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More Poll Posting - Obama May Be In Real Trouble If Polls Weight Samples Wrong
Strata-sphere ^ | 10.06.08 | AJ Strata

Posted on 10/06/2008 9:59:46 AM PDT by Perdogg

With Barack Obama pulling ahead in the polls, it seems a lot of us on the right are concerned about the validity of the message we are seeing. I am still of the opinion something is wrong with the polls and have shown why record crowd levels at Palin events, record viewership of the Biden-Palin debate (this is due to Biden???) and record RNC donation levels all paint a very different picture than a runaway race for Obama-Biden.

I did find one VERY interesting set of data on polls and the electorate which confirms my suspicion. But first I want to send a “shout out” to DJ Drummon and his correct statement about today’s less than professional polls:

(Excerpt) Read more at strata-sphere.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; mccain; obama; pollpot
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1 posted on 10/06/2008 9:59:46 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Perdogg

McCain may be in real trouble if he can’t find second gear ...


2 posted on 10/06/2008 10:00:48 AM PDT by mgc1122
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To: kesg; Wilder Effect; LS; perfect_rovian_storm; tatown; Chet 99; Norman Bates; TitansAFC; ...

ping


3 posted on 10/06/2008 10:01:05 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vice President Sarah H Palin - Make it happen !!!!)
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To: mgc1122

try to be positive mmkay?


4 posted on 10/06/2008 10:01:51 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vice President Sarah H Palin - Make it happen !!!!)
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To: Perdogg

“DEWEY WINS!” I hope history will repeat itself in this election. That would be sweet.


5 posted on 10/06/2008 10:04:11 AM PDT by mrvirgo
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To: Perdogg

Simply look at who’s running the polls. The fix is in.


6 posted on 10/06/2008 10:06:24 AM PDT by Lancer_N3502A
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To: mrvirgo

“DEWEY WINS!” I hope history will repeat itself in this election. That would be sweet.

_____________________________

Although the headline would/will be:

“McCain Steals Election from First Black President. Cities Burn. Marshall Law Declared.”


7 posted on 10/06/2008 10:06:59 AM PDT by 1curiousmind
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To: mrvirgo
That would be sweet.

Except that there wasn't rioting in the streets by Dewey supporters. If the claimed Obama leads are just inflated poll numbers and wishful MSM thinking on the part of the media, then an unexpected McCain victory will lead to bloodshed.

8 posted on 10/06/2008 10:07:22 AM PDT by gundog (John McCain is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I've ever known in my life.)
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To: mgc1122

McCain may be in real trouble if he can’t find second gear ...


Never fear...... ‘Ace’ McCain is sliding the stick forward on the after burners as we converse. He’ll leave Obama in his wash as he goes after the Independents and crossovers with his strategic plans to bring them into the fold.


9 posted on 10/06/2008 10:08:15 AM PDT by deport ( ----Cue Spooky Music---)
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To: Perdogg

In 2000 just before the vote, I fought my way through an ENORMOUS crowd in suburban PA, shouting, wild adulation of George W Bush and Colin Powell. Very exciting. Bush lost Pennsylvania.

McCain spent too long treating Barack Obama as a nice young man and now it may be too late to start telling people what Obama really is about. That plus changing demographics and the shallowness of “swing voters”.


10 posted on 10/06/2008 10:08:55 AM PDT by Williams (It's The Policies, Stupid.)
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To: 1curiousmind

I would hope the headlines would read,”... MARTIAL Law Declared”


11 posted on 10/06/2008 10:11:13 AM PDT by kaylar
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To: 1curiousmind

Who is this “Marshall Law” person I read about so frequently on FR? And just what is he declaring?


12 posted on 10/06/2008 10:11:17 AM PDT by Hazwaste (Vote! Vote for the conservative local, state, and national candidates of your choice, but VOTE!)
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To: gundog
Except that there wasn't rioting in the streets by Dewey supporters. If the claimed Obama leads are just inflated poll numbers and wishful MSM thinking on the part of the media, then an unexpected McCain victory will lead to bloodshed.

Well, then the community organizers would find themselves in a crossfire.

13 posted on 10/06/2008 10:11:34 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte
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To: Hazwaste

Sorry. That was a hugh mistake on my part. :-)

(Note to self: Must re-read every post)


14 posted on 10/06/2008 10:12:52 AM PDT by 1curiousmind
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To: Williams

People know who this Obama is...and I just don’t believe these polls, there is a concerted effort by the media to get Obama elected....and I will continue to stay motivated for Sarah Palin....God Bless her!


15 posted on 10/06/2008 10:12:52 AM PDT by Blue Turtle (I)
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To: Perdogg

Every devil on the face of the earth is in an all out campaign to elect their EVIL LEADER, THE EMPTY SUIT MARXIST!

Good men of courage everywhere are called upon today to fight to the last drop of blood.

Fight! Fight! Fight! Never, ever slow down or give up!


16 posted on 10/06/2008 10:19:17 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: Hazwaste

He is Sarah Marshall’s father.


17 posted on 10/06/2008 10:20:30 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vice President Sarah H Palin - Make it happen !!!!)
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To: Perdogg

I’d like to see someone do an analysis of Obama’s polling during the primaries and his actual performance. I know that Hillary won in NH, yet Obama had a 9-13% advantage in the polls. Obama was up by an average of over 8 in the polls, yet Hillary won by about 4%. Obama obviously overpolled (Rasmussen had him up 10, so with Hillary winning by 4, that means he was about 14 percentage points off.) Did that happen in other states were Obama’s poll numbers over Clinton consistent with the actual results...that’s what I’d like to see. If they weren’t we’re in big trouble because the polls are setting up a Obama will walk away with this election scenario, and if he doesn’t win, well if we thought 2000 was chaos...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_primary-194.html


18 posted on 10/06/2008 10:22:58 AM PDT by Dawn531
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To: 1curiousmind
“McCain Steals Election from First Black President. Cities Burn. Marshall Law Declared.”

Photobucket

19 posted on 10/06/2008 10:23:03 AM PDT by Cobra64 (www.BulletBras.net; all)
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To: Hazwaste

Here he is

20 posted on 10/06/2008 10:28:09 AM PDT by kaylar
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