMedia to believe that Obama has a gigantic lead.
22) Polls are meant by the Enemedia, to SHAPE public opinion, not to accurately report it.
Feel free to post this list every time you see a Freeper or anyone feeling down, anywhere. No need to credit me or ping or write me. If you do, check back for updates.
Let me know if you have any other under-reported reasons for the coming McCain/Palin win.
Please tell me if you think there are mistakes.
Conservatives can't really use the outing of MSM bias as an effective political warfare tool anymore. Everyone knows it and the media admit it gladly.
We'd do well to point out how stupid they are. McCain is not behind by double-digits in most national polls...Charlie, you just made an ass of yourself, and millions of people saw you do it.
I don’t think we have anything to worry about. This is more MSM BS to make us think NObama’s going to win in order to boost ratings. Come Nov. 4 real patriots will stand up and save the country again.
Double-digit must mean 2!
double digit, my double a$$!
Nice work! That’s the kind of change I believe we’re in for.
Since it's the number two, it's a "double" digit. Get it?
I heard that Gibson called Joe, the Plumber, a moron yesterday! IS true?
2.8% = double digits!
I think they are shoving this down our thorats because when election day comes and it shows McCain has a sizeable lead, they are going to want to cry voter fraud and extend the process. I can hear them now “But Obama was up by 14 points 2 weeks ago! There’s no way McCain can be pulling this out!”
RE: “We saw the same thing last presidential election. The Charlie Gibson types will declare a democrat win early - too early - and then have to eat crow as the results come in.
Don’t take anything for granted”
***********
I don’t think we have to worry about Republican voter apathy this year. NO McCain voter trusts those polls one bit and everyone WILL get out and vote on 11/4.
Let the Dims sit back and assume they have double digit leads — they can skip voting altogether if they like (please DO!) and we can hopefully slip past all that Dim/ACORN voter fraud right into victory for McCain.
No excuses — every vote counts — don’t let the first poll closings stop anyone from voting! Chances are, this race will be contested in the courts just like 2000!
I’m going to stay home on election day. I’m going to go to the polls and vote early :P
I don’t want to be in the room when he tries to count to 21.
PS the Soviet citizens knew that Pravda was a lie too.
MEEEEETOOOO! I’m not standing in line with a bunch of procrastinators and last minute Libs.
Yep, and I was Reba McEntire in a previous life. Really, I was!
“It’s the Marxism, stupid”
The media’s talking point will be that it was racism.
And the media’s thrill up their leg isn’t winning them any fans from the right either.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.