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Poll Stunner! McCain-Palin Close 34 Point Gap On Women’s Issues
strata-sphere ^ | 09.22.08 | AJ Strata

Posted on 09/22/2008 6:52:52 AM PDT by Perdogg

Published by AJStrata under 2008 Elections, All General Discussions, Sarah Palin

OK this is the biggest poll shocker I have seen since the Palin selection for VP:

Since picking Sarah Palin as his running mate, John McCain has obliterated what had been a 34-percentage-point deficit in a poll of likely women voters on the question of which candidate has a “better understanding of women and what is important” to them.

The two are now effectively tied, with McCain’s 44 to 42 percentage lead within the margin of error of the most recent poll conducted by pollsters Kellyanne Conway and Celinda Lake for Lifetime Television. In Lifetime’s July poll, women preferred Barack Obama on the same question by nearly three-to-one— 52 to 18 percent.

Emphasis mine. To go from a 34 point deficit to a 2 point lead in the span of 2 months is incredible. I still think the national polls are out of whack because of the models they use to extrapolate the samples into a representation of the national picture. If the voter models are off, so are the bottom line numbers. I also doubt all polls that have a 40% Dem- 30% Rep distribution, it just isn’t going to happen this year. My bet is the end numbers will we be 33%-35% each - a basic tie in turnout.

In 2006 the GOP repelled the moderate middle through their purity wars on RINOs, etc. This year the right is galvanizing behind McCain-Palin (the moderate and conservative wings bonded together in common cause again), so I don’t buy these one-sided turnout models.

(Excerpt) Read more at strata-sphere.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; mccainpalin; womensvote
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1 posted on 09/22/2008 6:52:52 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: tatown; mathprof; frankjr; Norman Bates

ping


2 posted on 09/22/2008 6:53:49 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: Perdogg

This is good news. Even with Barrack slightly ahead with RV this has to be troubling the Democrats behind the scenes.


3 posted on 09/22/2008 6:54:57 AM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: Perdogg

Steady as she goes.


4 posted on 09/22/2008 6:54:59 AM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: Perdogg

Joe Biden to the courtesy phone, please..........


5 posted on 09/22/2008 6:55:47 AM PDT by Red Badger (I'm gonna use "Sarah!" from NOW ON since Hillary uses "Hillary!"......)
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To: Perdogg

National polls still under-represent GOP voters. Most still have almost a 10 point spread between Dems and GOP party identification, when it is more like 2 percent. I am not sure where the election is, but it is very close. Certainly not the 6 point Obama lead that Gallop is showing.


6 posted on 09/22/2008 6:56:24 AM PDT by Always Right (Obama: more arrogant than Bill Clinton, more naive than Jimmy Carter, and more liberal than LBJ.)
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To: Perdogg
I just don't understand how deeper numbers clearly show increased support for McCain in practically all demographics, but the overall numbers show a dead heat.

Obama has 49% of what???

7 posted on 09/22/2008 6:57:07 AM PDT by Zeddicus
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To: Always Right

Gallup has Obama up by only 4.


8 posted on 09/22/2008 6:57:14 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: Perdogg

“Those aren’t real women.”


9 posted on 09/22/2008 6:57:29 AM PDT by Notasoccermom (.)
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To: Perdogg

10 posted on 09/22/2008 7:00:14 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 (Lipstick wearing Okie Moosehead!)
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But Kellyanne Conway is a Republican and if my memory is correct her 2006 predictions were aweful. She said something like the Republicans would do better then what actually happened.

Anyways, good news is good news, better then Obama opening up an even wider lead....


11 posted on 09/22/2008 7:08:34 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: Zeddicus

Because the pollsters job right now is to keep themselves with a job throughout the election season. If the polls showed a blowout either direction, nobody would pay for these stupid hourly, daily, weekly polls. I also suspect that they secretly aim to fire up the Dems, and discourage the Rs.


12 posted on 09/22/2008 7:09:48 AM PDT by Pondo
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To: TitansAFC; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; furquhart; ...
The McCain List.

Sarah Palin strikes again!

13 posted on 09/22/2008 7:55:23 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: KavMan
But Kellyanne Conway is a Republican and if my memory is correct her 2006 predictions were aweful. She said something like the Republicans would do better then what actually happened.

I don't know about Kellyanne Conway but Celinda Lake is a Democrat

14 posted on 09/22/2008 7:55:58 AM PDT by Larry381 (A community in Chicago is missing an organizer and the housing he built)
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To: Perdogg

In 2006 the GOP “repelled the moderate middle through their purity wars on RINOS...” Bull, AJ. Just the opposite. The GOP encouraged and permitted RINOS to take over the party. Eastern lib, country club republicans took charge and as a result, the conservative, party base stayed home. This is what cost the GOP both the House and the Senate. Not a war on RINOS, but the fact that they took over the party! And I guarantee that lib republicans have the same contempt for Palin as their across the aisle democrat, Marxist friends. Sellouts like Lindsay Gramnesty, Chambliss, Thune and the rest of the “Gang of Twenty” did their best to betray the American people once again. Fortunately they didn’t succeed.


15 posted on 09/22/2008 8:20:46 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax (AGENDA OF THE LEFT EXPOSED)
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To: Perdogg
UNRESTRICTED ABORTION, UNRESTRICTED ABORTION, UNRESTRICTED ABORTION!!!

That's the only issue that matters to "real women." The MSM and Hollywood tell us so.

Since back in Bush 42s campaign, Whoopi Goldberg had admitted to having 6 abortions herself. I have no idea how many she more times she has used abortion as birth control since Bush 42.

16 posted on 09/22/2008 8:55:21 AM PDT by A_Niceguy_in_CA (McCain/Palin - Maverick Reformers)
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To: Perdogg

Good news!


17 posted on 09/22/2008 9:03:10 AM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Perdogg
Poll Stunner! McCain-Palin Close 34 Point Gap On Women’s Issues

I guess the author thought that all women were idiots!

18 posted on 09/22/2008 9:08:54 AM PDT by JEH_Boston (There's a landslide coming.....)
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To: A_Niceguy_in_CA
“Whoopi Goldberg had admitted to having 6 abortions herself....”

For even the most die-hard Pro-Lifers, Eliminating Whoopi I, II. III, IV, etc. is a real blessing! :-)

19 posted on 09/22/2008 9:10:12 AM PDT by TRY ONE (NUKE the unborn gay whales!)
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To: Larry381
I don't know about Kellyanne Conway

She spoke at CPAC last year and is very not guilty of being a 'rat.
 



20 posted on 09/22/2008 9:13:28 AM PDT by dinasour (Obama wants to raise taxes and kill babies. Palin wants to raise babies and kill taxes)
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