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FOX/Rasmussen Swing State Polling (OH, VA, FL, CO, PA)
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9/8/08 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 09/08/2008 3:22:53 PM PDT by Norman Bates

Rasmussen Reports conducted five state telephone surveys in partnership with Fox News Channel on September 7, 2008. The surveys were conducted in Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. A total of 500 Likely Voters were interviewed in each state using the Rasmussen Reports automated telephone survey methodology (see www.RasmussenReports.com for details).

The margin of sampling error for the full sample in each state poll is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Caution should be used in interpreting subsets of the data as such results will have an even larger margin of sampling error. It is anticipated that larger sample sizes will be used later in the election season which will allow for a more detailed examination of demographic distinctions.

(snip)

Additionally, there were state specific timing issues in three of the five states. In Colorado, the city of Denver hosted the Democratic National Convention Colorado less than two weeks before the survey was conducted. In Florida, the survey was conducted as Hurricane Ike was approaching. In Virginia, the survey was conducted the day after Tropical Storm Hanna raced through the state.

It is not clear what, if any, impact these state-specific timing issues may have on the data.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Colorado; US: Florida; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; co2008; electionpresident; fl2008; oh2008; pa2008; swingstates
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To: linn37

I would say overall these polls are good news. I really don’t think we are tied in FL. There is a 4.5% margin of error at work.


21 posted on 09/08/2008 3:28:50 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

The trend is our friend.

Also, isn’t 500 a small sample?
IDK.


22 posted on 09/08/2008 3:28:58 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Norman Bates

This is really wierd.

Zogby/CBS is showing better than average numbers for McCain.

Rasmussen is showing better than average numbers for Obama.

Gallup also showing better numbers for McCain than Rasmussen.


23 posted on 09/08/2008 3:29:26 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: Norman Bates

I think I know why the numbers aren’t better for McCain. According to the Rasmussen site these polls were done on Sunday. Now, a lot of Catholics and evangelicals are at church on Sunday, as well as football games, family time, etc. Just the day of the week removes a lot of conservatives from the pool of respondents.


24 posted on 09/08/2008 3:29:31 PM PDT by CA Conservative
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To: Clintonfatigued; LS; LdSentinal

Ping!


25 posted on 09/08/2008 3:30:18 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

Hey, ho, way to go, Ohio! :-)


26 posted on 09/08/2008 3:30:18 PM PDT by GOP_Lady
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To: Norman Bates

Almost five point margin of error can equal a ten point swing? Strike me as not very useful polls.


27 posted on 09/08/2008 3:30:33 PM PDT by Williams
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To: Norman Bates

Didn’t Gov. Chist of Florida make it to where felons can vote in Florida? The guy is a republican but he’s a clown too.

I think McCain will do well in Florida but you never really know.


28 posted on 09/08/2008 3:31:08 PM PDT by boycott
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To: God luvs America

I’m in FL I do not know one person who wants Obama.

maybe they are being polled in the south part of the state.

This has to be wrong, McCain had a big lead not long ago and his numbers have gone up everywhere but here, HUH

Lieberman needs to set up camp in the south part of the state where there is a large Jewish population

Get there Joe NOW


29 posted on 09/08/2008 3:31:20 PM PDT by manc (Marriage is between a man and a woman no sick Ma sham marriage - -end racism end affirmative action)
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To: EagleUSA

I disagree. I expected MUCH better... With the exception of PA, they were all red states in ‘04


30 posted on 09/08/2008 3:31:24 PM PDT by NYC Republican (Infuriate the MSM- vote for Palin/McCain)
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To: Norman Bates

nice to see Pennsylvania competitive .. with all the hunters and Catholics there who knows what might shake out.


31 posted on 09/08/2008 3:31:27 PM PDT by NewMediaFan (Fake but accurate)
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To: Norman Bates

Those are really really weird results. +7 in Ohio and even in FLA. This is going to be a very strange election—everything is shifting around.


32 posted on 09/08/2008 3:31:28 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Yes. These were conducted Sep 7. Keep in mind this:
“In Florida, the survey was conducted as Hurricane Ike was approaching.”

FWIW...


33 posted on 09/08/2008 3:32:02 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

Has anyone ran a poll to gauge President Bush’s handling of Hurricane Gustav? I’ll wait while Rasmussen makes the requisite phone calls.


34 posted on 09/08/2008 3:32:30 PM PDT by rabidralph (She shoots, she scores!)
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To: gswilder; narses; neverdem; NeoCaveman; SoothingDave

Don’t worry: EVERY Penn. State Nittaly Lion voter is going to go for Obama. Count on it.

And most of those OH Cleveland Stealer fans will vote that way as well.


35 posted on 09/08/2008 3:33:18 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Hillary's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Retired Greyhound

I do not know anyone here who wants Obama and not many stickers for the elitist man, no yard signs I have seen

plus he had a good lead not long ago ,

so what is going on here


36 posted on 09/08/2008 3:33:34 PM PDT by manc (Marriage is between a man and a woman no sick Ma sham marriage - -end racism end affirmative action)
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To: Norman Bates

let’s not forget that a great many people have no land lines anymore.....and many, like myself, NEVER answer and let our machine pick up....I wonder how accurate any phone polls can be anymore


37 posted on 09/08/2008 3:33:34 PM PDT by tioga (Big Mac and the Cuda - 2008)
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To: Norman Bates

Guys lets not forget these polls were taken on the morning of Sept 7th, its does not fully include any bounce McCain may get from a convention.


38 posted on 09/08/2008 3:34:18 PM PDT by sunmars
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To: God luvs America

yes Denver is in colorado so we’d expect the convention to have a bigger impact there.

On the other hand, it’s a western state and they are facing the most pro-western ticket in history.


39 posted on 09/08/2008 3:34:19 PM PDT by ari-freedom (We never hide from history. We make history!)
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To: Norman Bates

If you look at the RCP electoral map without toss ups, it seems that McCain needs all of these states except PA to win ... or he will need Michigan.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10

I read that Obama’s campaign director said if McCain loses Colorado there’s less than a 5% chance he will win.

Folks, if you know ANYONE in Colorado please call them and urge them to volunteer.

Conventions and debates mean a lot but one of the most important aspects of the race is one that we can influence, and that’s getting out the vote.

How many people reading this have called their local campaign HQ (especially people in OH, FL, MI, CO, and maybe PA) and offered to assist the GOTV effort? Nothing makes you feel more personally involved in the whole democratic process than simply calling your neighbors and asking them to vote. And doing that in a coordinated manner is the way elections are won.


40 posted on 09/08/2008 3:34:25 PM PDT by edwinland ("Barack Obama loves the future because thatÂ’s where all his accomplishments are." - David Brooks)
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