[Laissez-faire capitalist]

Yes.

Bradley (black) lost to his Republican challenger (white) in 1982, and Wilder (black) lost in 1989 to his Republican challenger (white).

Both Bradley and Wilder were ahead in several polls (and for quite some time ) before those elections. Both lost in the general election.

The Bradley Effect cannot be measured in Dem primaries. It takes a general election to show it. Thats when Independents and Repubs come into play.

[Laissez-faire capitalist]

...The Dem primaries did not have many primaries in which Repubs and Ind’s could vote.

[lasereye]

Wilder won.

[CaliforniaCon]

RE: “Bradley (black) lost to his Republican challenger (white) in 1982, and Wilder (black) lost in 1989 to his Republican challenger (white).

Both Bradley and Wilder were ahead in several polls (and for quite some time ) before those elections. Both lost in the general election.

The Bradley Effect cannot be measured in Dem primaries. It takes a general election to show it. Thats when Independents and Repubs come into play.”

YES, I agree with you. Bradley/Wilder effect will DEFINITELY be in play in this general election.

[hout8475]

Wilder did go on to win, but by a much smaller margin than the polls were showing. In the polls, he was way ahead but ended up winning by only 1%.

[Mamzelle]

re: The Bradley Effect cannot be measured in Dem primaries.)))

Why not?