I don’t know about Bradley, BUT he might run into the Osama Effect.
How about the “terrorist connection” effect?
Its already been proven he has a bradley effect, he’s overpolled in practically poll during the primary by about 4%.
That was just between democrats.It will be worse in the GE.
So it does exist.
The Bradley Effect is merely an imaginary phenomenom to cover up the fact that pollsters try to sway voters with incorrect polls.
No need to wonder; just look at the results of the primaries, where Barry underperformed his polling in several instances.
If someone I suspect is a Dem calls me for an opinion or a statement of my intent, I'm not going to tell him McCain's my choice. I'll say I don't know. I don't trust these guys. They're thugs and they've got my name and phone #.
It's my belief that it's more likely that a Dem will key a car with a Pub sticker than the reverse. The Dems think that sheer volume of the shrill invective and hysteria can make us fall into line.
Yes.
Bradley (black) lost to his Republican challenger (white) in 1982, and Wilder (black) lost in 1989 to his Republican challenger (white).
Both Bradley and Wilder were ahead in several polls (and for quite some time ) before those elections. Both lost in the general election.
The Bradley Effect cannot be measured in Dem primaries. It takes a general election to show it. Thats when Independents and Repubs come into play.
I hope so.
Everytime Obama-nation is under attack, the MSM brings up the Bradley effect to GOTV. It’s nothing more than a GOTV tactis for liberals. Last time they did it, Mccain was up 4 in Gallup DT.
Polls, the ones made much of by MSM, are designed to pull public opinion.
Since they do not represent reality, there is no reason to expect voting outcome to be close to the polls.
So, in my opinion, The Bradley Effect is overrated. It was probably invented by the LA Times to cover their deceitfulness in the campaign.
Plus, I lie to pollsters and urge everyone else to follow, since it further erodes the power of MSM.
The “Bradley” effect might be worth 4 points.
But I would guess the “Anti-American”, “terrorist buddy” might be more than 4 points. Call me crazy.
The biggest problem Obama has is oversampling of urban areas which is where I think the so called Bradley effect comes from. Polls to be accurate need to achieve a sample that is representative.
If that were not so we'd have a black Republican governor in Ohio and a black Republican senator in Maryland.
At the same time many people are so irate at pollsters they refuse to answer. This is taken as a non-response and is deleted from the sample base. I think the white Democrats who will not vote for Obama because of race are included in the non-responses.
How about the “Idiot, empty suit effect”. ;-)
What I have noticed in social gatherings and some other situations is that when people discuss politics and they wish to express negative feelings about Obama’s positions and past associations-they whisper.
Or mouth his name.
Sometimes glancing around before saying it.
Never noticed that before .
He isn’t black, he’s arab.
...just sayin...
The Bradley effect has absolutely nothing to do with the “racism” of voters, it has to do with incorrect polling techniques by the pollsters in some races.
If the gallups and such give a little more analysis to their work, if pollster polished up their interviewing techniques, they would be more likely to get accurate polls.
Pushing it off on “racism” is just a phony baloney guilt trip they are trying to foist on the public.
I’ve got a feeling that there is another effect out there that his going to bite Obama on the ass. It’s the “I’m a Republican and I’ve got a son in Iraq” effect. Every ‘RAT within sniffing distance of a reporter says that. They are not only ashamed to be an unAmerican DemocRAT, they are also confusing the issue when they spew that garbage to to reporters and pollsters.
In our household he has already run into the Achmed Effect.