Posted on 09/22/2008 6:52:52 AM PDT by Perdogg
Published by AJStrata under 2008 Elections, All General Discussions, Sarah Palin
OK this is the biggest poll shocker I have seen since the Palin selection for VP:
Since picking Sarah Palin as his running mate, John McCain has obliterated what had been a 34-percentage-point deficit in a poll of likely women voters on the question of which candidate has a “better understanding of women and what is important” to them.
The two are now effectively tied, with McCain’s 44 to 42 percentage lead within the margin of error of the most recent poll conducted by pollsters Kellyanne Conway and Celinda Lake for Lifetime Television. In Lifetime’s July poll, women preferred Barack Obama on the same question by nearly three-to-one— 52 to 18 percent.
Emphasis mine. To go from a 34 point deficit to a 2 point lead in the span of 2 months is incredible. I still think the national polls are out of whack because of the models they use to extrapolate the samples into a representation of the national picture. If the voter models are off, so are the bottom line numbers. I also doubt all polls that have a 40% Dem- 30% Rep distribution, it just isn’t going to happen this year. My bet is the end numbers will we be 33%-35% each - a basic tie in turnout.
In 2006 the GOP repelled the moderate middle through their purity wars on RINOs, etc. This year the right is galvanizing behind McCain-Palin (the moderate and conservative wings bonded together in common cause again), so I don’t buy these one-sided turnout models.
(Excerpt) Read more at strata-sphere.com ...
ping
This is good news. Even with Barrack slightly ahead with RV this has to be troubling the Democrats behind the scenes.
Steady as she goes.
Joe Biden to the courtesy phone, please..........
National polls still under-represent GOP voters. Most still have almost a 10 point spread between Dems and GOP party identification, when it is more like 2 percent. I am not sure where the election is, but it is very close. Certainly not the 6 point Obama lead that Gallop is showing.
Obama has 49% of what???
Gallup has Obama up by only 4.
“Those aren’t real women.”
But Kellyanne Conway is a Republican and if my memory is correct her 2006 predictions were aweful. She said something like the Republicans would do better then what actually happened.
Anyways, good news is good news, better then Obama opening up an even wider lead....
Because the pollsters job right now is to keep themselves with a job throughout the election season. If the polls showed a blowout either direction, nobody would pay for these stupid hourly, daily, weekly polls. I also suspect that they secretly aim to fire up the Dems, and discourage the Rs.
I don't know about Kellyanne Conway but Celinda Lake is a Democrat
In 2006 the GOP “repelled the moderate middle through their purity wars on RINOS...” Bull, AJ. Just the opposite. The GOP encouraged and permitted RINOS to take over the party. Eastern lib, country club republicans took charge and as a result, the conservative, party base stayed home. This is what cost the GOP both the House and the Senate. Not a war on RINOS, but the fact that they took over the party! And I guarantee that lib republicans have the same contempt for Palin as their across the aisle democrat, Marxist friends. Sellouts like Lindsay Gramnesty, Chambliss, Thune and the rest of the “Gang of Twenty” did their best to betray the American people once again. Fortunately they didn’t succeed.
That's the only issue that matters to "real women." The MSM and Hollywood tell us so.
Since back in Bush 42s campaign, Whoopi Goldberg had admitted to having 6 abortions herself. I have no idea how many she more times she has used abortion as birth control since Bush 42.
Good news!
I guess the author thought that all women were idiots!
For even the most die-hard Pro-Lifers, Eliminating Whoopi I, II. III, IV, etc. is a real blessing! :-)
She spoke at CPAC last year and is very not guilty of being a 'rat.
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