No, they can’t.
Yes, if Obama/Biden win in November. They can deter an attack merely by asking Obama nicely.
Probably not. When a country depends on something like religious ardor, rather than more mundane things like weapons, it risks serious embarrassment in wartime.
Not from a first rate power like the US or Israel. Do the Russians really want to be embarassed again when US built weapons humiliate another of their clients?
The key question is can their nuclear and missile facilities be destroyed in a strike. Unknown.
This writer is trying to design a theoretical blueprint for Iranian Jihad. I suggest he might be expendable.
Another point of discussion - a conflict scenario with Iran does not necessarily include a land war.
Airborne annihilation of their nuclear power, military, and command components combined with a complete and total sea-borne blockade (stopping their cash flow) would bring Iran to her knees.
Oil prices would be impacted in the short term of course, but it is a situation which could be stabilized in short order.
... We let your ships move along and carry your oil out as soon as you sign this little piece of paper...
NO - Iran is a fraud. but it has little air-force or navy. It’s economy is in shambles. It run a trade deficit in Petroleum products! There is anecdotal evidence that 10% of Iran women 18-40 are working as prostitutes in the Gulf States to get-by. It has a dysfunctional, unpopular Government. We should have learned long ago that in the Mid-East that the more they talk in blood-curdling tones, the weaker they are.
Thats if you assume that all of their rockets are loaded onto launchers. I would bet they aren’t. And their AA defenses can be overwhelmed by shear numbers. They would be in for some night of chaos!
Can Iran Successfully Deter A Military AttackSure, just get rid of their dictator.
It would end up like the Bakaa valley turkeyshoot. A bunch of outdated Russian crap being pnwed by modern american made hardare.
They can’t deter us militarily, but they can deter us economically. Imagine gas at $200/barrel. What president is going to want to risk that?
***Can Iran Successfully Deter A Military Attack?***
All depends who’s attacking.
Swiss Guards? Maybe.
Israel? Doubt it.
That assumes the current regime actually wants to avoid dying.
I think Iran’s most likely response to any Israeli attack will be to unleash suicide bombers, blow airliners out of the sky and asassinations of political figures.
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Can Iran Successfully Deter A Military Attack?
Methinks the theory should be tested. Proper scope, sample size, confidence level, etc... May I suggest the reactor at Busher to be include in the sample population?
When is the next full moon over Tehran?
5.56mm