Posted on 10/16/2008 5:48:56 PM PDT by UCAL
Obama leads McCain in Virginia
(NEWPORT NEWS, VA) – With just under three weeks to go before Election Day, Senator Barack Obama leads Senator John McCain in Virginia by 6.0% among likely voters, 49.2% to 43.2%. Obama’s lead appears to be driven by voter concerns about the economy. Asked to name the top issue that they would like candidates to address between now and Election Day, just over six in ten likely voters say the economy. No other issue breaks double digits. These findings are from the Christopher Newport University Virginia Poll conducted October 11-14 of 500 likely voters.
When asked which would be the second issue that they would like the candidates to address between now and Election Day, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan top the list at 20.4%, followed closely by health care at 18.5% and then the economy, gas prices and energy policy, and terrorism. Fewer than 7% want the candidates to address the personal character and integrity of the candidates, suggesting that voters have not responded well to Senator McCain’s efforts to make Senator Obama’s character and integrity an issue in the final weeks of the election.
Nearly 50% of voters think that Joe Biden is the stronger Vice Presidential candidate, compared to just one in three who say Sarah Palin is the stronger Vice Presidential candidate.
(Excerpt) Read more at universityrelations.cnu.edu ...
You are mister Optimistic!
Virginia released today there were 400,000 new registered voters since 2004, pushing the registered totals to approximately 5M total. This puts VA online to break 70% turnout.
1,716,959 - Bush
1,454,742 - Kerry
Under the highly unscientific assumption that all the Bush voters vote McCain, all the Kerry votes vote Obama, McCain needs 35% of these new 400,000 voters to keep the lead.
But interestingly, VA showed both Kerry and Bush maxed out on the partisan voters. To make up 8% seems unlikely. McCain should win +2/3.
Even if Obama were to win this state, it will be <1.9 points. What I find unbelievable is Sarah Palin’s numbers in a traditional Republican state. Unless they polled exlusively in Fairfax and Richmond.
Another kiddie clown poll
Back when the unemployment figure came out at 6% I said the economy would be the deciding issue and that McCain should go after the democrats for causing the problem
Little did I know it would get so much worse but the strategy should be the same —the democrats caused this BS
However if the public thinks a corrupt liar like Obama is the answer and can’t see he is a snake oil merchant then we as a country are doomed
They will have severe buyers remorse in the following years but it will be too late by then
+ 6 McCain is an improvement. We have time and Obama is going down.....WE can do it!!!
Virginia: McCain vs. Obama
(Starting October 11 partisan affiliated polls will not be added to the RCP Poll Averages.)
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/03 - 10/14 — 51.8 43.7 Obama +8.1
CNU Virginia Poll 10/11 - 10/14 500 LV 53 47 Obama +6
CNN/Time 10/11 - 10/14 698 LV 53 43 Obama +10
FOX News/Rasmussen 10/12 - 10/12 1000 LV 50 47 Obama +3
PPP (D) 10/06 - 10/07 917 LV 51 43 Obama +8
SurveyUSA 10/04 - 10/05 666 LV 53 43 Obama +10
Suffolk 10/03 - 10/05 600 LV 51 39 Obama +12
Yes, in Northern Virginia and in City of Alexandria, you'd better believe it. Honestly, if every patriotic American doesn't get out there and vote for McCain/Palin... we've GOT to overwhelm the fraud with sheer numbers.
Christopher Newport University?
Yikes, LOL
I do not believe it, particularly given the relative size in crowds that have been coming out...like this huge crowd for Sarah.
On average only 55% of these new voters will actually vote.
A poll run by a bunch of college students? *guffaw*
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
No way VA will go blue...
NOVA is not as liberal as people think.
I live in a sea of Obama signs, in the City of Alexandria. I've got a Saul Alinksy community organization down the street. CASA, too. Please, oh, please, all Virginians, please get to the polls on Nov 2.
i don’t understand the second to last line of your post. please explain
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Do you know what the voter registration ratio is in Va? I’d like to know how that relates to the sampling ratio.
One good thing about Virginia is that voters must have picture ID to vote. That puts us in a bit more secure position than places like Ohio
Not that that is foolproof, but it helps
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