Posted on 10/14/2008 6:33:44 PM PDT by FocusNexus
The Sad History of General Election Polls, and How They Have Repeatedly Failed to Predict the Outcomes of Presidential Elections
Nov 1980, Gallup Pre-Election Poll Carter 44% Reagan 41%
Final Results
Reagan 50.7% Carter 41.0%
Sept 2000 Newsweek Al Gore 49% George W. Bush 39%
Final Results Bush 47.9% Gore 48.4%
(Excerpt) Read more at associatedcontent.com ...
We're the fools for trying to read too much into them.
The polls are like nailing jello to a wall.
Pray for W, McCuda and Our Troops
There’s no way Hussein Osama will win. Call it Bradley effect or whatever, but when real Americans punch a ballot they will not vote for an Islamic terrorist. I have no doubt about it and have lost no sleep worrying about it.
I’m more concerned about how McCain may damage us as president. That’s what we should focus on, and be sure we’re sending him a clear message. The base will turn out to support him, and he better return the hell out of that favor.
McCain did pick Sarah as his VP — I would consider this a strong message and a very hopeful sign for conservatives.
Polls are notoriously better one day before an election than they are 5 days before than they are 10 days before than they are one month before.
This is common sense. A few days before an election, one would expect a voter to be making final decisions about how he/she will vote. A month before an election one would expect more clarity than a year before.
We are 3 weeks prior and there is time yet for opinions to change. I, for example, have decided that the Constitution Party is my fall back position. I intend to vote for McCain/Palin unless something absolutely drastic happens.
Remember, exit polls on the day of election predicted a Kerry landslide in 2004.
Every once in awhile I say to myself what if the impossible happens? What will I say? What will I do?
I have no answers to those questions because I quickly dismiss them.
So if the unlikely happens, I want to know what others who believe as I, will have to say?
My understanding is that the exit polls were very poorly designed.
“Final Results Bush 47.9% Gore 48.4%”
I’ll bet you Algore cringes every time he sees this.
That would have been a great T-Shirt....47.9%
I remember.
It was fun watching the MSM anchors coming unglued as the night went on and the real results came in. They looked silly with with looks of shock on their faces.....or was that egg on their faces?
You are deluding yourself. Unless McCain can make a dramatic change, BHO will win easily. There was a poll released today showing BHO with a 9 point lead in Colorado. The economic situation will give the election to BHO. Even without the economic situation, McCain faced an uphill battle. BHO will win simply because he is more likable to independent voters. A good part of the country is looking for big government to bail them out. The rats will win every time that the electorate wants big government. It is ironic that the rats have been an instigator in almost every economic problem. They have cleverly managed to blame conservatives for the failures of their horrible policies.
I think if a person hasn’t made up their mind who they are going to vote for a month before an election, they probably don’t care enough to vote at all.
“I, for example, have decided that the Constitution Party is my fall back position. I intend to vote for McCain/Palin unless something absolutely drastic happens.”
Stop reading my mind!!!! LOL
When McCain got the nomination, I opened up the Libertarian and the Constitution party platforms in side-by-side windows for comparison. There’s a world of difference. It’s liberals v. conservatives.
After thinking a bit about the McCain platform, I sent the CP a donation right away.
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