Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Zogby Latest! Game On! McCain Surges to 226 Electoral College Votes, Obama Drops to 234 in New Tally
Zogby International ^ | September 13, 2008 | Zogby

Posted on 09/14/2008 11:54:00 AM PDT by ricks_place

Polls in 11 battleground states show Obama retains narrow lead as 78 Electoral College votes still a toss-up

UTICA, New York—An Electoral College tidal wave has followed the surge of interest in the rejuvenated Republican presidential ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin, nearly erasing a once-daunting Democratic advantage and creating a race for the White House that is nearly dead-level even.

The latest Zogby Interactive polling in 11 key battleground states, and a further analysis of polling in other states, has resulted in the recalibration of the Zogby Electoral College Map, available at www.zogby.com.

In this latest Zogby calculation, Obama/Biden lead the race with a projected 234 Electoral College votes in 18 states and the District of Columbia, compared with 226 votes from 25 states for the McCain/Palin ticket. Another 78 Electoral College votes from seven states remain up for grabs, the latest Zogby analysis shows.

In this latest adjustment of the Zogby map, Obama has lost 26 Electoral College votes from two states—Pennsylvania and New Mexico – both of which were moved from the Obama column into the toss-up column.

Meanwhile, McCain has gained enough ground to have—at least for now—captured a definitive lead in seven new states: Ohio, Missouri, Nevada, South Carolina, Montana, South and North Dakota. McCain’s gains total 54 Electoral College votes. Based on a Zogby analysis of other credible polling and demographic trends, the Zogby map is also moving four other states – Montana, South Carolina, South Dakota, and North Dakota from toss-ups into the McCain column.

All of McCain’s gains come from moving toss-up states into his column—no states moved directly from Obama to McCain.

(Excerpt) Read more at zogby.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; electoralvotes; mccainpalin; tossups; zogby
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-32 next last
The Horserace Now in the Eleven Battleground States:

Horserace—Colorado

9-9/12

McCain

47.5%

Obama

45.5%

Not Sure/Other

7.0%

 

Horserace—Florida

9-9/12

McCain

52.1

Obama

41.8

Not Sure/Other

6.1

 

Horserace—Michigan

9-9/12

McCain

43.3%

Obama

49.0%

Not Sure/Other

7.7%

 

Horserace—Missouri

9-9/12

McCain

48.5%

Obama

42.4%

Not Sure/Other

9.1%

 

Horserace—North Carolina

9-9/12

McCain

46.6%

Obama

48.1%

Not Sure/Other

5.3%

 

Horserace—New Hampshire

9-9/12

McCain

49.1%

Obama

42.8%

Not Sure/Other

8.1%

 

Horserace—New Mexico

9-9/12

McCain

44.1%

Obama

45.6%

Not Sure/Other

10.3%

 

Horserace—Nevada

9-9/12

McCain

50.1%

Obama

42.5%

Not Sure/Other

7.4%

 

Horserace—Ohio

9-9/12

McCain

49.8%

Obama

43.9%

Not Sure/Other

6.3%

 

Horserace - Pennsylvania

9-9/12

McCain

49.1%

Obama

44.3%

Not Sure/Other

6.6%

 

Horserace—Virginia

9-9/12

McCain

50.3%

Obama

43.8%

Not Sure/Other

5.9%


1 posted on 09/14/2008 11:54:02 AM PDT by ricks_place
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ricks_place

BS in NC!!!!!!!


2 posted on 09/14/2008 11:56:18 AM PDT by Gator_that_eats_Dems
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ricks_place
According to the Zogster, McCain has pulled ahead in CO and PA! But he's smoking crack if he thinks Obama is ahead in NC! No freakin' way on God's green earth is that true!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

3 posted on 09/14/2008 11:58:16 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ricks_place

The good ship Obama.

4 posted on 09/14/2008 11:59:51 AM PDT by Obadiah (I remember when the climate never changed, then Bush stole the election.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ricks_place

Some of this is silly. Ohio is red but Indiana is not? Please. McCain by almost 5 in Pa., and losing in North Carolina?


5 posted on 09/14/2008 12:00:13 PM PDT by don'tbedenied
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: don'tbedenied
IN should be red. PA should be red. and NC is definitely red. I don't know where he got an Obama lead unless he did all his polling in the Raleigh-Durham area. Sloppy work there!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

6 posted on 09/14/2008 12:04:52 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: ricks_place

Isn’t this Zogby’s online polling? I’d take it with some salt.


7 posted on 09/14/2008 12:08:13 PM PDT by workerbee (Sarah Palin's very existence is a threat to the Left.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: don'tbedenied
Indiana hasn't been updated since early July.

McCain won't win it by the margin GWB did, but he will take it by double digits.

8 posted on 09/14/2008 12:10:09 PM PDT by comebacknewt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: workerbee
Isn’t this Zogby’s online polling? I’d take it with some salt.

Lot of salt!


9 posted on 09/14/2008 12:12:12 PM PDT by ricks_place
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: workerbee

226 plus
In - 12
NC - 13
Subtotal 251
Va - 13
NH - 4
Subtotal 267
Pa - 21
Colo - 9
Subtotal 287, Game set match


10 posted on 09/14/2008 12:14:11 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Let's get serious - there is only one choice - McCain/Palin 2008)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Obadiah
You rang?


11 posted on 09/14/2008 12:14:41 PM PDT by Daffynition (Follow the dots: Davis, Ayers, Dohrn, Malley, Soros Â… use a RED crayon.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Gator_that_eats_Dems

I live north of Raleigh in a town where I am the only one with a McCain sign in the yard. Many more Obama signs especially in black neighborhoods. The dems have been working hot and heavy on voter registration here.
Our county Republican party has little money and Dole wouldn’t help us raise any, although she sure was quick to ask us to donate some of the little we have raised to her campaign.


12 posted on 09/14/2008 12:16:52 PM PDT by kalee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Gator_that_eats_Dems

We are looking at a potential blowout here! McCain on latest poll from survey 2000 in NC had him up by 15%.


13 posted on 09/14/2008 12:19:32 PM PDT by tallyhoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: BigEdLB

Looks like a lot of “ifs” to me.

Just sayin’...


14 posted on 09/14/2008 12:20:23 PM PDT by workerbee (Sarah Palin's very existence is a threat to the Left.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Obadiah

The “Good Ship Obama Pop”, it’s now a sour trip to the candy shop, where the big boys play, kiss your (I have a) dream away....!


15 posted on 09/14/2008 12:23:20 PM PDT by Republic Rocker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: workerbee
If the election were held today, McCain would almost definitely win.

There is still a long way to go in the election though. The good news is we have solidified most all of our "must win" states.

Florida, Missouri and North Carolina are looking great. Ohio and Virginia are also showing consistent McCain leads. We have been on the right side in the last several Nevada polls as well.

Colorado is the one "must win" where we are still struggling a little bit. Most polls show Obambi slightly up. In the end, I think it comes back home to the GOP though, and with those states in hand, McCain will become our next POTUS.

16 posted on 09/14/2008 12:25:41 PM PDT by comebacknewt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: kalee

North Carolina still leans red as a whole fairly strongly, but the increasing population in RDU and Asheville and the higher black population near the NE part of the state can create issues for the GOP in the future, IMHO.


17 posted on 09/14/2008 12:29:32 PM PDT by RockinRight (Obama who?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: ricks_place

Look folks, the last thing we want is to be considered way out front. If that happens, some that swung to our side will start wondering if they were being rash. I’d rather it appear close, with us just behind.


18 posted on 09/14/2008 12:38:15 PM PDT by jdub
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kalee
Here's some better news from RealClearPolitics:

North Carolina

19 posted on 09/14/2008 12:38:53 PM PDT by 1-Eagle (REMEMBER every vote counts toward the "mandate"... ALL VOTES ARE NEEDED!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: ricks_place

Zogby? Come on guys! Don’t pay any attention to any of his state by state polls.


20 posted on 09/14/2008 12:41:54 PM PDT by tirednvirginia
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-32 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson