Posted on 09/12/2008 1:54:15 AM PDT by markomalley
There is an affect gap between how members of the Democratic political establishment view the presidential race right now -- concerns, bordering on panic -- and where Barack Obama's campaign brain trust thinks the race is at -- a mix of confidence and sobriety, but nothing approaching rank worrying.
This gap has a lineage. Jimmy Carter's Atlanta campaign headquarters and the National Democrats had their moments, as did the National Dems and Bill Clinton's Little Rock headquarters. Both sides argued, then fought, and then drew insights from each other, and Democrats managed to win the White House. (1988...and 2000...were a little different).
Call this first group National Democrats. They see 55 days left, an Obama campaign dropping in national polls, an enthusiastic Republican base, a public that, darn it, seems to like Sarah Palin, an Obama campaign that can't figure out how to respond to a changed dynamic, and, on top of all of that, millions left to raise.
Chicago Democrats notice that John McCain is doing better in traditionally Republican states outside of the West; that an engaged Republican base changes the map, that Obama is winning right now in every state that John Kerry won plus Iowa and New Mexico, and that the remaining electoral votes he needs could come from Nevada. Or Colorado. Or Montana. Or Virginia. The fundamentals are strong; the election will turn back to the economy; everything is OK. The campaign is about Barack Obama versus John McCain, and on November 4, it will be about Barack Obama and John McCain.
Every few weeks, former Sen. Tom Daschle, now a close confidant of Obama's, convenes a passel of charter members of the Democratic political establishment in his office conference room Washington. Daschle usually brings along a guest from the Obama campaign's upper echelon.
(Excerpt) Read more at marcambinder.theatlantic.com ...
Oh, I think there’s about a 65% chance that Obama wins. Team McCain doesn’t know what they’re doing...
So what do Obambi’s much touted “change” agents do?
They drag out Icky, the retread from the Clinton decade to mouth off.
Hunh. So much for “change” in the Beltway. Biden and Icky. What a combination.
What next, Carvile?
No worries. We have to approach this like we are down in the polls.
This election will go by fast. There isn’t much time left.
Don’t get cocky.
Yeah, too bad for them that the guy who has all the answers is all booked up posting comments on Internet message boards.
HA!
yeah, I’m busy no doubt...
The electoral math is still well in Obama’s favor. Funny how when it helps them they just love the electoral college.
“Call this first group National Democrats.”
Isn’t that a nice term for Nazi?
It’s not “well in his favor”, he is not winning Ohio, Florida, New Mexico, and is within a couple of points in usually reliable blue state like PA.
Overall its pretty balanced. We cannot get cocky. Remember, democrats are experts at vote fraud. All they need is a large concentrated urban area and they can conjure up all the votes they want. We’ve seen it in Detroit. We’ve seen it in Chicago. We’ve seen it in Philadelphia.
Now they have Denver, and Reno, and Fairfax County.
Obama holds everything Kerry does + Iowa which puts him within range.
McCain needs to put up a fight in Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan, and New Hampshire while holding the other states. And he needs to defend Colorado to the death.
Don’t be asleep, the democrats surely aren’t.
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