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Gallup Daily: Obama 50%, McCain 44%
gallop ^ | 9/20/08

Posted on 09/20/2008 10:06:05 AM PDT by mathprof

Obama has held at least a small margin over McCain in each of the last four daily reports, generally coincident with the start of the Wall Street financial meltdown that began to dominate the news on Monday this past week. Separate Gallup consumer confidence tracking has shown that Americans' views of the economy deteriorated as the week progressed, and that Americans also began to express increased personal worry about their own finances. There is thus a reasonable inference that Obama's gains may, in part, be related to the way in which the public viewed his and McCain's response to the financial crisis. Friday's economic news was a bit more positive, with the announcement of a pending major U.S. government bailout for the country's economy, and the second day of significant increases in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other stock market indices. It remains to be seen if this will affect Obama's lead in the days ahead.

Obama's current 50% rating matches his 50% record high reached just after the Democratic National Convention. (That came in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30-Sept. 1.) However, his current six percentage point advantage is not as large as the nine-point lead he held in late July and an eight-point lead after the Democratic National Convention in late August. It is important to note that McCain recovered and moved ahead after each of these Obama high points, suggesting that it is certainly possible that McCain could recover in this situation as well.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; gallup; mccain; mccainpalin; obama
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hope this trend reverses soon. McCain's had a bad week.
1 posted on 09/20/2008 10:06:05 AM PDT by mathprof
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To: mathprof
McCain's had a bad week.

Obama campaign workers in the MSM have seen to it.

2 posted on 09/20/2008 10:06:52 AM PDT by IncPen (We are but a moment's sunlight, fading in the grass ...)
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To: mathprof

McCain has had a great week....


3 posted on 09/20/2008 10:07:13 AM PDT by cherry
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To: mathprof

This is all part of the plan. The pollsters need this to keep people interested. The state by state polls to date make this poll suspect.


4 posted on 09/20/2008 10:08:40 AM PDT by truthluva ("Character is doing the right thing even when no one is looking" - JC Watts)
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To: mathprof

The movement is the polls seems to be continuing regardless of whether McCain has gotten “on message” or not.

It would be easy to dismiss this poll but all of the polls seem to be confirming the momentum shift...


5 posted on 09/20/2008 10:09:10 AM PDT by tatown (How to piss off a liberal: Work hard and be happy!)
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To: mathprof

I have that nauseous feeling when I have the flu.


6 posted on 09/20/2008 10:09:57 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: cherry

I agree McCain had a great week. At this point only die hards are answering their phones or answering polls!!

Most polls call heavily Dem population.

America is suffering from campaign overload.

It all depends on the DEBATES...MCCAIN WILL WIN. BARAK CANNOT USE A TELEPROMPTER. HE SUFFERS FROM ANXIETY.


7 posted on 09/20/2008 10:10:48 AM PDT by Texas4ever (SIT DOWN JUNIOR :))
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To: mathprof
It's all about market share. The pollsters are paid by the MSM's to keep things "close" so that people will tune in. If this was a blow out (in the polls) the people would tune out.

Secondly, as I stated earlier, the MSM has to make a loss about race. If the blow out that is about to follow, is blamed on the liberal/socialist/marxist ideology it burns the bridge for the next RAT they put up.

8 posted on 09/20/2008 10:11:03 AM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (I Love The Smell Of Schmidt Storm in the Morning...and Afternoon....and at Night!!!!!)
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To: mathprof

I still think the polls are under representing GOP voters, but this is still troubling and McCain is in for a big fight.


9 posted on 09/20/2008 10:11:05 AM PDT by Always Right (Obama: more arrogant than Bill Clinton, more naive than Jimmy Carter, and more liberal than LBJ.)
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To: tatown

Odumbo will always top himself with his stupidity just wait


10 posted on 09/20/2008 10:11:11 AM PDT by italianquaker (Great choice Mccain in Governor Sarah Palin)
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To: mathprof

I didnt see one elected Republican come out....McCain didnt seize the opportunity and Bush caved in again.


11 posted on 09/20/2008 10:11:34 AM PDT by rrrod
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To: mathprof
Come on McCain, say something smart or conservative or even Republican! Geez. I'm tired of cringing.
12 posted on 09/20/2008 10:12:17 AM PDT by Deb (Beat him, strip him and bring him to my tent!)
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To: mathprof

Gallup polls go this way every cycle. Tied and then BAM, the Dem is suddenly substantially ahead. They were wrong before, and they are wrong now. Rasmussen is much more accurate.


13 posted on 09/20/2008 10:12:46 AM PDT by Melinda
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To: IncPen
McCain's had a bad week. Obama campaign workers in the MSM have seen to it.

He could keep saying "The fundamentals of the Economy are sound" that has worked real well.

Why not just give Obama a hammer?

14 posted on 09/20/2008 10:13:08 AM PDT by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action Candidate)
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To: tatown
It would be easy to dismiss this poll but all of the polls seem to be confirming the momentum shift...

I agree.

Rightly or wrongly, the financial disasters on Wall Street are having a serious effect (in Hussein's favor) on McCain. The longer this mess goes on,,,,the more it hurts (again, rightly or wrongly) the Republicans.

The 'melt down' in the financial markets is an unbelievably incredible stroke of luck for Hussein. This may be the only way an EXTREMIST like Hussein can get elected--and it is happening as we speak.

15 posted on 09/20/2008 10:14:10 AM PDT by stockstrader (VOTE DEMOCRATIC--it's so much easier than thinking.)
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To: mathprof

http://www.rove.com/images/0000/0078/McCain-Obama-09-17-08.gif


16 posted on 09/20/2008 10:15:11 AM PDT by littlehouse36 ("Thanks, but no thanks. If we need a bridge, weÂ’ll build it ourselves.")
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To: mathprof

Rassmusen has proven more reliable in the last 2 Presidential elections.


17 posted on 09/20/2008 10:15:47 AM PDT by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action Candidate)
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To: mathprof
There is thus a reasonable inference that Obama's gains may, in part, be related to the way in which the public viewed his and McCain's response to the financial crisis. Friday's economic news was a bit more positive, with the announcement of a pending major U.S. government bailout for the country's economy, and the second day of significant increases in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other stock market indices.

McCain needs to pin this mess on Obama, Raines, Rubin, etc. Second, he needs to distance himself from bailouts for crooks. He is going to have to throw a lot of the good ol Republican boys under the bus and put on his Mr. Maverick costume. He is going to have to find some real economics advisors. More of the same cast of characters won't do it.

18 posted on 09/20/2008 10:16:01 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Texas4ever
t all depends on the DEBATES...MCCAIN WILL WIN. BARAK CANNOT USE A TELEPROMPTER. HE SUFFERS FROM ANXIETY.

However, since the MSM is asking the questions, you will be sure he has them a few days in advance to practice the answers

19 posted on 09/20/2008 10:16:03 AM PDT by TheCipher
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To: mathprof

What is surprising about these polls is the small number of undecideds. I mean, 94% of RVs are committed already. Of course you gotta look at the regional breakdown and internals of this poll.


20 posted on 09/20/2008 10:16:04 AM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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