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Hotline/FD Tracking Poll: Obama 47%, McCain 41% (Obama +5 from yesterday)
Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/9/2008 | Real Clear Politics

Posted on 10/09/2008 7:23:35 AM PDT by tatown

Obama 47%, McCain 41%

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: poll
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To: crosslink

Damn. The emotional roller coaster continues. Just minutes ago I was encouraged by Battleground.

Still it is hard to believe this many people change their mind on a daily basis. Some of those number swings are stunning.


21 posted on 10/09/2008 7:30:05 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: tatown

They are probably ajusting the survey results by the ACORN voter registration drive. Some percentage of Democrat voters now need multiple counts.


22 posted on 10/09/2008 7:30:26 AM PDT by Proud2BeRight
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative

No. I would just feel better if I didnt see polls like these daily. Down 10, down 6, down down down. Not giving up just wishing for a good day.


23 posted on 10/09/2008 7:30:42 AM PDT by GoCards
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To: tatown

If you compare this to Rasmussen and Zogby, it doesnt make much sense.


24 posted on 10/09/2008 7:30:52 AM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (GO Sarah Palin !)
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To: GoCards

Rasmussen shows a trend toward McCain. Zogby is still tight.


25 posted on 10/09/2008 7:31:36 AM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (GO Sarah Palin !)
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To: maeng

I don’t believe any polls anymore. Even the ‘’intellectuals’’ at MSNBC admit that Gov. Palin is a wonderful candidate( except for the smartarse blonde who co-anchors koffee vit joe)


26 posted on 10/09/2008 7:31:46 AM PDT by shadeaud
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To: Perdogg

This poll was being promoted here yesterday...


27 posted on 10/09/2008 7:31:52 AM PDT by tatown
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To: rom
5% oversample of Dems. Interesting.

Yes and as I remember ,and someone please correct me if I am wrong, but actual voting the last two elections was 37/37/26. It will boil down to the last week like Regan Carter on how the ind go.

28 posted on 10/09/2008 7:32:43 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: shadeaud

What proof, if any, show her numbers down?


29 posted on 10/09/2008 7:33:04 AM PDT by maeng
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To: tatown

2 of 3 showing Obama +15(am I understanding your correctly?). If that’s the case then I will not pay this any attention.


30 posted on 10/09/2008 7:33:35 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: crosslink

Sorry Regan is Reagan, I named my daughter Regan so forgive me.


31 posted on 10/09/2008 7:33:51 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: Perdogg

Chuck Todd/Charlie Cook’s poll./all members in cell block C were polled so much for polls.


32 posted on 10/09/2008 7:34:28 AM PDT by Vaduz (and just think how clean the cities would become again.)
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To: IMissPresidentReagan
Jeez these polls are killing me.

They're making me laugh!

33 posted on 10/09/2008 7:34:31 AM PDT by houeto ("Drill Here! Drill Now!" & "Go Palin, Go!")
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To: crosslink

Hotline has lost credibility with such erratic movement in its poll. For two days in a row, it had McCain virtually tied with Obama on the economy and then today it’s +6 for Obama. I also don’t believe men are going for Obama over McCain or that Sarah is slipping in approval.


34 posted on 10/09/2008 7:34:33 AM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: tatown
You are really obsessed with polls and you believe them. You need to use your brain instead of the media telling you what is going on via biased polls.

If you think that the candidate of Jeremiah Wright church is going to win this elections then go ahead and believe these biased polls.

35 posted on 10/09/2008 7:35:35 AM PDT by jveritas (Use the nuclear option against Obama: Jeremiah Wright)
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To: tatown

2 of 3 showing Obama +15(am I understanding your correctly?). If that’s the case then I will not pay this any attention.


36 posted on 10/09/2008 7:35:40 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: Longstreet63

“He also has a 2 pt. lead over McCain among men”

That doesn’t seem possible to me. Anyone else?

.
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.
.
.
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Yea, that’s a bunch of crap.


37 posted on 10/09/2008 7:35:40 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: maeng

The DBM mantra is that she is too polarizing. You either worship her or you despise her.

That may be true somewhat. Our morning drive time host (Bill Handel) has called her a dangerous nut job. He claims he won’t vote for Obama however. Whatever, I only listen to KFI now for Rush. They also turn their noses up at Gov. Palin.

I do think she is slightly wet behind the ears (let’s be honest with ourselves, she sometimes does sound like she’s giving a canned response to questions), but she’s a quick study. You CAN be a quick study if you have a fundamental belief system.

In 4 years, she will be a force to reckon with.


38 posted on 10/09/2008 7:35:40 AM PDT by rom (Cold on McCain '08. Enthusiastic about McCain-Palin '08!)
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To: tatown

I suspect that what “swung” were not the actual voter preferences of the respondents, but the percentage of Democrats relative to Republicans in the poll. That’s how these pollsters create these wild swings.


39 posted on 10/09/2008 7:35:46 AM PDT by kesg
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To: nailspitter

In meterology, we look at forecast models. The GFS, NAM, EURO, UKMET,.

When the models show a wild swing, we look at the other models to see a trend. I do not need a 15 point swing to Obama in 12 hours.


40 posted on 10/09/2008 7:35:50 AM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (GO Sarah Palin !)
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