Yesterday’s poll may have been an outlier. It was not in line with the other tracking polls (kinda like Gallup, but on the other end of the scale).
That doesnt make any since. Are they a 3 day average ?
Not good!
WTH???? There aren’t enough antacids out there to get me through the next month. Jeez these polls are killing me.
No doubt the polls will be predicting McCain at 35% the week before the election!
Is this a moving average? To get + 5 in a day the numbers would have had to be quite dramatic...
“He also has a 2 pt. lead over McCain among men”
That doesn’t seem possible to me. Anyone else?
Today’s Battleground and Rasmussen polls both show McCain gaining today. Zogby shows him down one (statical noise?) and then there’s this one. Obviously, McCain isn’t going up and down at the same time so somebody’s out to lunch here. The race is tight and McCain is just starting to hit Obama on the terrorist connection. I think that’ll really hurt Obama. And then there’s the communist/islamist Odinga connection. I hope McCain is watching that one closely.
For God’s sake this is Chuck Todd/Charlie Cook’s poll. What’s wrong with you people?
Today’s Battleground and Rasmussen polls both show McCain gaining today. Zogby shows him down one (statical noise?) and then there’s this one. Obviously, McCain isn’t going up and down at the same time so somebody’s out to lunch here. The race is tight and McCain is just starting to hit Obama on the terrorist connection. I think that’ll really hurt Obama. And then there’s the communist/islamist Odinga connection. I hope McCain is watching that one closely.
They are probably ajusting the survey results by the ACORN voter registration drive. Some percentage of Democrat voters now need multiple counts.
If you think that the candidate of Jeremiah Wright church is going to win this elections then go ahead and believe these biased polls.
I suspect that what “swung” were not the actual voter preferences of the respondents, but the percentage of Democrats relative to Republicans in the poll. That’s how these pollsters create these wild swings.
BIG LEAGUE BRAVO SIERRA ALERT!!!!!!!!
All the polls are crap, but this one is more obvious than others.
10/8 Poll Sample 41% dem 36% Rep 18% Ind
10/7 Poll Sample 40% dem 38% Rep 18% Ind
Two issues here:
1. Party ID swings 3% in ONE DAY with only one third of your sample coming on that day?
2. The total samples only reach 95-95% on either of the days, which is impossible unless they are asking about third parties. Is there really going to be a 4-5% other party vote on election day? If so, the pollsters need to ask about Libertarian and Green Party, along with Ralph Nerder.
How do they pick the respondents?
Are they they noozpeeps?
ACORN members?
The hopenitized?
I don’t really believe them, because their sampling methods are suspect.
The negative attacks against McPal from the mediaPUKES from hell have finally taken it’s toll. Please keep the faith and keep praying and FASTING! COURAGE!!
I don’t trust this poll - small daily samples, bouncing all over the place.
I think Gallup, Ras, and R2000 (once you adjust the sample a bit) are three best trackers. None of them is perfect, but together they give a clear enough picture.
Zogby, Hotline and Battleground (which was good, but appears to struggle this year) are second tier.
If this election is about McCain and what he can bring....He loses plain and simple. The man stands for very little in terms of philosophy. Outside of standing strong for America and seeing to it that we continue to be on the offensive in the WOT. Which that alone makes him the better choice over Obama.
How do that many people change their minds in one day?
These polls don't make sense. I'm sure that 43% have decided to vote Pub no matter what. I'm sure 43% have decided to vote Rat no matter what. That leaves 14% undecided. These polls would have you believe that the 14% undecided are bouncing back and forth from candidate to candidate every day.
It defies common sense. My life experience tells me undecideds make up their minds in the last week, or even on the way to the voting booth.
My tagline.