Posted on 10/09/2008 7:23:35 AM PDT by tatown
Obama 47%, McCain 41%
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
He also has a 2 pt. lead over McCain among men.
This does not makes sense. I cannot see guys voting for Obama. Hell, even the Log Cabin Gay guys are voting for McCain...lol. This particular survey is crap. He might be ahead with woman but no way by men.
2 of 3 showing Obama +15(am I understanding your correctly?). If that’s the case then I will not pay this any attention.
BIG LEAGUE BRAVO SIERRA ALERT!!!!!!!!
All the polls are crap, but this one is more obvious than others.
10/8 Poll Sample 41% dem 36% Rep 18% Ind
10/7 Poll Sample 40% dem 38% Rep 18% Ind
Two issues here:
1. Party ID swings 3% in ONE DAY with only one third of your sample coming on that day?
2. The total samples only reach 95-95% on either of the days, which is impossible unless they are asking about third parties. Is there really going to be a 4-5% other party vote on election day? If so, the pollsters need to ask about Libertarian and Green Party, along with Ralph Nerder.
Did I promote it??? Yes or no?
41%D, 36%R, 18%I.
This is so stupid. If I ran a survey, I would ask 35/35/30 who they plan to vote for. If I oversample or undersample than fine, but at least it would be closer to what it actually would be.
These jerks want us to believe that Jeremiah Wright apprentice is getting more votes among men than Bill Clinton got in 1992, and 1996, and Gore got in 2000, and Kerry got in 2004.
Eh..whatever. No other polls show her slipping, and the VP debate was tied with the most ever watched debate including presidential debates.
How do they pick the respondents?
Are they they noozpeeps?
ACORN members?
The hopenitized?
I don’t really believe them, because their sampling methods are suspect.
More crazy wild swings that do not make sense. Just get out there and vote.
So that leaves 5 per cent missing....
and how are they surveying by the population enmass or by electoral college shaping?
No but others did. Additionally, Sean Hannity promoted it last night on TV!
Yep...at least 2-3% too many Democrats, but probably closer to 4% too many (Democrats haven't exceeded 37% in any election cycle since 2000, and that includes 2006). The Republican number is about right. If you subtract 3 extra points from the Dems and then add them to the Independent column, the real "lead" in this poll is more like 46-44 or thereabouts. If you subtract an additional point to match the 2006 voter turnout, it's more like 46-45. And if you use the 2004 turnout (our last Presidential election), McCain actually pulls ahead slightly.
It’s impossible for Obama to be leading among men.
They will tell people at the plant they are voting for ONE but after a few beers they will admit they cannot stand the limp wrist-ed liberal.
That is great news. In fact, I don’t even care if millions of people tell me that they are going to vote for Obama when in fact they won’t. Let them get it out of their system. For some reason if telling me they are going to vote for Obama is going to make them feel better...all the better as long as they don’t in reality. lol.
what does this have to do with me?
Nothing, I was responding to an attack for posting this poll!
Anyone know what the margin was among men in ‘04 with Bush over Kerry? As I recall the male vote has gone substantially Republican for the last several elections.
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