“He’s doing worse than he was before his convention bump.”
Yet you still don’t address the fact that this is a one day poll on a Sunday with a 4.5% MOE, why? And what about my point concerning GWB in FL in 2004? I don’t care about “happy talk” either, but I also do not dwell on the negative. Lastly, Obambi must win PA, if he’s “ahead” by 2 points in a very blue State then I do not consider that a “happy” place for Axelrod. State polls always lag behind national polls, and you should know that considering the detail you add to your posts.
“Yet you still don’t address the fact that this is a one day poll on a Sunday with a 4.5% MOE, why?”
It’s a one-day poll on a Sunday with a 4.5 MoE. Of course, state polling is usually one day, and Sunday doesn’t mean anything when Ras is norming for party affiliation.
Add 4.5 points to McCain and take away 4.5 points from Obama if it helps you sleep tonight.
“And what about my point concerning GWB in FL in 2004?”
Florida is not the same state it was in 2004. It is gaining minorities all the time and the housing market is in the dumper. In 2004 people were feeling pretty wealthy around here. This year, they’re watching their neighbors get foreclosed on. GWB won FL by five points. He was an incumbent President in wartime. McCain doesn’t have those tailwinds.
Every election, some states swing from red to blue or blue to red. That Florida has usually been red is an encouraging sign for McCain, but not a definitive one.