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Sneak Peek: Obama (only)Up 2 in PA (New Poll)
Time Magazine ^ | 9-10-08 | TOM BEVAN

Posted on 09/10/2008 11:11:41 AM PDT by icwhatudo

Strategic Vision will be releasing a survey of Pennsylvania tomorrow (Sept. 5-7, MoE +/-3.0%) showing Obama leading McCain by two points, 47-45, with 3% supporting other candidates and 5% undecided. That's a 7 point drop for Obama from SV's last poll taken in late July showing Obama ahead 49-40.


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; mccainpalin; pa; pa2008; poll; swingstates; tossups
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To: icwhatudo
If McCain wins PA, he will win the election, and it will probably be by outperforming the polls. This is probably no where more likely than PA. These gentlemen will loom large in the saga of Election 2008.


21 posted on 09/10/2008 11:31:49 AM PDT by Plutarch
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To: <1/1,000,000th%
"I wonder if he’s stopped in New Wisconsin to see the Packers in Lambert Field?"

I hear he cancelled when he found out it wasn't Cambebert Field....

22 posted on 09/10/2008 11:32:06 AM PDT by bioprof (STRATEGERY!)
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To: icwhatudo

Registered voters or likely voters? If registered, McCain is running ahead in PA.


23 posted on 09/10/2008 11:37:46 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: saganite

I was thinking more along the lines of the Doctor.

24 posted on 09/10/2008 11:37:55 AM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: ModelBreaker

In 2004, Bush & Kerry traded leads in PA. all through September....wasn’t till October that Kerry was consistently ahead, but by very small margins ( a couple of points). Pennsylvania’s a “teaser” state....would LOVE to see a 5 point plus lead for McCain by the end of the month but ....may be wishful thinking....


25 posted on 09/10/2008 11:46:45 AM PDT by bioprof (STRATEGERY!)
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To: FreedomProtector
XXXXX DRUDGE REPORT XXXXX TUE NOV 02, 2004 09:06:35 ET XXXXX UPDATE: VOTES ‘FOUND ON MACHINES’ IN PHILLY BEFORE POLLS OPEN

Drudge thought this was news? It would have been news if this hadn't happened.

26 posted on 09/10/2008 11:47:23 AM PDT by freespirited (Obama's idea of change: from D.C. politics as usual to Chicago politics as usual.)
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To: nathanbedford
For all practical purposes: McCain cannot win without Ohio. Obama cannot win without Pennsylvania

If the race follows 2004's model, that pretty much sums it up. However, I think we'll see some states flip.

27 posted on 09/10/2008 11:48:16 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: roses of sharon
http://endiana.blogspot.com/2008/09/todd-palin-biography.html

Was one.

28 posted on 09/10/2008 11:52:05 AM PDT by WakeUpAndVote (NOBAMA!)
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To: impeachedrapist
I agree.

For example, if we can take Pennsylvania McCain will surely have no defensive worries in places like Virginia or Missouri or Colorado. If we take Pennsylvania he might well take Iowa, Michigan and/or Wisconsin.

I think this scenario, as a departure from 2004, is more likely now than a scenario in which Obama takes Ohio, Florida, Colorado and Virginia.


29 posted on 09/10/2008 11:53:55 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: FreedomProtector
FRiend,

I have searched for fraud info for the Philly area and remember from back then a massive statistics post. Something on the line of that Philly is the most patriotic city for faithful voting or corrupt as hell.

I can not find it anymore, did you by chance see it?

30 posted on 09/10/2008 11:56:06 AM PDT by WakeUpAndVote (NOBAMA!)
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To: nathanbedford

I’d throw NM and NH into the mix. And McCain’s camp is insisting they’re going after MN’s electoral votes.


31 posted on 09/10/2008 11:56:36 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: Plutarch

Odd thing is, if the Dems had run someone closer to the center like Doug Wilder or Tom Bradley, he probably could have won this year! By going with the far left Obama though, they might have blown it.

I notice the electoral-vote.com site is slow to put FL back into the McCain column despite that poll there yesterday showing him up 5. According to their count, McCain has 230 without FL. Add in FL and he is up to 257. Not far to go from there. Oh btw I think they still actually have ND leaning towards Obama.


32 posted on 09/10/2008 11:56:54 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: icwhatudo

I’m waiting for the time when I can post these words:

Barry is toast.

We’re not there yet. But I’m optimistic.


33 posted on 09/10/2008 11:57:43 AM PDT by samtheman
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To: icwhatudo

Rass put it at 2% yesterday as well...

PA is not going to go to Fauxbama, it’ll be close, but I don’t see this place backing the empty suit.


34 posted on 09/10/2008 11:58:00 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: icwhatudo

I think Kerry won PA by 130,000 votes in 2004. McCain/Palin will win by 100,000 as the obama implosion and trashing of woman continue.


35 posted on 09/10/2008 11:58:18 AM PDT by mainerforglobalwarming
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To: icwhatudo

When the people in the small towns start looking at B. Hussein Obummer, they are likely to cling to their God, their guns, and (unfortunately for Obummer) their guts and barf him up.


36 posted on 09/10/2008 11:58:22 AM PDT by MIchaelTArchangel
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To: freespirited

LOL. Yep.

give DRUDGE credit for reporting it, the MSM won’t.


37 posted on 09/10/2008 11:58:40 AM PDT by FreedomProtector
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To: cjshapi

She is not the only one. I too live in PA, and fauxbama is not connecting with the blue dogs at all.

THere are a lot of Dems who will be voting R for the first times in their lives this election in PA, or for the first time since Reagan.

I just don’t see anything on the ground that makes me remotely think Fauxbama will take PA.


38 posted on 09/10/2008 12:00:38 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: WakeUpAndVote
Sounds familiar, I didn't see it (yet), but I didn't look very hard (yet).

It is important in the next 2 months that we gather voting corruption stories from the recent past-—democrats are stupid enough to try the same dirty tricks multiple times in a row even after getting caught, and the MSM won't do their job and report it.

39 posted on 09/10/2008 12:08:05 PM PDT by FreedomProtector
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To: FreedomProtector

Thank you for finding!

Bookmarked.


40 posted on 09/10/2008 12:08:12 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Hillary's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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