Posted on 10/15/2008 9:29:41 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
For supporters of Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama it is a nightmare scenario -- his apparent lead in the battle for the White House suddenly evaporates on Election Day. The cause? Race.
As Republican rival John McCain celebrates victory, it emerges that a small but decisive percentage of white voters who had declared to opinion pollsters they supported Obama actually chose differently in the privacy of the ballot booth.
With opinion surveys making Obama the favorite over McCain less than three weeks before the November 4 election, attention has turned to the question of how many white Americans might be lying to pollsters about their willingness to vote for a black president.
The phenomenon is known as the "Bradley effect," after Tom Bradley, an African American who narrowly lost the 1982 California governor's election despite leading in polls.
His defeat surprised observers who concluded many white voters had not been honest about their intentions. Ever since, pollsters have tried to factor in the Bradley effect in elections featuring black candidates.
Those concerns weighed heavily on John Estep as he canvassed for Obama last week in the mainly white town of St. Bernard, Ohio, where he was once mayor.
"They will say in a poll, or say on the porch, 'I'll vote for Obama.' But I question how many will stick with a person of color when they pull that (voting booth) curtain," said Estep.
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
This is extremely presumptive of you.
How did you arrive at the figure 20%?
How did you select white dims as a subgroup of all whites?
This guy was banned from FreeRepublic.
Include in that the euroweenies who already think they gave him the victory tour.
whats next they want to see who we vote for and then send us to re education camps
remind them of who sat in a racist church, who has a racist wife, who has made bigoted stero typed comments
the only racist here is obama and his wife
and I will let anyone know if they dare to say I am racist
Really? What was his ID?
Let me say this again, this guy was banned from FR? He’s more conservative than Hannity. Does anyone know his “handle” on FR?
No Idea, did you check out the link at post 121?
Apparently he’s back on, I want to know his screen name...if anyone can help.
It is THEY who profess (loudly) their support for Obama, NOT Conservatives. The Obama camp cannot pin this on whites in general when it will in fact be due to LIBERAL WHITES.
LIBERAL WHITES
And I DO feel that the Bradley Effect will happen due to these people.
And WHITE Liberals are the PHONIEST of the Liberal bunch.
The only poll that counts is the election, and any fool who thinks they count will find themselves on the back end of disappointment.
Or is it that the real question how many pollsters are lying about their polling in hopes of depressing the republican vote or bringing about that so called Bradley effect and thus causing riots after the election with their manufactured polls.
And you leave you children in that school system???? Home school!
The Limo Libs and other assorted negro-friend-challenged who are all so vocal about Obama sure are overdoing it to the extent of needing to "prove" something. They need to "prove" that they are hepcat and tolerant and inclusive and socially progressive and on and on and on ad nauseum.
Most confident and well-adjusted in-skin-comfortable people don't need to broadcast who they are inside. It's a pretty basicly-accepted principle.
I don't think that most of these people really internalize a thought that Obama is ready to lead.
Some of these "Progressives" will either not vote, or secretly vote their PORTFOLIOS. Shhhhh...they won't want their other "progressive" friends to know that they care about continuing their lavish lifestyle as well as really NOT wanting to "share" THEIRS with the less fortunate.
Liberals are nothing if not phony.
We are looking into it. The Superintendant has also opened an investigation into these students.
Race IS going to bring Obama down.
Here’s why, and it is already starting to happen:
I’m not prepared to be labeled a racist every time I disagree with the policies of this administration, or the messiah’s mishandling of his duties in office.
It’s what I tell people in unions. “You’ve seen what affirmative action did to job availability. Wait until you see what effect it has on disagreeing with the President.”
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.