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1 posted on 10/10/2008 6:52:11 AM PDT by disraeligears
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To: disraeligears

mods, please change title to 6000... thanks


2 posted on 10/10/2008 6:52:56 AM PDT by disraeligears (How was the CREAM Madison Square Garden Concert?)
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To: disraeligears

Have to be careful extrapolating linear trends over long time horizons. Stocks tend to follow an exponential growth pattern - compounding and whatnot. Perfectly natural and reasonable for them to do so.


4 posted on 10/10/2008 6:54:19 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo ("They aren't people! They're the ACLU!" - General Patton in An American Carol)
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To: disraeligears
That said, before going to law school, I was a stockbroker (I know, I know, next it is selling used cars).

Or run for office! Looks like a 20 yr credit bubble is the real deal...Greenspan ain't so smart after all. Then again, a lot of ppl got rich during that span.

5 posted on 10/10/2008 6:55:23 AM PDT by Huck (America's epitaph: At least we tried. Better luck next time.)
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To: disraeligears

Market is coming up.


6 posted on 10/10/2008 6:56:10 AM PDT by Dallas59 (Just Say NObama!)
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To: disraeligears

The market is overswold, panic sellers.


7 posted on 10/10/2008 6:57:05 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: disraeligears

I’m guesssing (betting) the bottom will be around 7700. I’m no pro, by any means, just what I’ve pulled together from MANY different opinions.


9 posted on 10/10/2008 7:00:14 AM PDT by Travis T. OJustice (Change is not a destination, just as hope is not a strategy.)
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To: disraeligears

Well,

I predicted 8k for the bottom when it was around 12.... Now that was long term prediction, not this short term rapid drop. Keep in mind folks, you have a natural drop right now being enhanced by further manipulations in the economy by folks like Soros.. Once the election is over, those manipulations will stop, regardless of who wins.

They dow will not freefall forever, it may continue to trend down, but its not going to keep dropping 500+ points a day indefinately. Many of the companies being dragged down by this fear rally are quite stable companies that are benefiting immensely from the broader downturn and cleanup.

I think the end bottom for the dow may be lower than my original prediction months ago at this point, but I don’t believe its the “END OF THE WORLD”. Look for value and for companies that do something that do well when money is tight. Or perform consistently even in bad times. There have been a LOT of boring companies that have been ignored because there were more exciting plays... most of those will still be standing and be stronger than ever when this mess clears out.


10 posted on 10/10/2008 7:00:51 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: disraeligears

Different companies with different earnings potential operating in different political climates having very different alternative investments.

But sure, go ahead and draw the line and compare 80 years ago.


11 posted on 10/10/2008 7:01:32 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: disraeligears
My concern is NOT how low it goes, but for how long it stays there.

Glen Back said to buy extra food...

12 posted on 10/10/2008 7:02:08 AM PDT by GOPJ ( Obama is an ACORN/Ayers DUPE - useful idiot - front guy - chump - patsy - pigeon...)
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To: disraeligears
I agree with you. Under 6000 it becomes undervalued but we may see it swoop below and get a little bounce back. Precious metals and new technology are the places to be. ( Same caveats about anyone relying on this info).

Sorry to hear you are planning to become a lawyer. If your mother doesn't know yet and you can play the piano you can always use the time honored lie about being employed in a "house of ill repute".

13 posted on 10/10/2008 7:02:55 AM PDT by Timocrat
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To: disraeligears

People will be jumping out windows and off bridges if DOW goes below 7000..............


14 posted on 10/10/2008 7:04:32 AM PDT by Red Badger (My wallet is made out of depleted you-owe-mium........)
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To: disraeligears
Redraw your chart using post WWII data and then see what your forecast would look like. The regulatory set up and trading rules all changed during the prior periods, so you need to compare apples to apple to the greatest degree you can.

The post depression era in the stock markets extended all the way to 1953 or so.

Start your line there.

17 posted on 10/10/2008 7:06:06 AM PDT by Cold Heat (Well....................................That's .....that.........)
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To: disraeligears

Financials are up - and Bush is speaking soon. My guess? Money will be pumped into that sector. A new “bailout” announcement that will work as well as the last one...


24 posted on 10/10/2008 7:11:16 AM PDT by GOPJ ( Obama is an ACORN/Ayers DUPE - useful idiot - front guy - chump - patsy - pigeon...)
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To: disraeligears

buy a shotgun, plenty of ammo, food, water and first aid supplies.


27 posted on 10/10/2008 7:14:13 AM PDT by Joan Kerrey
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To: disraeligears
Caveat: None of the following is to be relied upon by anyone for anything. Anyother words, I have no idea what is going to happen in the financial markets, and if anyone tries to tell you differently, they are a bloody fool!!!

I read this caveat to mean that you are giving me financial advice that a licensed professional would offer, and that I may make sound decisions upon it, and that I may initiate a lawsuit if anything untoward happens.

Freepmail me your address, please.

30 posted on 10/10/2008 7:18:46 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: disraeligears
personally, i believe it will break 6000 before the election

(it's being driven by the dems to create 'the sky is falling'... which i have noted for over a year now)

31 posted on 10/10/2008 7:19:07 AM PDT by sten
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To: disraeligears
My guess: 6,500

Before settling back to that level, it may go as low as 4500.

34 posted on 10/10/2008 7:35:07 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: disraeligears
[ Any Ideas?... ]

Yup.. sell all positions(cash out)..
Buy them again at the bottom of the fall..
For all 401k's(and other instruments).. you're screwed..

37 posted on 10/10/2008 7:55:00 AM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole....)
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To: disraeligears
I've been investing in these kind of stocks lately...

They're extremely stable if bedded and inlet correctly, and tend to have magnificent long range performance.

47 posted on 10/10/2008 8:22:23 AM PDT by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum)
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To: disraeligears
Well just Damn.. the Dems were right. Do not trust the market. Trust Social Security.

I work hard for 40 years.. and Now... well at least I get the Max SS benefits.. Guess they were right.

NO smart ass remarks from all you younger folks... I worked and I earned.. and now I am really pissed.

(Oh and yes, I moved into bonds and Money market.. I am still getting clobbered...)

71 posted on 10/10/2008 11:07:12 AM PDT by drc43 (NO Drilling for prosperity!!....Nancy Pelosi)
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