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FOX/Rasmussen Swing State Polling - September 28, 2008
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9/29/08 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 09/29/2008 3:44:18 PM PDT by Norman Bates

Polling this week in Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia shows that Barack Obama has gained a net 3 to 5 percentage points in each state compared to the previous Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports poll.

In Pennsylvania, Obama now leads by eight percentage points, 50% to 42%.

In Virginia, it’s Obama 50% and McCain 47%.

The candidates are within a single point of each other in Colorado (Obama 49%, McCain 48%), Florida (Obama 47%, McCain 47%), and Ohio (McCain 48% Obama 47%).

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Colorado; US: Florida; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; co2008; fl2008; mccain; obama; oh2008; pa2008; swingstates; va2008
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THESE ARE VERY ENCOURAGING BATTLEGROUND NUMBERS CONSIDERING HOW BAD THE POLLS TANKED LATE LAST WEEK.
1 posted on 09/29/2008 3:44:20 PM PDT by Norman Bates
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To: Norman Bates
THESE ARE VERY ENCOURAGING BATTLEGROUND NUMBERS CONSIDERING HOW BAD THE POLLS TANKED LATE LAST WEEK.

In Pennsylvania, Obama now leads by eight percentage points, 50% to 42%.

REALLY?!?

2 posted on 09/29/2008 3:46:29 PM PDT by frogjerk (MSM: We will not question Obama bin Biden...)
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To: Norman Bates

I say don’t worry! Obama needs a 15% to 20% lead in the polls to win by 2%!


3 posted on 09/29/2008 3:46:33 PM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: Norman Bates

To this day I will never understand poll worship.


4 posted on 09/29/2008 3:47:49 PM PDT by Terpfen (To all you knee-jerkers: remember Rick Santorum.)
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To: Norman Bates

McCain actually improved in a number of states.

Sadly, I think blame is going to (unfairly) be placed on the GOP and McCain as the stock market melts down in the coming days.


5 posted on 09/29/2008 3:48:56 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Norman Bates

The polls didn’t “tank” late last week, except for a bogus Gallup “registered voters” poll.


6 posted on 09/29/2008 3:49:03 PM PDT by Cedric
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To: Terpfen

I agree. These public polls are skewed. The only ones worth anything are the internal polls done by the campaigns, and those aren’t released to the public.


7 posted on 09/29/2008 3:49:47 PM PDT by Tree of Liberty (Islam delenda est)
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To: TitansAFC; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; furquhart; ...
The McCain List.

These are MUCH better numbers than I was expecting considering how far we slid last week.

Except Pennsylvania, we are leading (Ohio), tied (Florida), one point behind (Colorado), or in the margin of error (Virginia). We actually closed the gap in Virginia from 5% down last time.

Ohio
McCain 48%
Obama 47%

Florida
McCain 47%
Obama 47%

Colorado
Obama 49%
McCain 48%

Virginia
Obama 50%
McCain 47%

Pennsylvania
Obama 50%
McCain 42%

8 posted on 09/29/2008 3:50:26 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

Didn’t the polls have Kerry leading by a larger margin then this about the same time in 2004?


9 posted on 09/29/2008 3:50:31 PM PDT by Bullish ( Reality is the best cure for delusion.)
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To: Norman Bates
the bleeding has stopped.

improvement from last week in FLA OH CO and VA

the “net” increase comes from Penn, which is shifting back to Blue.

I am beginning to wonder about Ras....to state “net increase” is totally misleading and discouraging.

10 posted on 09/29/2008 3:51:26 PM PDT by housedeep
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To: frogjerk

NEWSFLASH: We don’t need to win Pennsylvania.


11 posted on 09/29/2008 3:51:35 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Tree of Liberty

Well, they are Rasmussen. So they are skewed to the left (rat) considerably. I suspect they over-sample rats and then add weights to further water down results. If 0bama is up by 10 he is probably within the margin of error.

Plus they don’t reflect the bailout crap.

Besides, the real poll is the election day poll.


12 posted on 09/29/2008 3:52:45 PM PDT by ABQHispConservative (Socialism has ruined Latin America, let's not let it ruin the USA!)
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To: Norman Bates

Yes, I am pleasantly surprised!


13 posted on 09/29/2008 3:53:07 PM PDT by KansasGirl (READ MY LIPSTICK!!!)
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To: Chet 99

McCain will get credit for stopping a socialistic bill.


14 posted on 09/29/2008 3:54:39 PM PDT by Cedric
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To: Norman Bates

I think we DO need to win PA.

The map looks ugly without it, especially since IA, NM and CO are proably going to Obama, with VA getting shakey.

McCain can lose all four if he wins PA.


15 posted on 09/29/2008 3:55:27 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound
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To: Cedric

As the markets tank 10% a day? I don’t think so.


16 posted on 09/29/2008 3:55:48 PM PDT by LowTaxesEqualProsperity
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To: ABQHispConservative

Rasmussen is over-sampling Rats in state samples as compared to actual turnout in ‘04 and ‘06. McCain is down in PA though, but not by 8 pts.

I’d still feel better if we were 5 pts up in all polls.


17 posted on 09/29/2008 3:57:33 PM PDT by KansasGirl (READ MY LIPSTICK!!!)
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To: Chet 99

>>Sadly, I think blame is going to (unfairly) be placed on the GOP and McCain as the stock market melts down in the coming days.<<

Yes - voters don’t want to elect Obama, but in the end he’ll win because of this crisis. Capitalism is on life support - he’ll pull the plug.


18 posted on 09/29/2008 3:58:27 PM PDT by NKStarr
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To: Bullish

no, they did not


19 posted on 09/29/2008 3:58:35 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Norman Bates

What this country needs is a LEADER. Obama most certainly is nothing of the sort. This Financial Crisis is the Golden Opportunity for McCain if he misses it say goodbye to Capitalist America and hello to the coming Socialist nightmare.


20 posted on 09/29/2008 3:58:56 PM PDT by Typical_Whitey (Sarah Palin has given voice to this Conservative's views.)
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