Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Does Newsweek Really Stand By This Poll?
campaignspot ^ | Oct 11 2008 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 10/11/2008 11:21:06 AM PDT by bahblahbah

Dear friends at Newsweek...

Just to clarify...

You have McCain winning Republicans, 89 to 7. You have Obama winning Democrats, 91 to 5. (I'm a bit skeptical, but for now, for the sake of argument, I'll accept your assertion that PUMAs are extinct.) You have McCain winning independents by 2 percent, 45 to 43.

And this adds up to an 11-percent Obama lead in your latest poll.

We are to believe that McCain is losing among women by 9 percent, but losing among men by 14 percent.

We are to believe that the Hillary voters are lining up behind Obama, 88 percent to 7 percent.

We are to believe Obama is winning 18 to 34-year-olds by 10 percent, but he is winning 45 to 64-year-olds by 16 percent.

We are to believe the white vote is just about even, 46 percent for Obama, 47 percent for McCain.

And we are to believe the electorate in November will be 27 percent Republican, 40 percent Democrat, and 30 percent Independent.

If the over/under on the partisan breakdown on Election Day is 13 percent, I'd take the under. I wonder if anybody in Vegas would take that wager...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; mccain; newsweak; obama; polls
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-34 last
To: originalbuckeye
Newsweak, along with the rest of Big Media, is setting us up. If McCain/Palin wins in November, Big Media can say we cheated, we are racists, etc., etc. Are you ready to rumble??

I agree. The MSM and Obama have been telling us, in many different ways, that an Obama presidency is inevitable. They even did that through symbolism (Obama's presidential seal)

They aren't going to go quietly.

21 posted on 10/11/2008 11:41:34 AM PDT by syriacus (Where Obama goes....housing bubbles follow. Who got us into this DEMron-style DEMbacle, anyway?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: bahblahbah

And the news reporting from Josef Goebbels continues. I find it insults my intelligence anymore


22 posted on 10/11/2008 11:42:55 AM PDT by realcleanguy ("I have not yet begun to fight")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Betty Jane
The polls show he gets a consistent 45%. He will be lucky to get that on Election Day. In only a few polls had he approached 50%. I think he got over that when they started playing games with party ID. That's how he gets an improbable double digit lead. But if he can't break 45% the week before Election Day, its all over.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

23 posted on 10/11/2008 11:47:22 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: All

The poll must include the Dead (100% for Obama),
and the twice/thrice voted (100% for Obama).

That’s where Obama has gained the lead...


24 posted on 10/11/2008 11:53:42 AM PDT by CharlotteVRWC
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

I must go way back into my memory banks (how long has it been since we’ve heard THAT expression?) but as I recall Newsweek had GWB up by double digits in 2000 after the second or third debate. They also had the elder President Bush up by *17* after the last debate in 1988. He won, but the margin was much smaller. I don’t think Newsweek polls can be trusted, even if they overestimated GOP support in 2 past elections.


25 posted on 10/11/2008 11:55:56 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: bahblahbah
Yes, Newsweek stands behind its poll. With a smirk on its face.

Liberal rags have always been highly slanted in their coverage and their polls have been nothing but the tool of their desire. It is their pious intention to tell us what to think, and when to think it.

They consider themselves the wise and we are the rubes. They believe history can be made by the printing press and the television camera. They know that 35%-40% of us will never be swayed by their pronouncements, but thats not the point. They intend to sway the confused who cannot, even at this stage, seem to make up their minds whether they are capitalists or communists or somewhere inbetween.

It has been rather startling to see the glee with which some of them have already begun pronouncing capitalism dead. One catastrophy caused by democrats importing communist programs into this country (Fannie Mae) will not sink capitalism. It is too strong. They know that. But three weeks out from an election all they want and need is the appearance that capitalism has failed to push a socialist agenda.

It allows Obama to blur the lines and push through to victory, and he hasn't wasted any time doing exactly that. Yesterday he said (paraphrased)"It isn't about conservative or liberal, or democrat or republican, it is about what is good for (you)" Blurring the lines. He hopes in a state of mild panic people will turn to the nearest baritone voice uttering reassurances, and then he can be the "spy behind enemy lines" (from his book) as he sits in the Oval Office pushing a socialist agenda, economically and diplomatically, that will severely damage this country.

26 posted on 10/11/2008 11:58:28 AM PDT by 1-Eagle (Yeah that Ayers guy just lives down the street. Don't know why I wrote a review of his book.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo

“As soon as the economic crisis settles down McCain will rise.”

— this year ??


27 posted on 10/11/2008 12:00:20 PM PDT by zwerni (*** PALIN/mccain 2008 ***)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Frantzie

“NewsWeak is a joke.”

The problem is it’s an old and worn joke.

Newsweeks ‘polls’ have been so ridiculously off for at least a decade that no one with a cell left in their brain could possibly take them seriously.


28 posted on 10/11/2008 12:04:51 PM PDT by EDINVA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: zwerni
Next week. We have hit bottom and now comes stabilization and the beginning of recovery. Be optimistic and spread the optimism. McCain/Palin are going to win, narrowly.
29 posted on 10/11/2008 12:08:18 PM PDT by jokyfo ("OBAMA" is Arabic for "CIPHER" and Farsi for "VACUUM")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: EDINVA

I wonder though if all these headlines showing 0bama way ahead though are just increasing momentum for him. I hope not but who knows.

I have to wonder also if that stat about 45-64 y.o. people going for 0 is more accurate than we would like because too many in that age range are thinking for some ridiculous reason that 0 and the Dems are the ones to protect their retirement. If so then they are ignorant or refuse to see the truth.

As I have been saying in several posts, these 0bama voters are going to have to learn the hard way. Too bad they will drag all of us down with them.


30 posted on 10/11/2008 12:15:20 PM PDT by TNCMAXQ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Betty Jane
Clinton got 43% of the vote. I expect Barry to get 45%.

Has anybody actually gone out and talked to those people in your lives that vote dem. I have and the only one my husband and I find of our acquaintances from all over the US not staying home or voting McCain is a lawyer and vegetarian couple.

Gee, the one couple we were sure would be at the polls because they have never seen a dem they do not like are staying home. My grandmother and her blue-dog democrat faithful friends are not voting Obama, shocker of shockers yesterday I found out the 70 and older non-Chrisitan, pro-abortion, anti-war never heard a dem talking point they did not love repeating PBS news watching, Social Security bound, book-club ladies hate Obama with a passion. Obama does not have a happy base no matter what the polls are saying.

Only way Obama gets 45% of the vote is through massive fraud.

31 posted on 10/11/2008 12:42:45 PM PDT by Lady Heron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: TNCMAXQ

I’m on board with you ... I absolutely believe rags like Newsweek and their fellow travelers publish polls to deflate enthusiasm by Republicans, that the 45-64 demo group is thinking only of their retirement and that it’s a hard lesson ahead if Obama wins.

And I’m just paranoid enough to wonder if Soros doesn’t have something to do with the current economic situation. He did serious damage both to the UK and Asia ... but at least in the UK the folks still seem to love his Chosen Messiah.


32 posted on 10/11/2008 12:49:37 PM PDT by EDINVA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: timestax

It’s probably is a good idea. I hope there’s an equivalent of Larry Flint on our side that will pay $1m to anybody who can come up with dirt of the media talking points. Again, everything must be done legally.


33 posted on 10/11/2008 1:51:30 PM PDT by paudio (Repeat after me: 0bama is a LIAR.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo

believe me I am as optimistic as I could be. it just gets more difficult each day.


34 posted on 10/11/2008 3:05:46 PM PDT by zwerni (*** PALIN/mccain 2008 ***)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-34 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson