Virginia
McCain 49%
Obama 47%
Florida
McCain 48%
Obama 48%
Colorado
Obama 49%
McCain 46%
Pennsylvania
Obama 47%
McCain 45%
September 7, 2008
500 likely voters
MoE +/- 4.5%
*** EXCELLENT NEWS !! ***
NOTE: It’s not a super large sample. This might have been better served with a sample of 600 or so.
The results are encouraging except Colorado. Florida is a bit close for comfort.
Florida is surprising to me...though I think once Lieberman and Rudy get down there they will seal the deal....
I will trade CO and VA for Michigan.
Great! The OH in particular could be Hugh ;-)
CO will see the light as the styrofoam pillars come down...
I guess we know where the campaign $$$ will be spent...
We'll have to wait another week or so to get a feel for the true state of the race.
??? CO is a reliably red state . Did they poll only in the Denver/Boulder metro area ?
This is really wierd.
Zogby/CBS is showing better than average numbers for McCain.
Rasmussen is showing better than average numbers for Obama.
Gallup also showing better numbers for McCain than Rasmussen.
I think I know why the numbers aren’t better for McCain. According to the Rasmussen site these polls were done on Sunday. Now, a lot of Catholics and evangelicals are at church on Sunday, as well as football games, family time, etc. Just the day of the week removes a lot of conservatives from the pool of respondents.
Ping!
Hey, ho, way to go, Ohio! :-)
Almost five point margin of error can equal a ten point swing? Strike me as not very useful polls.
nice to see Pennsylvania competitive .. with all the hunters and Catholics there who knows what might shake out.
Those are really really weird results. +7 in Ohio and even in FLA. This is going to be a very strange election—everything is shifting around.
Has anyone ran a poll to gauge President Bush’s handling of Hurricane Gustav? I’ll wait while Rasmussen makes the requisite phone calls.
let’s not forget that a great many people have no land lines anymore.....and many, like myself, NEVER answer and let our machine pick up....I wonder how accurate any phone polls can be anymore
If you look at the RCP electoral map without toss ups, it seems that McCain needs all of these states except PA to win ... or he will need Michigan.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10
I read that Obama’s campaign director said if McCain loses Colorado there’s less than a 5% chance he will win.
Folks, if you know ANYONE in Colorado please call them and urge them to volunteer.
Conventions and debates mean a lot but one of the most important aspects of the race is one that we can influence, and that’s getting out the vote.
How many people reading this have called their local campaign HQ (especially people in OH, FL, MI, CO, and maybe PA) and offered to assist the GOTV effort? Nothing makes you feel more personally involved in the whole democratic process than simply calling your neighbors and asking them to vote. And doing that in a coordinated manner is the way elections are won.
Florida, where I live, is full of older folks who don’t answer the phone if they aren’t expecting a call. Why? Because we are plagued with pollsters, telephonic beggars (who claim that they are collecting for charities), and idiotic Hispanic immigrants who cannot figure out how to dial a telephone number.
In addition, the geezers are out and about, basically being retirees and screwing off. Many, perhaps most, of them don’t want to talk with some @$$hole who uses their own telephone to pester and annoy them.
FL telephone polls aren’t worth the powder to blow them to hell.